Dan Graziano of ESPN.com ranks the teams most likely to trade up or down:
Ranking the five teams most likely to trade up
1. New England Patriots
Top draft assets: One first-round pick (32); two second-round picks (56, 64); three third-round picks (73, 97, 101)
It’s a well-worn draft axiom that Bill Belichick likes to trade down and amass picks, because he’s usually picking at the bottom of the first round and choosing among players he has graded as second-rounders anyway. But last year, the Pats stood pat and made two first-round picks, one of which was a running back. You can’t be sure of anything anymore.
There’s a thought around the league that the Rob Gronkowski retirement leaves the Patriots hungry for offensive playmakers. This first round is strong at tight end, and New England has 12 total picks — tied with the Giants for most in this draft. That enables the Pats to move up if there’s a tight end or playmaking wide receiver within range of where they sit at No. 32.
Of course, if that doesn’t happen, you could easily see the Patriots trading down instead of up, because oftentimes teams like to come up to that 32nd pick to secure a player with a fifth-year option.
2. Philadelphia Eagles
Top draft assets: One first-round pick (25); two second-round picks (53, 57)
Philly is another win-now team looking for instant-impact players, but the speculation around the league is that the Eagles would look to move up from No. 25 if an offensive tackle they like starts to tumble.
Jason Peters is 37, and the Eagles can’t afford to get caught short on the offensive line anytime soon. The Titans are picking 19th and have just six picks in the draft, and the Seahawks are picking 21st and have a draft-low four picks. Those are a couple of spots where a team like Philly could make a deal with a team looking to add another pick.
3. Miami Dolphins
Top draft assets: One first-round pick (13); one second-round pick (48); one third-round pick (78)
Ryan Fitzpatrick obviously isn’t the long-term answer at quarterback, and though there have been whispers of the Dolphins potentially wanting to wait until next year’s draft — which appears to be loaded at quarterback — to find their franchise guy, that strategy can be risky.
If they have someone they really like at quarterback in this class, they might have to move up from No. 13 to get him. The 49ers at No. 2 and the Jets at No. 3 are both looking to move down, and if that’s too far for the Dolphins to jump, don’t rule out pick No. 5, as Tampa Bay GM Jason Licht hasn’t been averse to trading down in the past.
4. New York Giants
Top draft assets: Two first-round picks (6, 17); one second-round pick (37); one third-round pick (95)
With two first-round picks, the Giants are positioned to get just about anyone they want if they package both in a trade. Indications are that they’re not excited about doing that, though, and that they’re more likely to use the No. 17 pick (the one they got from Cleveland in the Odell Beckham Jr. trade) to address their long-term quarterback issue.
That would mean taking a defensive building block at No. 6, then potentially moving up from No. 17 if they want to get someone like Drew Lock, Daniel Jones or Dwayne Haskins, if he starts to tumble. There remains a chance the Giants could make a deal for Arizona’s Josh Rosen if he becomes available, but sources close to the situation say the Giants aren’t certain about Rosen at this point.
5. Cincinnati Bengals
Top draft assets: One first-round pick (11); one second-round pick (42); one third-round pick (72)
Even though new coach Zac Taylor has professed his admiration for incumbent starter Andy Dalton, there’s a lot of noise around the Bengals and the top quarterback prospects in this draft. They sit at No. 11 in the first round, but they have 11 total picks — more than any team but the Patriots and Giants. If Cincinnati needs to get into the top 10 to secure someone like Haskins, it is positioned to do it.
Ranking the five teams most likely to trade down
1. Seattle Seahawks
Top draft assets: One first-round pick (21); one third-round pick (84)
The Seahawks have only four total picks, and just two in the top 120. (They traded their second-round pick to Houston in the Duane Brown deal and their sixth- and seventh-rounders to Green Bay and Oakland in smaller deals.)
Sitting at No. 21 in the first round, the Seahawks hold a pick that could be of interest to teams, as it’s roughly the point in the first round at which rookie contracts stop being fully guaranteed. Seattle needs draft capital and will have the “For Sale” sign out.
2. Baltimore Ravens
Top draft assets: One first-round pick (22); two third-round picks (85, 102)
One pick behind the Seahawks, the Ravens (with eight total picks) don’t have as significant of a need to add capital but still are always on the lookout for a deal.
They need to fill a lot of holes on defense, and if the high-impact guys are drying up by No. 22, Baltimore has shown that it’s nimble enough in the draft to slide down a couple of spots and maximize value.
3. Tennessee Titans
Top draft assets: One first-round pick (19); one second-round pick (51); one third-round pick (82)
Mentioned above as a possible partner for teams looking to trade up, Tennessee holds the No. 19 pick and just five others. The Titans also had just four picks in last year’s draft.
4. New York Jets
Top draft assets: One first-round pick (3); two third-round picks (68, 93)
The Jets would love to replicate the Colts’ end of their own pre-draft deal from last March and recoup at least one of the second-round picks it cost them to move up for Sam Darnold. They have made it clear the No. 3 pick is for sale.
If Arizona takes Kyler Murray No. 1 overall, the Jets’ pick (and the 49ers’ pick at No. 2 overall) could become a lot more valuable to teams trying to move up to get the quarterbacks they want.
Top draft assets: One first-round pick (15); one second-round pick (46); two third-round picks (76, 96)
This one could go either way. Washington is the current favorite among league insiders to acquire Rosen if and when the Cardinals move him. If it doesn’t trade for him, Washington could be a trade-up candidate on the lookout for a Haskins or Lock.
If it does get Rosen, it’s going to cost it one or a couple of its nine 2019 picks, and the team could slide back to try to recoup some of that cost.
Where the Oakland Raiders fit in
Oakland has three first-round picks — Nos. 4, 24 and 27. It has its own pick, the Bears’ pick (from the Khalil Mack trade) and the Cowboys’ pick (from the Amari Cooper trade). The Giants and Packers each have two first-round picks, but having three (as well as a high second-round pick at No. 35) gives the Raiders the ability to maneuver in any direction they want.
They could deal down from No. 4 if someone makes a great offer. They could package Nos. 24 and 27 to move way up and take a second premium player. They could pick a quarterback if they love one (some think they love Murray, others think Jon Gruden is a big Lock fan), or they could help dictate who gets to move up to take one.
This is the payoff from last year’s sell-off, and all eyes will be on Gruden and new GM Mike Mayock to see what they do with these picks
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Charles Davis of NFL.com lists the 31 players for whom he has a first round grade.
With the 2019 NFL Scouting Combine and pro days in the books, teams are in the process of putting the finishing touches on their evaluations of this year’s prospects. With that in mind, I thought it would be a good time to unveil my ranking of the players who, in my estimation, are worthy of a first-round grade. I did consult with NFL front office personnel in putting this list together, but I relied on my own study and research to make a final determination on where to slot the prospects.
Now, obviously, with 32 selections in Round 1, I haven’t included enough players to fill every first-round slot, but that’s not the goal of this piece. You can check out my most recent mock draft to see my projection for the draft’s first 32 picks. These are the 31 prospects most deserving of that lofty first-round status, in my humble opinion.
1 – Nick Bosa, Edge
Ohio State | Year: Junior
He’s all ball all the time, and he might be the best player in the draft. He’s certainly No. 1 on my list.
2 – Josh Allen, Edge
Kentucky | Year: Senior
Got better every year in school and exploded with a 17-sack season in 2018. His best football is still ahead of him.
3 – Quinnen Williams, DT
Alabama | Year: Sophomore (RS)
The best “game wrecker” as an inside rusher in the draft. Emerged in a huge way during the 2018 season for the Crimson Tide.
4 – Devin White, LB
LSU | Year: Junior
Flies to the ball, and when he arrives, he makes the ball carrier regret accepting the assignment.
5 – Ed Oliver, DT
Houston | Year: Junior
Last year’s consensus preseason selection for best DT in this draft class, Oliver’s an intriguing mix of speed, quickness and power as an undersized player at the position.
6 – Christian Wilkins, DT
Clemson | Year: Senior
His movement skills make him a strong prospect as a DT. Won the National Football Foundation’s coveted Campbell Trophy as the top student-athlete in CFB — a.k.a. the academic Heisman.
7 – Montez Sweat, Edge
Mississippi State | Year: Senior
Followed up a wonderful career at Mississippi State with a phenomenal NFL Scouting Combine run of 4.41 seconds in the 40-yard dash. Gets to the passer and can play the run, too.
8 – Rashan Gary, Edge
School: Michigan | Year: Junior
People will have questions about his production at Michigan, but he offers a rare blend of size, strength, speed and versatility.
9 – Dwayne Haskins, QB
Ohio State | Year: Sophomore (RS)
Looks like the prototypical QB we sought for years in the NFL. Big arm and production in one season as a starter. There are questions about his pocket elusiveness.
10 – Kyler Murray, QB
Oklahoma | Year: Junior (RS)
The most dynamic playmaker by far in this year’s QB crop. A big play waiting to happen on every snap and the likely first overall pick (by the Cardinals, it appears).
11 – Noah Fant, TE
Iowa | Year: Junior
The best pure pass catcher at his position. Can really run at his size (6-foot-4, 249 pounds) and will block. My top-rated TE.
12 – T.J. Hockenson, TE
Iowa | Year: Sophomore (RS)
Many view him as the most complete TE in the class. He mauls people at the line of scrimmage as a blocker. Excellent receiver, too.
13 – Jeffery Simmons, DT
Mississippi State | Year: Junior
If he didn’t have the ACL tear he suffered in February and some off-field concerns, he’d be firmly in the mix for a top-10 selection. He’s a top-10 talent.
14 – Josh Jacobs, RB
Alabama | Year: Junior
Often was the third RB in Alabama’s rotation, but he’s the top back in this year’s draft. Excellent explosiveness through the hole, with good hands as a pass catcher.
15 – Devin Bush, LB
Michigan | Year: Junior
Great genes (his dad was an NFL safety), with a good ability to diagnose and then explode to the point of attack.
16 – Jawaan Taylor, OT
Florida | Year: Junior
A mauler at right tackle in his career with the Gators.
17 – Marquise Brown, WR
Oklahoma | Year: Junior
Had to play through injuries during his final college season, and it hindered him in the CFB playoff game vs. Alabama. Prior to that? Averaged over 18 yards per catch in two seasons at OU, scoring 17 TDs. He’s expected to be ready for training camp as he recovers from offseason Lisfranc surgery.
18 – Andre Dillard, OT
Washington State | Year: Senior (RS)
Tremendous technician. Best pass-protecting OT in the draft.
19 – Jonah Williams, OL
Alabama | Year: Junior
Skilled competitor. Can certainly be a starter at OT, but I like him better as an OG.
20 – Clelin Ferrell, Edge
Clemson | Year: Junior (RS)
Rangy build, plays with leverage and punch. Add in a smart, effective pass rush, and you’ve got a top prospect.
21 – D.K. Metcalf, WR
Mississippi | Year: Sophomore (RS)
Very strong, with straight-line speed in the low 4.3s. He can run past, through and play over the top of DBs.
22 – Garrett Bradbury, C
N.C. State | Year: Senior (RS)
He’ll be a plug-and-play guy at center for the team that drafts him. He’s had an excellent postseason, starring at the Reese’s Senior Bowl and the combine.
23 – Byron Murphy, CB
Washington | Year: Sophomore (RS)
Some may question his size (5-11, 190; added some good weight for his pre-draft workouts), and some see him strictly as an inside CB, but I’m crazy about his instincts and willingness to play against the run.
24 – Brian Burns, Edge
Florida State | Year: Junior
Has added some needed weight in the run-up to the draft, and will add more prior to the 2019 season. Often rushed off the edge like an OLB.
25 – Drew Lock, QB
Missouri | Year: Senior
The top-rated senior QB. A nice combination of arm talent and upside.
26 – Deandre Baker, CB
Georgia | Year: Senior
Demanded the opportunity to match up with the opposition’s WR1 each week while at Georgia. Super competitive. Wants to contest every throw to the man he’s covering.
27 – Greedy Williams, CB
LSU | Year: Sophomore (RS)
Plenty of length, speed to burn, with a nose for the ball. Built to take on today’s big and tall NFL WRs.
28 – Cody Ford, OT
Oklahoma | Year: Junior (RS)
Held down the right tackle spot with a flourish on the best overall O-line in CFB. Definitely can be an OT, but some may project him to kick inside to OG.
29 – Johnathan Abram, S
Mississippi State | Year: Senior
A tough safety who plays his best football inside the box.
30 – Irv Smith Jr., TE
Alabama | Year: Junior
A bit undersized, but a tremendous downfield threat and a willing blocker. Really emerged in 2018.
31 – Taylor Rapp, S
Washington | Year: Junior
I know teams will downgrade him based on his pro day 40-yard dash, but I love what I see on tape from Rapp. He’s a first-rounder in my book.
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This is a couple of weeks old – but here is how Joel Klatt sees/saw the top of the draft. It was presented in reverse order on video, which is interesting to see laid out in print.
10 – DENVER
Andre Dillard, T, Washington
9 – BUFFALO
Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson
8 – DETROIT
Clelin Farrell, DE, Clemson
7 – JACKSONVILLE
Montez Sweat, Edge, Mississippi State
6 – NEW YORK GIANTS
Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
5 – TAMPA BAY
Rashan Gary, DL, Michigan
4 – OAKLAND
Josh Allen, Edge, Kentucky
3 – NEW YORK JETS
Quinnen Williams, DT, Alabama
2 – SAN FRANCISCO
Joey Bosa, Edge, Ohio State
1 – ARIZONA
Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
The whole round is laid out at the end of this video.
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A panel at TheMMQB.com has this to say about QB DREW LOCK:
The MMQB has asked three quarterbacking experts—long-time front-office exec and scout Joey Clinkscales, long-time coach and coordinator Todd Haley, and long-time NFL quarterback Bruce Gradkowski—to assess the top QB prospects of the 2019 draft. The QB Panel Film Room series continues with Missouri’s Drew Lock…
FRONT OFFICE: Joey Clinkscales
Former Director of Player Personnel, Oakland Raiders; Vice President of College Scouting, New York Jets
Drew Lock is a player that has size, mobility and enough athleticism along with a good arm to be a good pro player. His play can frustrate you at times with the turnovers, or timing of the turnovers. There are other times when you wish he had the feel or awareness to step up in the pocket rather than being flush outside. He has a talented arm, can change arm angles and when he steps to target can be effective downfield as a passer. He will throw flat-footed or with a wide base, which effects his accuracy. There are times when you need to throw off your back foot to get the ball out quickly and he certainly has enough arm to do that. He’s not under the center a lot but have seen him there. While I haven’t seen the final stats on the season, in the games viewed the turnovers and timing of them were problematic. He had a fumbled snap one game in the rain, he opened a game with an interception on the first pass and had a sack fumble and another interception in the end zone in same game. All that said, he can throw strikes on demand.
Strengths: Arm/arm talent, mobility, solid athlete, tough, accuracy short.
Weaknesses: Base/footwork at times, inconsistent to step to target, will try to force ball into tight windows, bad turnovers at times, pocket feel at times.
Unknown: While the leadership is unknown, he is a four-year guy that had a new coordinator this season and picked things up pretty quickly, but I don’t know his ability to communicate with others.
Player comp: Watching him play and his demeanor on-field at times reminds me of Jay Cutler. Maybe not as big of an arm and not as athletic but overall ability and on-field demeanor leads me to that comparison.
Ideal landing spot: Giants, Miami, Cincinnati, and Washington are teams that initially standout. All have a need or would consider at the appropriate value.
Can he be a starter in 2019?: I don’t know if he could be an opening day starter at any of these teams.
Potential to become a franchise QB: I think if things go well you could build around this player and his skill set, so he could develop into a long term starter given the opportunity. I’m not sure I see this guy as a franchise-type QB; those guys are really hard to come by and his play on an NFL field will determine if he can be that type of player.
COACH: Todd Haley
Former Head Coach, Kansas City Chiefs; Offensive Coordinator, Cleveland Browns, Pittsburgh Steelers, Arizona Cardinals
Player Comp: There’s some Phillip Rivers to him.
Ideal landing spot: Pittsburgh Steelers. He would do well sitting and learning from a guy like Ben.
Can he be a starter in 2019?: It would be best to learn from a vet.
Potential to become a franchise QB: He has the skill set and tools to be a starter long term. He has an advantage because he has three-plus years starting and he is 22 years old. I like the tools and what I have heard about his leadership.
QUARTERBACK: Bruce Gradkowski
Former Quarterback, Pittsburgh Steelers, Cincinnati Bengals, Oakland Raiders, Cleveland Browns, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Strengths: Drew Lock has a ton of college experience and confidence that he’s bringing with him to the NFL. He has the arm strength and stature of an NFL franchise quarterback. He has a quick release and can flick the ball right out of his hand. Lock has the ability to fit the ball into tight windows. He’s smart and athletic to make some plays outside of the pocket. I like that he is also a good basketball player—usually that athleticism helps to be able to react and see the field. I believe Lock brings some of his basketball talents to the football field. I was impressed with the accurate throws he has been able to make even when the wide receiver route was poor. This demonstrates the ability to adapt to things off-script.
Weaknesses: Lock has all the physical qualities you would want in an NFL quarterback but this doesn’t guarantee success. His system in college didn’t prepare him much for this moment. Lock has to continue to develop his footwork within the pocket and within his throwing motion. At times he tends to throw all arm and fall away from his throws. He also aims the ball too often instead of letting it rip. He could get away with it in college because he has all the arm talent you could wish for and some games were against lesser talent. When I watched him play against tougher opponents his footwork and inconsistent delivery would catch up with him. He tends to drop his elbow when he’s under pressure, on the run, or off-balance. This can be an asset at times to help create room to deliver the football in a tight pocket, or when someone is in his face, but his accuracy fell when his elbow dropped.
Player comp: Drew Lock is between a Carson Wentz and Jay Cutler. Lock is not as athletic or as polished as Wentz, but as a passer they have a similar style. The way he stands in the pocket and drops the ball reminds me of Cutler.
Ideal landing spot: Los Angeles Chargers. The best thing for Lock would be to learn behind a proven, veteran quarterback. He needs to watch and learn while also fine-tuning his footwork and becoming more consistent as a thrower. We know Rivers isn’t getting any younger, and the Chargers need to start looking for his replacement. Lock has a high ceiling and this would be a perfect fit for both sides.
Can he be a starter in 2019?: Ideally, no! He has the arm strength to get him through but he would have more downs than ups if he had to play in 2019. I think he would be serviceable at best as a starter in 2019 and for his long-term future, I hope we don’t see him much in 2019.
Potential to become a franchise QB: Lock needs to become more consistent as a thrower from a mechanics standpoint. Consistency is what allows for a long-term career and he needs to improve in that area. His arm talent should get him plenty of opportunities to make it in this league and I believe he will improve his lower body when he throws and have a lengthy NFL career.