2021 DRAFT
Today’s trade-filled Mock Draft comes from Dane Brugler of The Athletic:
At this point in the draft season, a mock draft is all about examining various scenarios, and it can be tough to do a realistic projection of the first round without including a few trades. In last year’s first-round, 11 picks were made by teams that didn’t originally own that selection.
Trades are difficult to predict, but here are six plausible moves that could shake up Round 1. (Note: The Rams, Seahawks and Texans are not picking in the first round.)
1. Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson
No need to project a trade here — the Jaguars aren’t expected to shop this pick. Lawrence will undergo surgery in a few weeks to repair his non-throwing shoulder, but that won’t have any effect on his draft projection.
2. New York Jets — Zach Wilson, QB, BYU
This is where the draft starts and there will be plenty of speculation on a possible trade at No. 2 if the Jets decide to stick with Sam Darnold. However, there is a greater chance New York sees an opportunity to reset the franchise with a new quarterback, but which one? If Wilson does well during the interview process, many around the league expect him to be the favorite here. | Beat writer analysis: Connor Hughes reacts to the pick
3. ***TRADE***
Carolina Panthers receive:
2021 first-round pick (No. 3 overall)
Miami Dolphins receive:
2021 first-round pick (No. 8 overall)
2021 third-round pick
2021 fifth-round pick
2022 first-round pick
Carolina Panthers (via MIA) — Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State
The Panthers’ ownership and front office have made it known that they plan to be aggressive this offseason in upgrading the quarterback position. They missed out on Matthew Stafford, and Deshaun Watson remains a long shot, making the draft their best opportunity. Instead of sitting at No. 8 and hoping a quarterback falls to them, they out-bid other teams and go and get their guy in this mock. Fields needs time, but all the talent is there for him to develop into Carolina’s answer at the position. | Beat writer analysis: Joe Person’s reaction to the trade and pick
4. Atlanta Falcons — Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon
The Falcons are certainly a wild card with this pick. With a new head coach and general manager, they have a chance to draft a young quarterback to groom behind Matt Ryan. Or they can go the “best available” route and upgrade the current roster while still competing. The Falcons heavily scouted the offensive tackles in last year’s class and will likely do the same this year. Whether they plan to move Jake Matthews inside to guard or have Sewell start inside, Atlanta’s offensive line would be immediately better with this addition. | Beat writer analysis: Tori McElhaney reacts to the pick
5. Cincinnati Bengals — Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida
The Bengals need to upgrade the offensive line — that is indisputable. But it might not happen with this pick, especially if Sewell is off the board. Will they grade Northwestern’s Rashawn Slater this high? Maybe, but some teams don’t. The Bengals are expected to be a team willing to trade back, but if stuck here, Pitts would give Joe Burrow and Cincinnati a unique mismatch weapon. | Beat writer analysis: Paul Dehner reacts to the pick
6. Philadelphia Eagles — Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU
With the uncertainty of the organization’s quarterback situation, the Eagles are another team that might be in the mix for a top-10 quarterback prospect. But in this scenario, Howie Roseman and the front office decide to build up the roster, adding a three-level threat like Chase, who can be a legitimate No. 1 receiver in any offense. | Beat writer analysis: Bo Wulf on trade options here for the Eagles
7. ***TRADE***
Washington Football Team receives:
2021 first-round pick (No. 7 overall)
Detroit Lions receive:
2021 first-round pick (No. 19 overall)
2021 third-round pick (No. 82 overall)
2022 first-round pick
Washington Football Team (via DET) — Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State
With Alex Smith, Kyle Allen and Taylor Heinicke, Washington has several short-term options at quarterback. But Lance would give the organization a young, high-upside player with the physical talent and football character that translates well to the pro level. With the competition for quarterbacks in this draft, it will likely take multiple draft picks, including a future first, to make this deal happen for Washington. | Beat writer analysis: Ben Standig answers the question, Should WFT go get him?
8. Miami Dolphins (via CAR) — DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama
A player the Dolphins will likely consider if they stay at No. 3 overall, Smith is a dynamic playmaker due to his instincts, quickness and ball skills. Reuniting him with Tua Tagovailoa will help the second-year quarterback take another step forward in his development. | Beat writer analysis: Josh Tolentino reacts to the pick
9. Denver Broncos — Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech
With his blend of size, speed and reaction skills, Farley would be a great fit for what the Broncos are looking for on defense. There might be some rough patches early as he continues to develop, but the natural instincts and tools are why he has Pro Bowl potential. | Beat writer analysis: Nick Kosmider reacts to the pick
10. Dallas Cowboys — Patrick Surtain, CB, Alabama
The Cowboys could go Rashawn Slater here or possibly a front-seven defender, but cornerback is currently a weak spot on the roster and Surtain would be a natural fit in Dan Quinn’s scheme. With a Pro Bowl father, he was groomed to play the position at a high level would be an immediate starter in Dallas playing alongside his former Alabama teammate Trevon Diggs.| Beat writer analysis: Jon Machota reacts to the pick
11. New York Giants — Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama
With the Giants committed to Daniel Jones, the organization needs to continue and surround him with weapons. With his natural speed and burst, Waddle is dangerous before and after the catch, showing the separation skills to stress the defense in different ways (four receptions of 75-plus yards in his career). | Beat writer analysis: Dan Duggan reacts to the pick
12. ***TRADE***
New York Jets receive:
2021 first-round pick (No. 12 overall)
2022 second-round pick
San Francisco 49ers receive:
2021 first-round pick (No. 23 overall)
QB Sam Darnold
New York Jets (via SF) — Rashawn Slater, OT/G, Northwestern
This is a fun trade. Even with a new quarterback with the No. 2 pick, the Jets don’t have to trade Darnold. But they can maximize his value if the right deal presents itself, like this proposed trade from the 49ers. With their pick from the Jamal Adams’ trade, the Jets are able to jump up 11 spots in the first round and land Slater, who has Pro Bowl potential as a plug-and-play guard who can also kick out to right tackle if needed. For San Francisco, this deal is the equivalent of two second-round picks for a talented 23-year old quarterback with untapped skills. | Beat writer analysis: Connor Hughes reacts to the trade and pick + Matt Barrows reacts to the 49ers’ trade for Darnold
13. Los Angeles Chargers — Alijah Vera-Tucker, OT/G, USC
A priority this offseason is for the Chargers is to make upgrades on the offensive line to help protect Justin Herbert. After earning early-round grades at guard after the 2019 season, Vera-Tucker replaced Austin Jackson at left tackle this past season and more than held his own, proving his position versatility. | Beat writer analysis: Daniel Popper reacts to the pick
14. Minnesota Vikings — Gregory Rousseau, Edge, Miami (Fla.)
With his long, athletic frame, Rousseau is just scratching the surface of his potential. After opting out of the 2020 season, his pre-draft workouts will be paramount to convincing NFL teams that he is worthy of a spot in the top-20 picks. | Beat writer analysis: Chad Graff reacts to the pick
15. New England Patriots — Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State
The Patriots are another team that will be running through various quarterback scenarios this offseason, including a possible trade up into the top-10 picks. But if that doesn’t materialize, Parsons would be a logical choice if he is still on the board. As long as the Patriots are comfortable with his character, he would give Bill Belichick a versatile athlete with All-Pro potential. | Beat writer analysis: Jeff Howe’s reaction to the pick
16. Arizona Cardinals — Azeez Ojulari, Edge, Georgia
Chandler Jones is one of the best pass rushers in the league, but he is coming off an injury and entering a contract year. Unless they use the franchise tag, Haason Reddick is expected to test the free-agent waters and likely won’t be back. Ojulari led the SEC in sacks and tackles for loss in 2020 and offers the high-end traits to be disruptive off the edge.
17. Las Vegas Raiders — Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama
The Raiders have to get better on the defensive line, inside and on the edges. Barmore is still very young, and there are some inconsistent areas to his game, mostly in the run game. But he doesn’t stay blocked for very long due to his power, explosiveness and energy — three traits that don’t jump out when watching the Raiders’ defensive line last season. | Beat writer analysis: Tashan Reed reacts to the pick
18. ***TRADE***
Pittsburgh receives:
2021 first-round pick (No. 18 overall)
Miami receives:
2021 first-round pick (No. 24 overall)
2021 third-round pick (No. 87 overall)
2021 sixth-round pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (via MIA) — Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech
With longtime left tackle Alejandro Villanueva an upcoming free agent, the Steelers will need to find an answer at the position. They can sit at No. 24 and hope a tackle falls to them, but with tackle-needy teams like the Bears and Colts in front of them, trading a third-rounder and sixth-rounder to secure the position is a small price to pay. | Beat writer analysis: Sean Gentille reacts to the trade and pick
19. Detroit Lions (via WFT) — Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame
In this scenario, the Lions are able to move back a dozen spots, pick up a future first-rounder and add a versatile playmaker on defense. Owusu-Koramoah has the speed to mirror the run and create pressure as a blitzer while also giving Detroit a rangy cover man, which has been an obvious hole on defense. | Beat writer analysis: Chris Burke reacts to the pick
20. Chicago Bears — Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State
Regardless of what the Bears do at quarterback, the results will be similar to the past few seasons unless they make upgrades on the offensive line. Although his lack of length leads to consistency issues, Jenkins is highly competitive and uniquely powerful with light feet to shut down rushers. | Beat writer analysis: Kevin Fishbain reacts to the pick
21. ***TRADE***
Buffalo receives:
2021 first-round pick (No. 21 overall
Indianapolis receives:
2021 first-round pick (No. 30 overall)
2021 third-round pick (No. 93 overall)
2021 fifth-round pick
Buffalo Bills (via IND) — Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina
Since Brandon Beane was hired as general manager in 2017 the Bills have been one of the most aggressive teams in the first two rounds of the draft, targeting certain players and trading up to get them. Buffalo could upgrade the No. 2 cornerback spot on the depth chart, and Horn is a great fit for what the Bills covet at the position. | Beat writer analysis: Matthew Fairburn reacts to the trade and pick
22. Tennessee Titans — Jaelan Phillips, Edge, Miami (Fla.)
The Titans struggled to be disruptive in the backfield last season, ranking 30th in the league in sacks and quarterback pressures. There are medical and off-field concerns that could get in the way, but on the field, Phillips is a first-round talent with his athleticism and weaponized hands, projecting similar to Ryan Kerrigan.
23. San Francisco 49ers (via NYJ) — Kwity Paye, Edge, Michigan
San Francisco was able to address the quarterback position without completely dropping out of the first round. And with Paye still on the board, the 49ers add a player they might have considered if they stayed at No. 12. Although he is still a work-in-progress, Paye has the athletic traits and energy to be equally productive vs. the pass and the run.
24. Miami Dolphins (via PIT) — Zaven Collins, LB, Tulsa
In terms of scheme fit, Collins in Brian Flores’ defense is one of the most logical projections in this mock. And the Dolphins are able to trade back (for the second time in this scenario) and still land him here at No. 24 while adding picks later in the draft.
25. Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevon Moehrig, DS, TCU
The Jaguars are void of playmakers on the safety depth chart, something that Moehrig could fix immediately. The TCU safety has the range and ball skills to cover a lot of ground and make plays.
26. Cleveland Browns — Jayson Oweh, Edge, Penn State
Oweh doesn’t have an impressive stat sheet with zero sacks in 2020, but he was routinely in the backfield and disrupting the opponent’s backfield rhythm. A high school basketball player, Oweh is still connecting the dots and has the traits to develop into one of the best pass rushers from this class. | Beat writer analysis: Zac Jackson reacts to the pick
27. Baltimore Ravens — Jalen Mayfield, OG, Michigan
A college right tackle, Mayfield has the body type, movements and power that translate very well at guard, giving Baltimore an upgrade on the interior of the offensive line while also providing tackle insurance. | Beat writer analysis: Jeff Zrebiec reacts to the pick
Mac Jones (Mark J. Rebilas / USA Today)
28. New Orleans Saints — Mac Jones, QB, Alabama
When asking around the league for guesses on where Jones will land, the responses were varied and ranged from top-15 to mid-second round. He is a tough player to project in a mock draft, but his fit in New Orleans would be ideal for both sides. The Saints have a win-now roster, and Jones has NFL-ready accuracy and anticipation. | Beat writer analysis: Katherine Terrell reacts to the pick
29. Green Bay Packers — Eric Stokes, CB, Georgia
Although he is still discovering his potential at the position, Stokes is an intriguing prospect because he has length, ball awareness and he is one of the fastest players in this draft class. He checks a lot of boxes at a position of need for the Packers. | Beat writer analysis: Matt Schneidman reacts to the pick
30. Indianapolis Colts (from BUF) — Liam Eichenberg, OT, Notre Dame
Several of the Colts’ options at left tackle were scooped up before their pick at No. 21, but in this scenario they able to move back, pick up extra draft picks and land a solid tackle option. Eichenberg has only average athletic traits, but his veteran awareness and strong hands help him win the point-of-attack. | Beat writer analysis: Zak Keefer reacts to the pick
31. Kansas City Chiefs — Landon Dickerson, OG/C, Alabama
With his injury history, including a torn ACL in December, Dickerson is a tough player to project. But he is an easy first-round player based on talent and character and still has a chance to land in round one if the doctors are optimistic about his medicals.
32. ***TRADE***
Miami receives:
2021 first-round pick (No. 32 overall)
Tampa Bay receives:
2021 second-round pick (No. 36 overall)
2021 fourth-round pick
2021 sixth-round pick
Miami Dolphins (via TB) — Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson
The Dolphins think highly of Etienne, and in this scenario they trade back into the first round to get him. With the Jaguars, Jets and Falcons (all possible landing spots for Etienne) set to draft with the first three picks in the second round, Miami jumps those three for a reasonable price and locks up another explosive weapon on offense.
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