The Daily Briefing Friday, December 3, 2021

AROUND THE NFL

Daily Briefing

NFC SOUTH
 

NEW ORLEANS

Things did not go so well for QB TAYSOM HILL in his first start of the season.  Mike Triplett of ESPN.com:

For a minute there, it looked like Taysom Hill’s legs might just inject some life into the New Orleans Saints’ flailing offense on Thursday night. But then the wheels came off when he threw three interceptions of his four total in a fourth-quarter implosion, allowing the Dallas Cowboys to run away with a 27-17 victory.

 

The Saints (5-7) have now lost five consecutive games in the same season for the first time in the Sean Payton era. The only glimmer of hope left for their playoff chances is that they’ll have nine days off before visiting the New York Jets in Week 14. And by then, offensive stars like Alvin Kamara, Terron Armstead and Ryan Ramczyk might be back from injuries.

 

But it’s hard to expect a miracle finish after New Orleans has been regressing at such a rapid pace over the past five weeks.

 

The Saints kept things relatively close Thursday night during Hill’s first start of the 2021 season at quarterback. But once they were forced to play catchup in the fourth quarter, that didn’t suit Hill’s game as well.

 

“I feel like we did some things really well tonight, and then we did some things really poorly,” said Hill, who admitted that “you start pressing” toward the end of the game, which included a pick-six by defensive tackle Carlos Watkins with 2:52 remaining in the game when New Orleans was trailing by 10.

 

Hill said he was trying to throw a shallow cross on that play, but Watkins hung back instead of rushing.

 

“Obviously it’s tough to win a game turning the ball over four times,” Hill said. “That’s obviously the thing that jumps out to you that’s disappointing.”

 

QB breakdown: Hill finished 19 of 41, passing for 264 yards and two touchdowns (including a 70-yarder to Deonte Harris in the final minutes). He threw four total interceptions (including a deep ball in heavy traffic in the second quarter that tipped off receiver Kenny Stills’ hands). And he finished with 101 rushing yards on 11 carries (including a spectacular hurdle over a Cowboys defender).

 

Chances are, Hill will get another chance to start, especially considering that he was dealing with a partially torn plantar fascia that he suffered in Week 10 and then a new injury to the middle finger on his right throwing hand in the first quarter Monday night that required a splint. Hill said the splint took some getting used to, but he said it didn’t affect his throwing too much.

 

Regardless, Hill will need to improve his accuracy going forward to stick in the role.

 

“I thought he played with a lot of heart, a lot of guts. We didn’t help him any in the first half,” said Payton, who suggested that he thought Stills should have caught that first interception.

 

Payton also said he tried a number of ways to help out the Saints’ two backup OTs. But Hill completed just 1 of 12 passes for 12 yards with an interception when he was pressured, according to ESPN Stats and Information.

 

Expect Hill’s running ability to continue to be a big part of the plan going forward after he ran for 75 of his yards in the third quarter Monday.

 

“I made a comment to Coach at halftime, ‘Hey, I like some of those QB runs,’” Hill said before laughing. “I didn’t know we were gonna call ‘em all on the next drive. But I felt like that was just kind of nice to get into a little bit of a rhythm, get the ball moving and just get going. You know, I’m a physical player.”

 

TAMPA BAY

Apparently Stephen Ruiz, the chef stiffed by WR ANTONIO BROWN, knew of what he spoke.  ESPN.com:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Antonio Brown has been suspended three games for violating the NFL-NFLPA COVID-19 protocols, the league announced Thursday.

 

The league and players’ union found that Brown was among three players who misrepresented their vaccination statuses. A former personal chef of Brown’s said earlier this month that the wide receiver had obtained a fake COVID-19 vaccination card over the summer.

 

Also suspended for three games were Buccaneers backup safety Mike Edwards and free-agent wide receiver John Franklin III, whom Tampa Bay waived in August. All three players accepted their discipline and will not appeal, according to the NFL.

 

Brown’s and Edwards’ suspensions are without pay. Both will be eligible to return to the Buccaneers’ lineup for the team’s Dec. 26 game against the Carolina Panthers. The NFL and NFLPA negotiated the length of the suspension ahead of Thursday’s announcement, sources told ESPN’s Dan Graziano.

 

All three players are now vaccinated and admitted wrongdoing to the league in the investigative process, a source told ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler.

 

“The NFL-NFLPA jointly reinforce their commitment and further emphasize the importance of strict adherence to the protocols to protect the well-being of everyone associated with the NFL,” the league and players’ union said in a statement.

 

The league’s investigation found that Brown brought a fake vaccination card with him to training camp, but shortly after he arrived someone told him having one could get him in trouble, so he made the decision to get vaccinated, sources told Graziano.

 

Brown’s attorney, Sean Burstyn, said in a statement that Brown “continues to support the vaccine for any person for whom it is appropriate.”

 

“The NFL made its determination and, instead of going through the drawn out and distracting process of challenging the outcome, Mr. Brown wrapped this up promptly and he will make the most of this time by treating his ankle injury,” Burstyn said. “Mr. Brown will be motivated, well rested, and in the best shape of his life when he returns in week 16.”

 

Brown was not expected to play in the next two games because of an ankle and heel injury that has kept him out since Week 7, a source told ESPN’s Adam Schefter on Wednesday.

 

Chef Steven Ruiz said earlier this month that Brown had his girlfriend, model Cydney Moreau, reach out to him over the summer to obtain a fake vaccination card. After Ruiz was unable to acquire a fake card for Brown, he said that a few weeks later the wide receiver showed him ones he had for himself and Moreau that Brown said he had purchased.

 

Ruiz told ESPN that Brown had obtained his fake vaccine card from a Buccaneers teammate. Ruiz declined to name the other player.

 

Burstyn had denied that Brown obtained a fake vaccine card.

 

Brown said Wednesday when asked about his vaccine card on the Richard Sherman Podcast, “That’s the sad part. The country say, ‘You’re innocent until proven guilty,’ but you’re guilty till you show innocence, because anything someone says, everyone’s already magnifying it, and if you come out and say anything, you just put yourself in deeper holes because now it’s like … I learned to realize criticism is answered with achievement. When people criticize you, there’s no need to respond or worry. …”

 

A day after Ruiz’s initial allegation, Buccaneers coach Bruce Arians said the team did its “due diligence” in vetting players’ vaccine cards, adding, “I really don’t think it’s a story.”

 

“We appreciate the League’s timely handling of this matter and recognize the importance of the health and safety protocols that have been established. We will continue to implement all league COVID-19 protocols,” the Buccaneers said in a statement Thursday.

 

Some 80% of the NFL’s vaccinated players were vaccinated at team facilities, sources told Graziano, meaning there is no question about the authenticity of their vaccination cards. The NFL also found that there has been no difference between the positivity rate among players who were vaccinated at team facilities and those who were vaccinated elsewhere, sources said, which is a reason the league does not fear a rampant fake vaccination card issue.

 

During the 2020 season, the Buccaneers’ mantra was “beat the virus.” In September, Arians reported that all players and staff members had received the COVID-19 vaccine, becoming the second NFL team to do so.

 

While Brown did not publicly discuss his vaccination status, Edwards wore a mask when he met with reporters at the beginning of training camp, which is required for players who are unvaccinated. Asked about his vaccination status, Edwards said at the time, “I don’t really want to talk about vaccinations really. It is what it is. I don’t really want to get into that.”

So Brown did not play a single game unvaccinated under false pretenses if Graziano’s sources are correct.  And he is losing three game checks.

It’s not enough for some people, including John Romano of the Tampa Bay Times who thinks the incident merits Brown joining Jon Gruden in the ranks of those who cannot be employed:

We now know that Antonio Brown cannot be trusted. This is regrettable, but not surprising.

 

He has left a trail of transgressions and confrontations that stretch the length of his NFL career, whether you are charting by years, miles or disappointments. The three-game suspension handed down by the league Thursday for lying about his vaccination status is simply the latest confirmation.

 

The bigger question today is whether we can still have faith in the Buccaneers.

 

When they chose to get in bed with Brown, they understood they were taking on the burden of his character. And now that he has embarrassed the organization that stuck its neck out to give him yet another chance, there is no way they can continue to keep him on the roster.

 

That is, unless winning means more than integrity.

 

There is no doubt the Bucs are a better team with Brown in the huddle. Even at age 33, even with all of the off-field distractions, he remains a cut above the average NFL receiver. If the Bucs want to win back-to-back Super Bowls, their chances are better if Brown is still around in January.

 

But if the Bucs want us to believe that honor matters, they need to sever their relationship.

 

Head coach Bruce Arians basically predicted this scenario seven months before the Bucs plucked Brown out of NFL purgatory last year. When asked about Brown on ESPN reporter Adam Schefter’s podcast in the spring of 2020, Arians was clear that he had no interest in taking on the receiver’s oversized luggage.

 

“There’s too much miscommunication,” Arians said. “Too much … diva.”

 

Yet the combination of injuries to receivers, and the urging of quarterback Tom Brady, convinced Arians, general manager Jason Licht and the Glazer family to sign Brown at midseason.

 

Even after reports surfaced that he had destroyed a security camera, cursed out a property manager and threw a bike at a security gate in his south Florida neighborhood just days before signing with the Bucs, the team suggested he was a changed man. And when he settled a civil suit in the spring from a former trainer who accused him of sexually assaulting her, the Bucs quickly re-signed him.

 

“He’s been a model citizen,” Arians told Sirius Radio in November 2020. “If and when he’s not, we’ll move on. He knows that, our team knows that.”

 

And now the team knows that he lied about his vaccination status. In fact, they’ve known for quite some time.

 

Ever since Tampa Bay Times reporter Rick Stroud began looking into the validity of Brown’s vaccination card, the Bucs have danced around the truth. Never directly saying the card was real, but using enough vague language to make it sound as if this was some type of witch hunt.

 

It is, in some ways, as damning as Brown’s own lies.

 

And do not pretend that this isn’t a big deal. It’s not about whether Brown had misgivings about COVID vaccinations. Other players in the league have refused the vaccination, but did not try to deceive their teammates and employer with an apparently bogus card.

 

No, this is the bombshell that everyone anticipated but hoped could be avoided.

 

Brown has always behaved as if the rules did not apply to him. Team rules? NFL standards? Societal norms? Didn’t matter. As Arians presciently suggested, Brown believed his talents made him a diva.

 

In retrospect, it’s almost comical that Brown could be so foolish. Two years ago, Sports Illustrated published an investigative report that talked of a half-dozen lawsuits from doctors, trainers, personal assistants and chefs who claimed Brown refused to pay his bills.

 

And now his career is in jeopardy again because he refused to pay a chef, who exacted his revenge by revealing Brown’s pursuit of a fake vaccination card.

 

Steelers coach Mike Tomlin once told his team, according to an ESPN.com report, that he would tolerate Brown only as long as his production exceeded his propensity to find trouble. The Raiders and Patriots later came to the same conclusion.

 

Now, it is Tampa Bay’s turn. There is no gray area, there is no waffling. Now, it is simply a question of grace or greed.

 

Two weeks ago, the Bucs essentially looked the other way and, because of that, the community is now looking at them.

Shalise Manza Young of YahooSports.com:

And why did these suspensions come about?

 

In part, it seems, because Brown reportedly stiffed his former live-in chef and the chef told a reporter in Tampa that the vaccine card Brown presented to the Buccaneers was very likely fake, triggering an investigation.

 

Getting the vaccine: free.

 

Amount Brown allegedly owed chef Steven Ruiz: $10,000.

 

Cost of missing three game checks and three bonus checks for not being active in those games: over $330,000.

 

The stupidity: priceless.

Young, like many in the media, is convinced that the vaccines are safe and effective.

Jonathan Jones of YahooSports.com also finds it easy to command the Buccaneers to dispose of Brown:

By lying about his vaccination status, Buccaneers wide receiver Antonio Brown put his teammates at risk, made a fool of his head coach and embarrassed the entire Tampa Bay organization.

 

Head coach Bruce Arians and general manager Jason Licht have only one course of action: cut Brown from the team.

 

The Buccaneers made the decision last season that they could live with the alleged sexual misconduct, harassment and assault claims against Brown when they signed him last October. After all, Tom Brady wanted him there and believed Brown would fly straight under his watch.

 

In November 2020, Arians stated that Brown was on a strict “one strike and you’re out” policy with the Buccaneers.

 

“He’s been a model citizen,” Arians told SiriusXM at the time. “If and when he’s not, we’ll move on. He knows that. Our team knows that. I don’t really think we’re going to have any problems. We haven’t had any so far and I really would not anticipate any.”

 

 

When Brown was first alleged to have asked for and received a fake vaccination card, Arians was indignant that not only was it untrue but that it had nothing to do with football.

 

“None whatsoever,” Arians said. “We did our due diligence. The league will do theirs. The statement says everything. I really don’t think it’s a story, and it has nothing to do with the Giants game.”

 

He further claimed the allegation was a non-story on the Rich Eisen Show.

 

“There is no story. Yeah, [Brown] says he’s vaccinated and has a card, just like everybody else on our football team,” Arians told Eisen. “There’s a trust factor that goes along with it, and we did our due diligence on everybody. The league will look into the matter and do their due diligence, but it’s really no story.”

 

Arians now looks foolish for taking Brown at his word. The team’s medical staff looks equally foolish for being duped by a fake vaccination card when the league investigation found not just one but three cards all to have been forged.

 

Comparisons have already started between Brown and Aaron Rodgers. There’s a massive difference between the two situations. It seems most, if not all, of Rodgers’ teammates and coaches knew he was unvaccinated. The league did as well. Rodgers, according to the league’s investigation, adhered to the protocols for unvaccinated players a large majority of the time. He chose to be intentionally misleading when asked publicly so that he could avoid being asked more questions.

 

Brown lied to his teammates, his coaches and the team’s medical staff. He went through the building and enjoyed the perks (at least in the NFL) of being considered a vaccinated individual. These two situations aren’t even particularly similar.

 

Not to mention … this is a federal offense. Jail time is unlikely, but a fine and/or probation is possible should the government decide to bring Brown up on charges. You could argue he’s the highest-profile name in America to have been found using a fake vaccination card so far. According to the FBI’s website, using a fake COVID-19 vaccine card is “unauthorized use of a government agency’s seal” and a violation of federal law.

 

It would be difficult, from a football perspective, to release Brown. He has two 100-yard receiving games this season and looked to be returning to his old self before his ankle injury sidelined him in October. The Bucs, who are 5-0 this season with Brown in the lineup and 3-3 without, want to repeat as Super Bowl champions, and they’d have a better shot at doing that with Brown than without.

 

The Bucs also couldn’t retain Brown while cutting safety Mike Edwards, who along with Brown and former Bucs receiver and current free agent John Franklin III, was found to have also used a fake vaccination card. Cutting Edwards and not releasing Brown would be a naked admission that Brown is too important to release no matter if he violated federal law, lied to his team and put teammates’ health and safety at risk.

 

But at some point enough is enough. Several NFL teams had decided “enough” on Brown last season. The Bucs figured he was worth it, and on the field, he was.

 

Now his immaturity and selfishness have embarrassed another franchise, and there’s only one way the Buccaneers should turn.

If the Buccaneers were to cut Brown, based on how well he has performed for Tampa Bay while on the field, how long would it be before another team signed him?

Mike Florio is on the case as to whether there are other miscreants:

According to NFL spokesman Brian McCarthy, 80 percent of all players were vaccinated at the club facilities. For them, there’s nothing to vet.

 

Of course, that leaves the other 20 percent. According to McCarthy, the NFL “checked with clubs this week to see if there was a differential between the number of positive cases among players vaccinated off site versus those on site.” He said there was “no difference.”

 

This means that the league has not yet vetted the cards submitted by the 20 percent of all players who received vaccinations away from the team facility. Instead, the league has asked the team whether the percentage of positive tests from players vaccinated at the facility is any different thank the percentage of positive tests from players vaccinated elsewhere. It isn’t, and that apparently is the end of it.

 

Obviously, that’s technically irrelevant to whether players are lying about their vaccination status. To know for sure, the cards need to be fully vetted.

 

And while it may be difficult to do, the league did it with Brown, Mike Edwards, and John Franklin III.

 

So, basically, there may be other unvaccinated players who are masquerading as vaccinated. Unless and until they stiff their live-in chefs, we won’t know whether that’s the case.

NFC WEST

ARIZONA

Arizona has stayed atop the NFC – and now QB KYLER MURRAY and WR DeANDRE HOPKINS seem healthy.  Nick Shook of NFL.com:

Kyler Murray has had a month to get his ankle right, which means he’s had a lot of time to think about his injury.

 

Murray seems to be passing that ailment on the 2021 season’s highway, if he hasn’t already put it completely in his rearview mirror. His Arizona Cardinals teammate, DeAndre Hopkins, appears to be riding shotgun.

 

Both took the practice field on Wednesday, Hopkins’ first practice since late October. They just might return to game action together, too.

 

“We’ve just got to be smart with how we use him if he’s able to go,” Kingsbury said of Hopkins, via the team’s official site. “Maximize him the best we can and make sure we don’t wear him out.”

 

Murray seems more likely to return this weekend, when the Cardinals return from their bye week to face the Chicago Bears. He was able to get some practice work in before the week off, but as is the case with Hopkins, the Cardinals will be cautious with the quarterback. Murray’s already missed Arizona’s last three games, and the Cardinals are 2-1 with Colt McCoy in his place.

 

Arizona has held onto its lead atop the NFC West thanks to these efforts, but it hasn’t come without some mental struggles for Murray, who has been forced to watch his team compete without him.

 

“All this stuff plays with your head until you get back on the field,” Murray said. “It can eat at you. But I am over it at this point. I’m in a good headspace.”

 

His good headspace could lead him back to the field against Chicago, though a bit of caution is still advised, as we’ve gone through a similar process of will he, won’t he in each of the last three weeks leading up to kickoff for the Cardinals.

 

Arizona has chosen patience. It might end up paying off plenty, especially if Hopkins proves to be on a similar recovery/return track.

 

“These guys have played a lot of football,” Kingsbury said. “I don’t expect there to be some long drawn-out kind of recovery period for them to get acclimated and playing at a high level again.”

 

With the postseason a little over a month away, it will soon be time to ramp up to playoff-level performance. The Cardinals are building speed and preparing to merge into traffic at the front of the pack.

AFC WEST
 

DENVER

It appears that the entangled Bowlen family is close to deciding on a sale of Denver’s beloved Broncos.  This from Sportico:

The Denver Broncos are moving closer to being sold.

 

In the clearest indication yet that an ownership change is imminent, representatives for the team last month interviewed potential sell-side bankers, according to multiple people familiar with the meetings.

 

At least four different groups have met with the team, said the people, who were granted anonymity because the details are private. The franchise is currently controlled by the trust of late owner Pat Bowlen, but its long-term ownership future has been mired in uncertainty and legal challenges as Bowlen’s children disagree over who should control the team, or if it should be sold.

 

It’s unclear which specific banks participated in the discussions. Team spokesman Patrick Smyth declined to confirm any meetings with bankers, but said the team is “currently not for sale.”

 

“As [team CEO and Bowlen trustee] Joe Ellis said in July, the ownership transition will be addressed at some point after the season,” Smyth said.

 

The Broncos are currently controlled by the three-person Patrick D. Bowlen Trust, and operated by Ellis. The trust was established to handle Bowlen’s estate and name a new principal owner following his death in 2019. Bowlen died without declaring which of his seven children he preferred to replace him as the team’s primary decision-maker, a requirement under the NFL’s ownership rules.

 

Right now, each of Bowlen’s children own about 11% of the team, with that equity held in the trust (Pat’s brother, John, owns the rest in a single non-voting stake). Bowlen’s two eldest daughters previously filed a lawsuit, claiming that their father was not of sound mind and was unduly influenced when he changed the terms of the trust in 2009. That lawsuit was dismissed in July, clearing a legal hurdle but offering no more clarity on the future of the team.

 

Some of Bowlen’s children would prefer that the team be sold; others would prefer it stay in the family, with current team senior vice president Brittany Bowlen having emerged as the likely controlling owner in such a scenario. Then there’s the question of what the league would prefer. Owners tend to look after each other, but they also value stability and financial certainty.

KANSAS CITY

Chiefs OC Eric Bienemy is jittery about his playmakes picking up penalties for too much enthusiasm.  Michael David Smith of ProFootballTalk.com:

In the Chiefs’ most recent game, running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire picked up a 15-yard taunting penalty for pointing at a defender on his way into the end zone. Chiefs offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy was not happy about it.

 

Bieniemy said he’s been talking to the Chiefs’ offensive playmakers about how they should avoid taunting players, and his rule is simple: If you score a touchdown, hand the ball to the official and go celebrate on the sideline..

 

“The thing that we stress to our guys [is that] this is a point of emphasis, so regardless of what you might seem to think that it’s harmless, that’s not the case anymore,” Bieniemy said, via the Kansas City Star. “We need to go back to the days of just handing the ball to the ref — get in the end zone, celebrate with your guys, and then we go on from there.”

 

What Bieniemy is describing is the classic Barry Sanders touchdown celebration. It worked well for Sanders, and may catch on with more players who decide that any kind of celebration isn’t worth the risk of a taunting flag.

LAS VEGAS

St. Louis settled for close to a billion bucks in Kroenke/NFL cash, but Oakland’s lawyers can’t seem to get to first base.  Mike Florio of ProFootballTalk.com:

For all the body blows the NFL took during the St. Louis relocation litigation, the NFL keeps delivering uppercuts in Oakland.

 

Via Daniel Kaplan of TheAthletic.com, the NFL secured another victory in the two-track legal process arising from the latest decision by the Raiders to leave Oakland.

 

The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit has affirmed the dismissal of the federal antitrust lawsuit filed in connection with the move of the team from Oakland to Las Vegas. The next step, if the plaintiffs take it, will be to file a petition with the United States Supreme Court, which takes a small percentage of the cases submitted to it every year.

 

Also pending is a state-court lawsuit based on a breach of contract claim similar to the contention made by St. Louis that the NFL violated its relocation guidelines. The California court rejected the argument; the ruling has been appealed. As Kaplan describes it, the decision from the California Superior Court “reads as if it came from NFL talking points.”

 

It remains to be seen whether appeals in the California state court system will make a difference.

 

On one hand, the struggles in Oakland suggest that St. Louis was wise to take what it could while it could. On the other hand, the success that St. Louis enjoyed supports the notion that it shouldn’t have settled the case, instead forcing the NFL to take its reckoning.

AFC EAST
 

NEW ENGLAND

MJ10 is following on the heels of TB12.  Chris Cwik of YahooSports.com:

Most New England Patriots quarterbacks would try to distance themselves from Tom Brady. There’s no need to remind fans they used to have a guy that led their favorite franchise to six Super Bowl wins.

 

But Mac Jones isn’t most quarterbacks. Jones reportedly filed for a trademark to sell branded apparel, and that trademark should look pretty familiar to Patriots fans.

 

Jones, 23, reportedly filed to trademark “MJ10,” his initials followed by his jersey number, according to the Boston Globe. That’s the same structure Brady uses on his “TB12” branded products. 

 

Jones isn’t the first Patriots player to take influence from Brady here. Former receiver Julian Edelman sells merchandise featuring a “JE11” logo.

 

Comparing Jones, or any quarterback, to Brady would be foolish. No one deserves the pressure or the expectation they have to match or exceed Brady’s accomplishments in the NFL.

 

Jones, however, has given Patriots fans something to dream on during his rookie season. Through 12 games, Jones has 16 touchdowns against 8 interceptions. After a rocky first couple games, Jones has made strides as he continues to gain experience in the NFL. His adjusted yards per pass attempt has increased as the year has gone along, proof that the Patriots have more confidence in Jones making throws down the field.

 

The early returns look promising, but Jones still has a long way to go in New England. If he’s daunted by replacing a legend, Jones isn’t showing it. You don’t imitate Brady’s trademark if you’re looking to escape those comparisons.

 

THIS AND THAT

 

BEST OF THE 2020 DRAFT

As the end of their second season heads to a finish, Ben Linsey of ESPN.com picks the best players who have been revealed at each position from the 2020 draft:

It’s difficult to make any sweeping conclusions about who exactly an NFL player will be after his rookie season. Everyone gets drafted into a different situation and develops on a different curve. But the bigger picture is starting to become clearer as we near the end of the second regular season for the 2020 draft class. We are starting to understand the role these players have on their respective teams.

 

The Cincinnati Bengals picked quarterback Joe Burrow No. 1 overall, then Washington took defensive end Chase Young and Detroit Lions got cornerback Jeff Okudah. Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor and Dallas Cowboys cornerback Trevon Diggs — two standouts this season — were taken in the second round. Many players from the 2020 class have made a mark since being drafted.

 

With help from Pro Football Focus grading, here’s a look at the top second-year players at each position through 12 weeks of the 2021 season. Following our picks for each position are honorable mentions who just missed the cut. Earning a spot on this list is more of an accomplishment at some positions than others, and it kicks off with one of the toughest categories for crowning a winner: quarterback.

 

Quarterback: Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers

Burrow and Herbert both rank among the top five NFL quarterbacks in PFF grade through Week 12. But Herbert holds the upper hand in PFF’s wins above replacement (WAR) metric. His 2.5 mark this season ranks second among all quarterbacks — behind only Tom Brady (2.9).

 

The most impressive part about that number for Herbert is that he is likely being held back by first-year offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi’s passing attack.

 

Despite possessing one of the NFL’s best arms, Herbert has thrown the ball just 7.3 yards downfield on average (27th out of 32 qualifying quarterbacks) in 2021. He is also the only quarterback in the NFL with over 100 quick-game pass attempts. That’s not playing to his strengths. Why not let one of the most talented quarterbacks in the NFL attack downfield and profit.

 

Running back: Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts

Taylor isn’t only the best second-year running back in a class that provided the NFL with several talented lead backs, he is also the likeliest non-quarterback (20-1) to win the league’s MVP trophy through Week 12, according to odds at Caesar’s Sportsbook.

 

The former Wisconsin star possesses one of the most impressive size-speed combinations this side of Derrick Henry. That has helped him convert a first down or touchdown on 35% of his rushing attempts and force 46 missed tackles on the ground. Both marks are first in the NFL among running backs.

 

Wide receiver: Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings

One of the most telling situations for a wide receiver is how he performs against single coverage, and Jefferson has thrived in that department. Dating to his rookie season in 2020, only Davante Adams and Stefon Diggs have graded higher than Jefferson against single coverage.

 

Jefferson has proven that the concerns about his ability to win against press coverage on the outside were overblown as well. No wide receiver has recorded more receiving yards against press coverage than Jefferson since 2020 (1,114). The No. 22 overall pick has quickly become one of the most dangerous and well-rounded wide receivers in the NFL.

 

Tight end: Cole Kmet, Chicago Bears

Tight end is shaping up to be one of the weaker positions of the class. Just three 2020 picks — Kmet, Adam Trautman and Harrison Bryant — have played at least 300 offensive snaps in 2021.

 

Kmet’s numbers are somewhat limited by one of the league’s lowest-volume passing offenses, but the second-round pick out of Notre Dame has improved his PFF receiving grade to 70.5 through Week 12 of 2021 from 57.6 last season. Kmet has been particularly effective in contested situations, where his 69% catch rate since 2020 ranks first among 25 tight ends with 15 or more such targets.

 

Offensive tackle: Tristan Wirfs, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

It’s rare that an offensive lineman comes into the league and immediately warrants All-Pro consideration at his position, but that’s what Wirfs did in his first season out of Iowa. The No. 13 overall pick finished his rookie campaign as PFF’s highest-graded right tackle, and he has carried over that success into 2021.

 

Wirfs allowed only one pressure per 61 pass-blocking snaps through Week 12 — the best mark of any NFL tackle. Every indication points toward Wirfs being one of the league’s best for years to come.

 

Interior offensive line: Mike Onwenu, New England Patriots

Onwenu has played more snaps at tackle (892) than he has at guard (549) through his first 27 career games. He’s also not currently in the Patriots’ starting lineup, as Onwenu instead has operated as the do-it-all sixth offensive lineman over the past several weeks.

 

Even so, the sixth-round pick has been PFF’s highest-graded guard from last year’s draft class in both 2020 and 2021. One big reason is his success as a run blocker, particularly in gap schemes. Onwenu’s 85.9 run-blocking grade when lined up at guard ranks sixth among players with 500-plus snaps at the position since the start of 2020.

 

Interior defensive line: Derrick Brown, Carolina Panthers

Brown, the seventh overall pick in 2020, was expected to contribute immediately as an above-average run defender. Instead, his run defense has lagged behind his contributions as a pass rusher.

 

Brown ranks in the 75th percentile of interior defenders in PFF pass-rushing grade since 2020, and his 51 quarterback pressures since joining Carolina are second among all players in last year’s draft class — behind only Chase Young.

 

The Panthers hope his run defense catches up, given how dominant he was in that area for Auburn.

 

Edge defender: Chase Young, Washington Football Team

Young was having an underwhelming sophomore campaign prior to his season-ending injury in Week 10, but it’s still difficult to make the argument for anyone else as the top edge defender in a relatively weak class.

 

Young is worth nearly twice as many wins as any other edge defender in the class through Week 12 of the 2021 season, according to PFF’s WAR metric. He increased his pass rush win rate to 13% in 2021 from 11.9% in 2020, and he has graded in the 95th percentile at the position as a run defender since the start of last season.

 

Linebacker: Jordyn Brooks, Seattle Seahawks

For years, Bobby Wagner and K.J. Wright played side-by-side in Seattle. The Seahawks’ decision to not keep that duo intact and let Wright walk in free agency was largely to provide more opportunity for their 2020 first-round selection. Brooks already has played over 200 more defensive snaps in 2021 than he did during his rookie season, and he has seen his PFF grade improve slightly on that increased workload.

 

Brooks has been at his best as a downhill run defender, much like at Texas Tech. He has earned a negative run-defense grade on just 11.2% of his run-defense snaps in 2021, a top-10 mark among off-ball linebackers.

 

Cornerback: A.J. Terrell, Atlanta Falcons

There haven’t been many bright spots on Atlanta’s defense in 2021, but the 2020 16th overall pick certainly falls under that category in his second season out of Clemson.

 

He has allowed only 130 receiving yards across 342 coverage snaps this season. That’s the best rate (0.38 yards per coverage snap) of any cornerback in the NFL with at least 250 such snaps.

 

Atlanta is approaching a rebuild in the post-Matt Ryan era, and Terrell looks like a cornerstone for Arthur Smith & Co. to build around on defense.

 

Safety: Antoine Winfield Jr., Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Winfield and Kevin Byard are the only two safeties in the NFL to record 75 or higher run-defense and coverage PFF grades through Week 12. Tampa Bay’s secondary has been hit hard by injury, but the second-round pick has remained a steady contributor in all areas of Todd Bowles’ defense. Given the early returns on Wirfs and Winfield, Tampa Bay looks to have made out extremely well in the 2020 NFL draft.

 

Honorable Mentions

Quarterback: Joe Burrow, Bengals; Jalen Hurts, Eagles

 

Running back: James Robinson, Jaguars; D’Andre Swift, Lions

 

Wide receiver: CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys; Michael Pittman Jr., Colts; Darnell Mooney, Bears

 

Tight end: Adam Trautman, Saints

 

Offensive tackle: Andrew Thomas, Giants; Lucas Niang, Chiefs

 

Interior offensive line: Kevin Dotson, Steelers; Tyler Biadasz, Cowboys

 

Edge defender: Jonathan Greenard, Texans; Alex Highsmith, Steelers

 

Linebacker: Isaiah Simmons, Cardinals

 

Cornerback: Bryce Hall, Jets; Kristian Fulton, Titans; Jaylon Johnson, Bears

 

Safety: Jordan Fuller, Rams; Xavier McKinney, Giants

 

10 “MOST RELIABLE” PASS CATCHERS

From Nick Shook of NFL.com:

Who stands out from the pack when it comes to proving themselves trustworthy, in good times and bad?

 

That’s the question I’ve attempted to answer this week with the help of Next Gen Stats. Here are my 10 most reliable pass-catchers through Week 12 of the 2021 season.

 

1 Christian Kirk    Arizona Cardinals · WR

Seeing Kirk atop the list will probably come as a surprise to many, as he doesn’t have the notoriety of Pro Bowl teammates DeAndre Hopkins and A.J. Green, but that doesn’t discount his value to the Cardinals. Kirk is No. 1 here because he’s maximized his targets, posting a catch rate of 80.3 percent, which leads all NFL wide receivers (minimum 60 targets). His catch rate over expected is also significantly better than anyone else in the NFL at +13.6 percent. Because of the presence of Hopkins and Green, the Cardinals are able to put Kirk in the slot and create mismatches. Even when he’s covered well enough to reasonably expect an incompletion, he’s proving that expectation wrong, catching 15.9 percent more of his targets than expected when aligned in the slot. Cover Hopkins and Green as well as you can, but you better bring it when Cardinals quarterbacks throw Kirk’s way.

 

2 Hunter Renfrow   Las Vegas Raiders · WR

You know the saying by now: Third-and-Renfrow. It’s not shocking, then, that one of the league’s most reliable receivers on the ever-important third down landed on this list. The numbers validate the phrase, as Renfrow has posted the fourth-highest catch rate over expected on third-down targets (+9.2%) among receivers with at least 25 such targets. Renfrow is also finding open space with his shifty, if unorthodox, route running. He has popularized the “China” route and has made it his own to shake defenders for touchdown grabs. He did it against the Chargers in early October, and ran a variation of a whip route for a touchdown against Kansas City a few weeks ago. It’s a nightmare for defenses and has helped Renfrow post the third-best catch rate over expected on targets of fewer than 10 air yards this season (+6.1%).

 

3 Chris Godwin    Tampa Bay Buccaneers · WR

Godwin is another player on this list who might not be widely considered his team’s WR1, as he lines up opposite three-time Pro Bowl selectee Mike Evans. Godwin has proven to be the Bucs’ most reliable receiver, though. He has hauled in 76.1 percent of his 88 targets this season. Only three players have a higher catch rate among receivers with at least 60 targets. He’s been highly reliable in the short game, with a catch rate over expected of +4.4 percent on targets of fewer than 10 air yards this season (sixth-best among WRs, minimum 40 such targets), and he’s racked up 15 receptions when in the red zone, which ranks second in the league. Tom Brady loves to throw the fade to Evans in the end zone, but Tampa Bay tends to get into that position by first throwing to Godwin. It’s the right idea, as the Bucs have learned.

 

DB aside: Don’t get the DB wrong, we love Chris Godwin – but he has 10 dropped passes in his last 27 games, back to the start of 2020, counting postseason.  Not sure he should be this high in reliability.

4  Cooper Kupp    Los Angeles Rams · WR

The league leader in receptions and receiving yards naturally had to make this list, right? Kupp has seen an incredible 126 targets this season, catching 92 of them, which doesn’t quite produce the best catch rate due to sheer volume and external circumstances, but he’s still among the league’s top seven in that department at 73 percent. He’s helped Matthew Stafford post a 117.1 passer rating when targeting him, essentially guaranteeing a positive outcome when throwing his way. This isn’t just a case of Kupp capitalizing on safer targets, as he’s produced a catch rate over expected of +5.5 percent on throws of 10-plus air yards. Add in his +7 percent catch rate over expected on targets down the seams (fourth best in the NFL) and you have a well-balanced volume receiver who is clearly the go-to option in Los Angeles.

 

5  Justin Jefferson     Minnesota Vikings · WR

Jefferson’s rookie season might have been seen as a flash in the pan by the haters entering 2021, but they’ve quickly learned it was no fluke. Jefferson is a legitimate weapon and one of the league’s best receivers in only his second season, and though his catch rate falls slightly below his teammate Adam Thielen’s, he’s been spectacular enough (especially in key moments) to leap past his fellow Viking on this list. Jefferson owns the league’s best catch rate over expected on targets of 10-plus air yards (+13.4 percent) and the best catch rate over expected on targets outside the numbers (+14.5 percent) among receivers with at least 35 such targets. When considering the latter, a key third-down reception in a recent win over the Chargers immediately comes to mind. Jefferson fought through tight coverage, leapt to catch a pass from Kirk Cousins and tapped both feet in bounds to move the chains and help the Vikings hang on for the win with a highlight grab. He’s done that plenty and is certainly deserving of a place on this list.

 

6  Davante Adams     Green Bay Packers · WR

One of the NFL’s elite receivers might typically end up higher on this list, but sixth place is no knock on Adams, Aaron Rodgers’ No. 1 target in almost any situation. He’s only in this place because his numbers — again, a likely product of a higher volume of targets (115) — don’t quite stack up against some of the more notable achievers in this group. Still, Adams, like Justin Jefferson, ranks first in at least one notable category when it comes to catch rate over expected. His CROE on targets down the seams is the best in the NFL at +9 percent, and we already know how effective he is when aligned wide and in the slot. Adams has earned a lifetime’s worth of trust from Rodgers, who doesn’t shy from airing it out in No. 17’s direction. Adams has rewarded Rodgers, recording the fourth-best catch rate over expected on targets of 10-plus air yards (+7.8 percent). Throw all of this together with his catch rate — which is still at 69.6 percent — and everything else we know about Adams’ time in Green Bay and well, he’s a lock for this list.

 

7  Adam Thielen            Minnesota Vikings · WR

The second Viking on this list, Thielen has taken a backseat in notoriety to his younger counterpart, but that hasn’t diminished his value as a reliable pass catcher — especially in key moments. Thielen has made catches at a rate of +9.3 percent over expected on third down, the third-best rate in the league (min. 20 targets). He’s been a great option opposite Jefferson, finding success aligned wide and inside, posting a +7 percent catch rate over expected on targets down the seams (fourth-best in the NFL). Thielen has caught 70 percent of his 90 total targets, posting a total catch rate over expected of +5.2 percent, and he’s continued to be the trusty receiver who serves as the perfect complement to the rising Jefferson.

 

8  Amari Cooper              Dallas Cowboys · WR

When Cooper Rush desperately needed a touchdown pass to put the Cowboys ahead late in Dallas’ Week 8 win over Minnesota, he turned to the man the Cowboys can trust most: Cooper. The receiver hauled in the 5-yard touchdown pass in the back corner of the end zone to give Dallas the lead and soon after, the win, perfectly capturing his importance to the Cowboys’ offense. While CeeDee Lamb is the emerging receiving talent in Dallas, Cooper has proven to be the ultra-reliable option, catching passes at a rate of +10.5 percent over expected, the third-highest mark in the NFL (min. 50 targets). He’s been especially effective exceeding expectation on the perimeter, posting the highest catch rate over expected on targets when aligned wide this season at +16.7 percent. So while Lamb is exciting and a quality target, Dak Prescott (and for a brief period, Rush) is armed with more than one go-to receiver. When in need, throw Amari’s way.

 

9  Jaylen Waddle   Miami Dolphins · WR

If you’re not paying a ton of attention to the Dolphins right now (you probably should since they’ve won four straight), at least spend some time this week watching Waddle highlights. The rookie has lived up to the lofty expectations set for him coming out of Alabama with the sixth overall pick, catching nearly 75 percent of his 103 targets this season and scoring four touchdowns. What has made his debut season even more impressive is that he’s had so much success despite so much change under center in Miami, having to build a rapport with both Tua Tagovailoa (63 targets) and Jacoby Brissett (40). Waddle is tied with Justin Jefferson for the most receptions when targeted on third down (24), and he owns the second-best catch rate over expected on targets of fewer than 10 air yards this season at +6.8 percent. The youngster has quickly proven himself capable of adjusting to the pro game no matter who’s throwing him the ball, making the latest DeVante Parker absence much more bearable for the Dolphins.

 

10  T.J. Hockenson           Detroit Lions · TE

Our only tight end on this list, Hockenson earned his spot in part because he’s seen more targets than any other pass-catcher on the Lions’ roster. Jared Goff has relied heavily on Hockenson because, well, the Pro Bowl tight end has proven he’ll catch the ball more consistently than any of his teammates. Although he and rookie receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown are tied in catch percentage (75%), Hockenson’s reliability stands out when you consider he’s seen a significantly higher volume of targets (76 to Brown’s 52). But enough with splitting numerical hairs. Hockenson owns the best catch rate over expected on targets of fewer than 10 air yards — his wheelhouse as a traditional tight end — and his +5.4 percent catch rate over expected is the second best among NFL tight ends this season. He’s also expanded his capabilities, recording a catch rate over expected of +8.3 percent down the seams (-1.2% in 2020). The Lions have some roster renovations still to complete, but Hockenson has been one of the lone bright spots for Detroit’s offense this season.

 

ALSO CONSIDERED: Tee Higgins, Cincinnati Bengals; Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals; Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos; Michael Pittman, Indianapolis Colts; Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills; Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks