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MOCK CENTRAL
Let’s see what Daniel Jeremiah has cooking in his final Mock Draft, including Houston getting a QB AND what they believe is the draft’s best defender:
1 Carolina (from Chicago)
Bryce Young Alabama · QB · Junior
This is the pick that made the most sense to me ever since Carolina traded up to No. 1. I think Young is the best quarterback in this year’s class.
2 Houston
C.J. Stroud Ohio State · QB · Sophomore (RS)
There is a lot of information swirling around this pick, but I keep coming back to common sense. Houston needs a quarterback, and Stroud’s the best one available at No 2.
3 Houston PROJECTED TRADE WITH ARIZONA CARDINALS
Will Anderson Jr. Alabama · Edge · Junior
It’s no secret that Arizona wants to trade out of No. 3, and it’s no secret that Houston is seriously considering an edge rusher with the second pick. Both teams get what they want in this scenario. Houston now has a pillar on each side of the ball.
4 Indianapolis
Will Levis Kentucky · QB · Senior (RS)
There’s a lot of smoke connecting Levis to the Colts. They stay patient and get their quarterback.
5 Seattle (from Denver)
Jalen Carter Georgia · DT · Junior
Half of the league sources I talk to think Carter will be the pick here, while the other half has told me there’s no chance he’ll be Seattle’s selection at No. 5. I don’t know what to believe, but he would be a great fit in Pete Carroll’s defense.
6 Detroit (from LA Rams)
Devon Witherspoon Illinois · CB · Senior
One of my favorite players in the draft, Witherspoon’s style of play fits beautifully with the culture Dan Campbell has built. He’s feisty and tough.
7 Las Vegas
Christian Gonzalez Oregon · CB · Junior
The Raiders could go offensive line here, but the secondary needs help as well. In a division with Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert, I’ll go with the cornerback.
8 Atlanta
Bijan Robinson Texas · RB · Junior
I love Robinson. It’s tough to figure out where to place him, but he’s a top-10 player in this draft. Kyle Pitts, Drake London and now Robinson — second-year QB Desmond Ridder certainly won’t lack for options.
9 Chicago (from Carolina)
Tyree Wilson
Texas Tech · Edge · Senior (RS)
Wilson could easily go No. 2 overall to the Texans. He slips a bit, and the Bears hit a home run at No. 9.
10 Philadelphia (from New Orleans)
Nolan Smith Georgia · Edge · Senior
The Eagles invested in Georgia defenders last year, drafting Jordan Davis and Nakobe Dean. They come back for another former Bulldog in Smith.
11 Tennessee
Zay Flowers Boston College · WR · Senior
Seeing Flowers go this early would be a little bit of a surprise, but Tennessee’s offense is desperate for some speed and playmaking ability. Flowers fits that description.
12 Arizona PROJECTED TRADE WITH HOUSTON
Paris Johnson Jr. Ohio State · OT · Junior
There’s a lot of buzz that the Cardinals could take Johnson at No. 3 overall if they stay put. They still get him at No. 12 in this scenario. He’s a plug-and-play starter for a team that gets some extra bites at the apple after trading down.
13 Green Bay (from NY Jets)
Dalton Kincaid Utah · TE · Senior
Green Bay could weigh Kincaid versus Ohio State’s Jaxon Smith-Njigba here. I think Kincaid is a perfect fit in this offense, and the Packers could circle back for a receiver later, which has generally been their preferred approach at the position. They haven’t picked a WR in Round 1 since 2002.
14 New England
Lukas Van Ness Iowa · Edge · Sophomore (RS)
Some players just feel like New England Patriots. Van Ness is one of them. Smart, physical and tough.
15 New York Jets (from Green Bay)
Peter Skoronski Northwestern · IOL · Junior
My comparison for Skoronski was Jets guard Alijah Vera-Tucker. Both guys have the ability to play inside or outside. They would play next to each other one way or another with the Jets.
16 Washington
Emmanuel Forbes Mississippi State · CB · Junior
The Ron Rivera-led Commanders appreciate ballhawking cornerbacks, and Forbes is the best ballhawk in this draft. He’ll make plays on the ball in zone coverage for Washington.
17 Pittsburgh Broderick Jones Georgia · OT · Sophomore (RS)
Jones falls into the Steelers’ lap as they continue to remake their offensive line to protect Kenny Pickett.
18 Detroit
Calijah Kancey Pittsburgh · DT · Junior (RS)
Detroit doubles up on defense after taking a cornerback at No. 6. With Kancey added to the mix, the Lions will have one of the best young defensive lines in the NFL.
19 Tampa Bay
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Ohio State · WR · Junior
Smith-Njigba could be a top-10 pick or he could slide to this spot. The Bucs need to get younger and add more weapons offensively. He’d be a great addition.
20 Seattle
Anthony Richardson Florida · QB· Sophomore (RS)
I think Richardson could be in play at No. 5 for Seattle. He’d be a no-brainer pick for the Seahawks if he’s still available at No. 20. He can learn under Geno Smith before taking over as QB1.
21 Los Angeles Chargers
Michael Mayer Notre Dame · TE· Junior
The Chargers could look at CB or DL here, but Mayer would give Justin Herbert a similar player to Hunter Henry, whom they’ve missed since he left for New England after Herbert’s rookie year.
22 Baltimore
Deonte Banks Maryland · CB · Junior (RS)
Baltimore doesn’t have to travel far to find its next cornerback. The Ravens have always valued the position. Banks’ speed and toughness is a good match for them.
23 Minnesota
Jordan Addison USC · WR · Junior
The Vikings love versatile receivers who are also great route-runners. That’s a good way to describe Addison, who would take over the role Adam Thielen played.
24 Jacksonville
Joey Porter Jr. Penn State · CB · Junior (RS)
I wouldn’t be surprised if the Jaguars drafted an offensive lineman here, but with Porter sliding down, he’s too good to pass up.
25 New York
Brian Branch Alabama · CB · Junior
Branch is one of the more versatile players in this class, and Wink Martindale’s defense is built on having versatile pieces.
26 Dallas
Luke Musgrave Oregon State · TE · Senior
Dallas still has talent at tight end even after losing Dalton Schultz in free agency, but Musgrave gives them some major playmaking ability.
27 Buffalo
Quentin Johnston TCU · WR · Junior
The Bills invest in another weapon for Josh Allen with Gabe Davis in the final year of his contract. Johnston gives Buffalo some size that Allen can target in the red zone.
28 Cincinnati
Keeanu Benton Wisconsin · DT · Senior
I could see the Bengals going with a defensive lineman or Alabama RB Jahmyr Gibbs here. I have them taking Benton to strengthen the front line.
29 New Orleans (from San Francisco)
Myles Murphy Clemson · Edge · Junior
I wouldn’t rule out Hendon Hooker going to New Orleans if he’s still available. But in this case, the team fills a need off the edge and lets the Derek Carr era begin without a first-round rookie passer in the fold.
30 Philadelphia
Jahmyr Gibbs Alabama · RB · Junior
I haven’t given up on my dream of Philadelphia taking Bijan Robinson if he’s available at No. 10, but this is not a bad consolation prize. Gibbs has been gaining a lot of steam late in the process, and I’ll be surprised if he’s not a first-round pick.
31 Kansas City Chiefs
Darnell Wright Tennessee · OT · Senior
The Chiefs have a need at tackle, and the board falls their way. Wright is one of the top players at the position in this year’s draft.
– – –
What does Mel Kiper, Jr. of ESPN.com have in his final Mock?
1. Carolina Panthers (via CHI)
Bryce Young, QB, Alabama
I’m confident the Panthers will make the right call here and take Young, my top-ranked quarterback. He’s going to be their face of the franchise for years to come, though they need to focus on putting talent around him so they’re not picking in the top 10 in 2024.
2. Houston Texans
Will Anderson Jr., OLB, Alabama
I struggled with what to do here. Are the Texans really going to pass up a quarterback here? Will they trot out Davis Mills again next season? Could they find a veteran passer via trade (or take one with their other first-rounder?)
I’m hearing Houston will take an edge rusher, either Anderson or Tyree Wilson (Texas Tech), unless it throws everyone a curveball. I like Anderson much more than Wilson, and that’s the direction I’d go.
Projected trade: Titans make a big move up
This is the exact same trade I projected in my two-round mock draft a couple of weeks ago. Tennessee has studied these quarterbacks hard, and it could pounce. Plus, we know Arizona would prefer to trade down. This move makes a ton of sense.
This deal would be costly for the Titans, likely involving pick Nos. 11 and 41 in this draft, a 2024 first-rounder and a top pick in 2025. If they think they can get their quarterback of the future, it could be worth it.
3. Tennessee Titans (via mock trade with ARI)
C.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State
This would mean the Titans going all-in on a rookie quarterback, potentially trading away Ryan Tannehill and bypassing Malik Willis, the 2022 third-round pick who was drafted by former general manager Jon Robinson. While I like Will Levis (Kentucky) just a little bit more, Stroud is my fifth-ranked prospect overall. He is a stellar downfield passer with pinpoint accuracy and anticipation.
4. Indianapolis Colts
Will Levis, QB, Kentucky
I’ll stick with this match once again. The Colts have an offensive core to help Levis succeed. He’s going to make some mistakes, but he has experience playing in a pro-style offense and is ahead of the curve in going through progressions and reading defenses.
5. Seattle Seahawks (via DEN)
Jalen Carter, DT, Georgia
I just can’t see Seattle passing up its biggest need here. Carter would help it so much in the run game. He’s the No. 1 prospect on my Big Board. The other possibility is edge rusher — Tyree Wilson is still available — though the Seahawks could address it with pick No. 20. There are rumblings about their interest in quarterback Anthony Richardson (Florida), but I’m going with defense.
6. Detroit Lions (via LAR)
Devon Witherspoon, CB, Illinois
A hole at cornerback opened up after the Lions traded away Jeff Okudah, and they could get the first choice of a really solid corner class. Witherspoon can lock down one side of the field. Detroit could also fill a need with pick No. 18.
7. Las Vegas Raiders
Christian Gonzalez, CB, Oregon
Here’s another spot for a corner, with Gonzalez just behind Witherspoon in my rankings. They are clearly the top two guys. The 6-foot-1 Gonzalez has elite traits and length.
8. Atlanta Falcons
Tyree Wilson, DE, Texas Tech
I think Atlanta would love to grab one of the top corners, but they’re off the board in this scenario. The 6-foot-6 Wilson has a high ceiling as a pass-rusher, even if he was inconsistent at times in college. He would fill a huge hole here.
9. Chicago Bears (via CAR)
Paris Johnson Jr., OT, Ohio State
Chicago might be hoping Carter falls here; remember when we thought it might take him at No. 1 overall? Instead, the Bears could pivot to offensive tackle and take the top lineman. We could see a run on tackles in the teens.
10. Philadelphia Eagles (via NO)
Bijan Robinson, RB, Texas
The Eagles might prefer to trade back, but why not take an elite runner/receiver who could help them win now? It might go against the organization’s philosophy to take a running back this high, but the fit is logical, whether it’s at No. 10 or a few spots later. If it’s not Robinson, I thought about tackle/guard Peter Skoronski (Northwestern).
11. Arizona Cardinals (via mock trade with TEN)
Lukas Van Ness, DL, Iowa
Arizona is another team to watch for one of the tackles, but Van Ness would fill a big need. He could play all over the D-line here, and his positional flexibility is appealing. With the projected trade, the Cardinals now have an extra second-round pick, which would help them fill out their depleted roster.
12. Houston Texans (via CLE)*
Anthony Richardson, QB, Florida
I’m going to re-do some of this mock draft based on new intel, and it starts with Richardson to Houston. If he makes it to No. 12, I think he could be the pick. The Texans could get their edge rusher and their quarterback in the top 12.
13. Green Bay Packers (via NYJ)
Darnell Wright, OT, Tennessee
When the Packers swapped picks with the Jets in the Aaron Rodgers deal, putting them ahead of the Patriots, my first thought was an offensive tackle. Wright, who started 42 games in college, is a plug-and-play right tackle. Green Bay also could go for top pass-catching tight end Dalton Kincaid (Utah).
14. New England Patriots
Nolan Smith, OLB, Georgia
Smith strikes me as exactly the type of edge defender the Patriots would love to have. He could rack up 10 sacks per season for Bill Belichick & Co. I love this fit.
15. New York Jets (via GB)*
Peter Skoronski, OT/G, Northwestern
With Richardson off the board as a trade target for the Vikings, I’m going to stick to my original thinking for the Jets. Skoronski would make a ton of sense as a guard/tackle hybrid. I think he could be an All-Pro guard.
16. Washington Commanders*
Deonte Banks, CB, Maryland
Here’s another domino from Richardson going at No. 12. If Washington passes on the tackles, it should go for Banks, a fantastic man-to-man cover guy. He ran a 4.35-second 40-yard dash and put up a 42-inch vertical leap at the combine.
17. Pittsburgh Steelers*
Emmanuel Forbes, CB, Mississippi State
Forbes, one of my favorite prospects in this class, is a ballhawk — he had 14 picks over three college seasons, including six pick-sixes. As I wrote before, Steelers fans might be hoping for Joey Porter Jr., whose dad is a Pittsburgh legend, but I have Forbes rated a little bit higher. Pittsburgh has three picks in the top 49, and it needs to come out of Round 2 with starters at offensive tackle and cornerback.
18. Detroit Lions
Michael Mayer, TE, Notre Dame
The Lions really don’t have many immediate roster holes, but I love the idea of coach Dan Campbell going for an old-school tight end to help his offense. Mayer is a willing blocker and has upside as a pass-catcher.
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Broderick Jones, OT, Georgia
I expect the Bucs to be in the tackle market, and they could take the best available guy here. Tristan Wirfs could move from right to left tackle, opening up a void on the right side. Jones was outstanding for the national champs last season.
20. Seattle Seahawks
Myles Murphy, DE, Clemson
Here’s another match I’m sticking with from my two-round mock draft. Murphy is a complete edge defender who can hold up against the run. With Seattle taking Carter at No. 5, this means coach Pete Carroll has replenished his D-line.
21. Los Angeles Chargers*
Zay Flowers, WR, Boston College
I’m also going to change up my Chargers pick. I thought about running back Jahmyr Gibbs (Alabama), but let’s instead go with Flowers, my top-ranked wideout. The Chargers don’t have a playmaker like him, and he could do damage out of the slot.
22. Baltimore Ravens
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State
Smith-Njigba could go earlier than this, but he would really help Baltimore. He could be a star out of the slot. The Ravens added Odell Beckham Jr., but that was just a one-year deal, and he wouldn’t take away reps from Smith-Njigba. This would be a selection to get Lamar Jackson some help.
23. Minnesota Vikings*
Joey Porter Jr., CB, Penn State
If Minnesota can’t move up for Richardson or Levis in the teens — and if it doesn’t want to take quarterback Hendon Hooker (Tennessee) here — it should focus on the cornerbacks. Porter is physical and long, and he’ll create more turnovers at the next level than he did in college.
24. Jacksonville Jaguars*
Anton Harrison, OT, Oklahoma
The news that Jacksonville left tackle Cam Robinson is facing a multigame suspension for violating the NFL’s performance-enhancing drugs policy forced me to re-think this selection. Harrison could start on the left side as a rookie. NFL scouts love his upside.
25. New York Giants*
Jordan Addison, WR, USC
With Porter off the board, I’m pivoting to the best available wide receiver. Addison starred out of the slot at Pitt, but he played more out wide after transferring to USC. He has some versatility. He can create yards after the catch and pick up first downs on crossers and slants. The Giants would be adding to their offseason pass-catching overhaul.
26. Dallas Cowboys
Dalton Kincaid, TE, Utah
Here’s how Dallas could level up its offense. Kincaid is a dynamic pass-catcher who can find open spots in the middle of the field and stretch the seams on vertical routes. He’d help Dak Prescott from Day 1. If the Cowboys don’t take a tight end, keep an eye on the edge rushers.
27. Buffalo Bills*
Will McDonald IV, OLB, Iowa State
I wanted to slot in Addison here, but I see a fit for McDonald in Buffalo. While he might not be an every-down player as a rookie, his ceiling is high. I’m a big fan of McDonald’s speed game, though he still needs to develop more pass-rush moves.
I also thought about TCU interior offensive lineman Steve Avila, who would fill a hole.
28. Cincinnati Bengals*
Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Alabama
With Gibbs still available, I think the Bengals would pounce. Joe Mixon was ineffective last season, and he could be a candidate to be released after the draft. Gibbs is a tremendous pass-catcher out of the backfield, but his between-the-tackles ability is underrated. He’d make this offense better.
29. New Orleans Saints (via DEN/MIA/SF)
Mazi Smith, DT, Michigan
Smith is getting some first-round buzz because he’s the best run-stuffer in this class. At 6-foot-3, 323 pounds, he can plug a hole. Teams don’t always prefer tackles with limited pass-rushing upside, but he’d fill a need in New Orleans. I moved Smith to No. 30 overall on my Big Board.
30. Philadelphia Eagles*
Calijah Kancey, DT, Pitt
This is a fit I’ve liked for a long time. Kancey can wreck games from the interior line, and NFL teams covet that type of player. He’s so quick at the snap. He’s undersized — 6-foot-1, 281 pounds — but he had 13.5 sacks over the past two seasons. He’d fill a hole in Philly.
Projected trade: Rams move up for a QB
The Rams own pick No. 36, and there has been some buzz about their interest in a quarterback in this class. Matthew Stafford has dealt with a couple serious injuries. Could they make a trade up five spots?
I don’t think it would take that much, though they don’t have a fourth-round pick in this draft. Maybe it would involve No. 36 plus a couple other Day 3 picks, or a third-rounder in next year’s draft.
For the Chiefs, with the top edge rushers off the board, they don’t have to force a pick at No. 31.
31. Los Angeles Rams (via mock trade with KC)*
Hendon Hooker, QB, Tennessee
Why not do this if you’re the Rams? Stafford had a rough season in 2022. They could get Hooker’s fifth-year option here, and there is past precedent of teams trading into the final spot in Round 1 (Lamar Jackson in 2018).
As I’ve written before, I’m not as high on Hooker as others — he’s No. 54 overall in my rankings — but I do think he’ll land in Round 1. This is a fit I could see happening.
– – –
How about Dane Brugler of The Athletic?
I say it every year: I am perfectly fine going 0-for-32 (0-for-31 this year) in my final mock draft, because that means it was an exciting, unpredictable draft. And that is why we all love the NFL Draft.
Putting together a mock draft starts with figuring out where the quarterbacks will go, and that is a near-impossible task this year. We can feel good about the first pick, but then it’s an educated guess on what Houston will do at No. 2 or which quarterback the Colts will draft at No. 4. Who else in the first round takes a quarterback?
All I know is I can’t wait to find out. My final first-round mock for the 2023 NFL Draft (with no trades):
1. Carolina Panthers (via CHI): Bryce Young, QB, Alabama
Carolina takes the No. 1 player in the draft with the No. 1 pick. Slam dunk.
2. Houston Texans: Will Anderson Jr., Edge, Alabama
This is really where the draft starts. Will the Texans take a quarterback or defensive cornerstone? And which player? My guess is they pass on the passer and take the player who dominated the SEC the past three seasons.
3. Arizona Cardinals: Tyree Wilson, Edge, Texas Tech
Everything should be on the table for Arizona, from an offensive lineman (Paris Johnson Jr.?) to trading back. Ask any average NFL fan if they can name one defensive lineman on the Cardinals depth chart, though, and witness their blank face. Wilson would be a nice starting point as the new regime builds the roster.
4. Indianapolis Colts: C.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State
Anthony Richardson wouldn’t surprise me here. Neither would Will Levis. I’m going to say it’s Stroud, however, because he is ready to step in and lead the Colts’ offense.
5. Seattle Seahawks (via DEN): Jalen Carter, DT, Georgia
On the field, Carter is arguably the best player in the draft. But is the reward worth the risk? The Seahawks are ready to take that chance.
6. Detroit Lions (via LAR): Devon Witherspoon, CB, Illinois
While I prefer Christian Gonzalez, I can understand if the Lions go this route and make Witherspoon the top cornerback drafted. He is undersized at 185 pounds but plays much bigger than that with the instincts to create turnovers.
7. Las Vegas Raiders: Christian Gonzalez, CB, Oregon
The Raiders need help at every level of the defense, including outside at cornerback. Gonzalez is tall, long and can run — a combination that provides a great starting point. He also brings some savvy to the position to locate the ball and make plays.
8. Atlanta Falcons: Bijan Robinson, RB, Texas
Robinson is a top-10 player in this class, yet it is difficult to feel confident about where to project him. Though I’m sure this pick would be met with criticism, the Falcons weren’t afraid to draft the top offensive weapon available the past two seasons (Kyle Pitts and Drake London, respectively).
9. Chicago Bears (via CAR): Paris Johnson Jr., OT, Ohio State
Johnson would fill a glaring hole at right tackle. He’d give the Bears a better opportunity to win and fully evaluate if Justin Fields is the answer at quarterback.
10. Philadelphia Eagles (via NO): Peter Skoronski, G/T, Northwestern
Though there is a good chance this pick addresses the Eagles’ defensive line, the draft’s depth stretches there more than it does among the offensive line. Skoronski would be a plug-and-play right guard and the long-term answer at right tackle.
11. Tennessee Titans: Anthony Richardson, QB, Florida
The Titans have plenty of other holes to address on the roster, but they might view Richardson’s talent as too good to pass up. Ryan Tannehill is the right now, and Richardson could be the future.
12. Houston Texans (via CLE): Will Levis, QB, Kentucky
There has been plenty of noise that Levis could be the pick at No. 2 for the Texans, which would be a big shock. Here it would make more sense.
13. Green Bay Packers (via NYJ): Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State
After not drafting a first-round wide receiver during Aaron Rodgers’ 18 years in Green Bay, it certainly would be a storyline if the Packers did so for Jordan Love the moment Rodgers makes his exit. With Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson on the outside, Smith-Njigba would be a natural fit in the slot.
14. New England Patriots: Deonte Banks, CB, Maryland
If the Patriots look to add more size to their cornerback depth chart, Banks would do so without sacrificing the group’s speed. He has the tape that will have Bill Belichick interested.
15. New York Jets (via GB): Broderick Jones, OT, Georgia
Mekhi Becton and Duane Brown are back in the fold, but the chances of both starting all 17 games for the Jets are slim. Jones would provide immediate and important depth at a key position.
16. Washington Commanders: Emmanuel Forbes, CB, Mississippi State
Although his rail-thin body type might scare off some teams, Forbes consistently gets his hands on the football — something the Commanders could use on defense.
17. Pittsburgh Steelers: Darnell Wright, OT, Tennessee
The Steelers have done exhaustive work on this year’s offensive tackle class, including on Wright. A borderline draftable player based on his junior tape, Wright put himself in the first round with his play as a senior.
18. Detroit Lions: Lukas Van Ness, Edge, Iowa
The Lions want to continue building on the defensive line, and an ascending player like Van Ness would offer the explosive power to play both inside and outside.
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Nolan Smith, Edge, Georgia
The Buccaneers have question marks at quarterback, but they also need more help on defense rushing the passer. Smith has the pass-rush speed and run-defending skills that fit Todd Bowles’ scheme.
20. Seattle Seahawks: Zay Flowers, WR, Boston College
Dropping Flowers into the Seattle offense would give Geno Smith the third receiving option he was missing last season.
Miami Dolphins (pick forfeited)
21. Los Angeles Chargers: Michael Mayer, TE, Notre Dame
Wide receiver (Jordan Addison?) is definitely in play here. Given the way new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore relies on the tight end position, though, a combo option like Mayer is a natural fit. He’d help both the run and pass games.
22. Baltimore Ravens: Joey Porter Jr., CB, Penn State
Porter following in his father’s footsteps and landing in Pittsburgh would be a nice story. If he falls to the Steelers’ AFC North rival, that might be even better.
23. Minnesota Vikings: Jordan Addison, WR, USC
In this scenario, the Vikings are wiped out at cornerback with five already off the board. But I’ll bet they’d love to see Addison available here. He would add another weapon for Kirk Cousins and the passing game.
24. Jacksonville Jaguars: Brian Branch, S, Alabama
Whether he plays safety, nickel or cornerback, Branch would give the Jaguars options in the secondary. Branch’s coverage ability and tackling skills make him one of the easier players to like in this class.
25. New York Giants: Quentin Johnston, WR, TCU
Cornerback (like Michigan’s DJ Turner) could be an option here, but Johnston would give the Giants much needed size and a player who can potentially grow into a true No. 1 receiving option.
26. Dallas Cowboys: Dalton Kincaid, TE, Utah
The Cowboys would be bummed to see Mayer drafted five picks earlier, but they would be elated if Kincaid is still available at this pick. Arguably the best pure pass catcher among the tight ends in this draft class, Kincaid would make the Cowboys’ offense more dynamic — which is exactly what Jerry Jones wants with this pick.
27. Buffalo Bills: Matthew Bergeron, OT, Syracuse
An offensive weapon or linebacker are certainly in play here, but it won’t be a surprise if the Bills focus on the trenches. Bergeron has the talent to play tackle or guard and would help Buffalo get its best five linemen on the field.
28. Cincinnati Bengals: Calijah Kancey, DT, Pitt
The Bengals haven’t drafted a defensive tackle in the first round in almost 30 years (Dan “Big Daddy” Wilkinson at No. 1 overall in 1994), so they are overdue. Kancey doesn’t have ideal size measurements, but he is disruptive and could be a Geno Atkins-like presence.
29. New Orleans Saints (via DEN): Mazi Smith, DT, Michigan
The Saints want to get better on the defensive line with this pick, and an edge defender like Myles Murphy makes sense. But Smith would give New Orleans the hulking nose tackle it desperately needs to improve its run defense.
30. Philadelphia Eagles: Adetomiwa Adebawore, DT, Northwestern
This would complete the “All-Northwestern” first-round for the Eagles. Though I do think it is unlikely that Philadelphia stays put at both No. 10 and No. 30, Adebawore would be a tough player to trade away from because he hits a lot of notes that would appeal to Howie Roseman.
31. Kansas City Chiefs: Myles Murphy, Edge, Clemson
When hunting pass rushers for Steve Spagnuolo’s scheme, look for big, powerful and athletic players. Murphy checks those boxes.
– – –
Mock #4 is Ryan Wilson of CBSSports.com:
1 – CAROLINA (from Chicago)
Bryce Young QB ALABAMA • JR • 5’10” / 204 LBS
Young came in at 5-10 1/8 and weighed 204 pounds at the combine and didn’t take part in the drills, but had a great pro day several weeks later. New coach Frank Reich has talked about the importance of size at the position but Young is the most NFL-ready quarterback on the board.
2 – HOUSTON
Will Anderson Jr. EDGE ALABAMA • JR • 6’4″ / 253 LBS
Pass rusher Will Anderson is the safest pick in the draft and fills an obvious need for the Texans and their new coach, former 49ers defensive coordinator Demeco Ryans. QB would make sense here too, but word on the street is that Houston isn’t nearly as high on CJ Stroud as Bryce Young.
3 – ARIZONA
Christian Gonzalez CB OREGON • SOPH • 6’1″ / 197 LBS
The Cardinals will try to trade out of this pick but there’s been talk in recent days that if they stay put they could grab Gonzalez. A Colorado transfer, he is a big-time athlete who is still growing into the position. He has the size, strength and speed — he ran a 4.38 40 at the combine — to line up against NFL wide receivers; he just needs to improve in run support.
4 – INDIANAPOLIS
C.J. Stroud QB OHIO STATE • JR • 6’3″ / 214 LBS
C.J. Stroud had a great pro day and it further solidified his case as one of the two best QBs in this draft class. Stroud is our QB2, and his tape — not to mention Indy’s glaring need at the position — merits him going here in the draft.
5 – SEATTLE (from Denver)
Anthony Richardson QB FLORIDA • SOPH • 6’4″ / 244 LBS
Richardson was pretty impressive at his pro day; he’s built like a defensive end runs like a power back and can throw the football 80 yards and make it look easy. His athleticism and arm strength leave a lasting impression when you see him in person, as does the effortlessness with which he plays. But what he has in God-given ability, he lacks in experience, so his best landing spot at the next level will be to a team with a veteran quarterback who can man the reins for another year or two until he’s ready to take the next step. Of those candidates, Seattle might be best positioned to get the most out of his talents — and if managed properly, that next step could truly be special.
6 – DETROIT (from LA Rams)
Devon Witherspoon CB ILLINOIS • JR • 6’0″ / 181 LBS
Witherspoon played at 180 during the season but to watch him you’d swear he’s closer to 215 pounds. He’s one of the best corners in this class against the run and he’s just as good in coverage.
7 – PITTSBURGH (Mock Trade from Las Vegas)
Paris Johnson Jr. OT OHIO STATE • JR • 6’6″ / 313 LBS
We’ve heard for a few weeks that the Steelers loved Paris Johnson Jr. and if they want him they’re going to have to trade up. The Raiders have been looking to move down and Pittsburgh provides them that opportunity. Johnson had a solid career at Ohio State where he played left tackle in ’22 and was the team’s right guard in ’21. For the Steelers, he’ll likely be their Day 1 left tackle.
8 – ATLANTA
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR OHIO STATE • JR • 6’1″ / 196 LBS
The Falcons want to trade out of this pick and land either a cornerback or a wide receiver. In this mock, they can’t move down … so they take the best wide receiver anyway. Smith-Njigba, who barely saw the field during the 2022 season because of injuries, is still one of the top wideouts in the class. Before he shined at the Ohio St. pro day, it was easy to forget that JSN led the 2021 Buckeyes in receptions and that corps included first-rounders Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave, and future first-rounder Marvin Harrison Jr.
9 – CHICAGO (from Carolina)
Jalen Carter DL GEORGIA • JR • 6’3″ / 314 LBS
Jalen Carter was arguably the best defender on a ’21 Georgia D that had five first-round picks, but off-field issues will determine when he hears his name called.
10 – PHILADELPHIA (from New Orleans)
Nolan Smith EDGE GEORGIA • SR • 6’2″ / 238 LBS
Nolan Smith missed part of the 2022 season with a pectoral injury but he’s an electric pass rusher when healthy. He’s also a freakish athlete — he ripped off a 4.39 40 at the combine (and was mad about running too slow!). That motor is all over his tape and he’d fill a need in Philly where he could learn from Haason Reddick, who was a similar size coming out of Temple and is now one of the most proficient pass rushers in the league.
11 – TENNESSEE
Zay Flowers WR BOSTON COLLEGE • SR • 5’9″ / 182 LBS
We’ve heard for weeks that either Jaxon Smith-Njiba or Zay Flowers would be WR1 and the Titans go Flowers here. He was the offense at BC last season and he has some in-his-prime Antonio Brown to his game.
12 – HOUSTON (from Cleveland)
Peter Skoronski OT NORTHWESTERN • JR • 6’4″ / 313 LBS
Skoronski is solid and consistent, which are two of the best things you can say about an offensive lineman. The biggest issue he’ll face during the pre-draft process will be arm length and whether his NFL future is at tackle or guard. But like he told us at the combine, there are plenty of NFL offensive tackles who have long arms and struggle too. That’s not the final determinant of success.
13 – GREEN BAY (from NY Jets)
Broderick Jones OT GEORGIA • SOPH • 6’5″ / 311 LBS
Paris Johnson Jr. will be ready to start in the NFL sooner than Jones, but Jones’ upside is through the roof. The Packers are reportedly intrigued by Jones and he provides some short-term insurance behind David Bakhtiari.
14 – NEW ENGLAND
Lukas Van Ness EDGE IOWA • SOPH • 6’5″ / 272 LBS
At 6-5, 275, Van Ness certainly looks the part, and the expectation is that he can even put on 10-15 more pounds. He’s just scratching the surface on his abilities — he never started a game at Iowa — and while it’s generally a cliche in this case it’s also true: Van Ness’ best football is in front of him and he’s already a really good player.
15 – NY JETS (from Green Bay)
Michael Mayer TE NOTRE DAME • JR • 6’5″ / 249 LBS
When the Jets traded down they knew they’d likely be missing out on an offensive tackle. They’ll have to hope Duane Brown, Max Mitchell and Mekhi Becton will hold up and instead they get Aaron Rodgers the most complete tight end in the draft class.
16 – WASHINGTON
Emmanuel Forbes CB MISSISSIPPI STATE • JR • 6’1″ / 166 LBS
Forbes might weigh 166 pounds but he’s almost 6-foot-1, and more importantly, is the best ballhawking defensive back in the entire class. He had 14 interceptions his last three seasons, including a mind-boggling six pick-sixes.
17 – LAS VEGAS (Mock Trade from Pittsburgh)
Deonte Banks CB MARYLAND • JR • 6’0″ / 197 LBS
Banks put together the type of season that not only will land him in the first-round, but he could end up being one of the first CBs off the board (it didn’t happen in this mock but we won’t be surprised if he goes higher on Thursday night). He’s a fluid athlete who is also a big, physical corner who can match up with NFL wide receivers.
18 – DETROIT
Myles Murphy EDGE CLEMSON • JR • 6’5″ / 268 LBS
Murphy turned 21 in early January, and while we’d like to see him play with more consistency, his best football is in front of him, for sure. He has all the physical tools you look for in an elite edge defenders and it’s easy to see him in a few years being dominant. And that, in large part, is what makes him such an interesting prospect.
19 – TAMPA BAY
Anton Harrison OT OKLAHOMA • JR • 6’4″ / 315 LBS
There was some thought that Harrison might return to Oklahoma for an NIL deal that was too good to pass up but he’s instead opted for the NFL. He’s one of the top tackles in the class and in Tampa he’ll fill a void on the left side of the offensive line.
20 – SEATTLE
Tyree Wilson EDGE TEXAS TECH • SR • 6’6″ / 271 LBS
The more you watch of Wilson the more you love his game. Not only what he put on tape at Texas Tech but his upside 2-3 years down the road. He’s long, has the frame to add weight if needed, and he’s a dominant, high-motor pass rusher who can take over games. Some teams have real concerns about his foot injury but we’ve also heard that the Seahawks love him.
21 – LA CHARGERS
Dalton Kincaid TE UTAH • SR • 6’4″ / 246 LBS
Kincaid got the all-clear medically, and that means he has a good chance to find his way into Round 1. You’re not drafting him to block anyone — that’s not his game — but in LA he’ll be yet another hard-to-gameplan-for playmaker catching passes from Justin Herbert.
22 – BALTIMORE
Bijan Robinson RB TEXAS • JR • 5’11” / 215 LBS
Bijan Robinson is a top-10 talent but we couldn’t find a landing spot for him until the Ravens jumped at the chance to continue to improve the offense in the hopes that Lamar Jackson will make his way back to the building. Robinson is a Day 1 starter and immediately makes this unit more dynamic.
23 – MINNESOTA
Joey Porter Jr. CB PENN STATE • JR • 6’3″ / 193 LBS
Porter is the prototypical big, physical cornerback who looks like he belongs in the NFL. He can sometimes get a little too handsy downfield, but he checks many of the boxes of what team’s look for when drafting DBs.
24 – JACKSONVILLE
Darnell Wright OT TENNESSEE • SR • 6’5″ / 333 LBS
The Jags lost Jawaan Taylor in free agency and while Walker Little would seem to be next man up, the 2021 second-round pick wasn’t able to beat out Taylor for the job last August. He fared well in fill-in duty at left tackle late last season but as Jacksonville looks to take the next step, protecting Trevor Lawrence is job No. 1. Wright, meanwhile, is a first-round talent all day long and don’t be surprised if he’s RT1 — and maybe even one of the first offensive linemen off the board.
25 – TENNESSEE (Mock Trade from NY Giants)
Will Levis QB KENTUCKY • SR • 6’4″ / 229 LBS
We were at Levis’ pro day and he’s built like a linebacker — and watching him throw the ball in person is something to behold — you can actually hear the passes whistle. But questions remain about his ability to layer the ball to all three levels, as well as some inconsistencies when rolls to his left. There’s a real chance he falls on draft night but this could be an opportunity for a team to move back up and grab him — and that fifth-year option. Plus, Ryan Tannehill is 35 and entering the last year of his contract, and it doesn’t appear that Malik Willis is in the team’s long-term plans.
26 – DALLAS
Calijah Kancey DL PITTSBURGH • JR • 6’1″ / 281 LBS
Kancey was just about unblockable at times during the 2022 season for the Panthers and his 6-foot-1, 281-pound frame will (unfairly, perhaps) draw comparisons to Aaron Donald. The biggest physical difference, however, is that while Donald had 32 5/8-inch arms, Kancey’s arm length came in at a shade under 31 inches, and that’s a major concern when going up against NFL offensive lineman who have 33-34-inch arms. That said, turn on the tape and show us where arm length is an issue for Kancey, who wins consistently with twitch, speed and power.
27 – BUFFALO
Jordan Addison WR USC • JR • 5’11” / 173 LBS
Addison isn’t a big target, but he’s one of the most dynamic players in the country who can line up anywhere. He “only” managed a 4.49 40 at the combine but the tape is the tape — and it consistently showed that he was regularly the best player on the field who can win at all three levels, playing either outside or in the slot.
28 – CINCINNATI
Julius Brents CB KANSAS STATE • SR • 6’3″ / 198 LBS
The Bengals lost safeties Vonn Bell and Jessie Bates in free agency but 2022 first-rounder Dax Hill and new signing Nick Scott will get first crack at the jobs. Meanwhile, cornerback remains a question; Chidobe Awuzie is the team’s best corner but he’s coming off a midseason ACL injury. Cam Taylor-Britt had an impressive rookie campaign, but after that, however, there isn’t much depth outside. Brents is 6-foot-3, ran a 4.53 40 at the combine and had among the best 3-cone and short-shuttle times too. He’s long, fast, physical and plays with an edge and the Lions come out of the first round bolstering two of the three levels on defense.
29 – NEW ORLEANS (from San Francisco)
Keion White EDGE GEORGIA TECH • SR • 6’5″ / 285 LBS
White was another player who had a great week at the Senior Bowl, and NFL teams love his size (6-foot-4, 280 pounds) and his motor. He consistently wins at the line of scrimmage and is good against both the run and getting after the quarterback. He may eventually end up going early on Day 2 but it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him slip into the first round. The Saints had him in for a 30 visit and he fills an obvious need in New Orleans.
30 – PHILADELPHIA
Brian Branch S ALABAMA • JR • 6’0″ / 190 LBS
Brian Branch is special; he can play in the slot, near the line of scrimmage or deep centerfield. And if Nick Saban trusted him at Alabama, that’s all you need to know about his NFL prospects. He ran a 4.58 at the combine but he plays much faster than that.
31 – KANSAS CITY
Quentin Johnston WR TCU • JR • 6’3″ / 208 LBS
Johnston’s an above-the-rim playmaker whose athleticism and contested-catch abilities make him in the running for WR1. The team landed slot receiver Skyy Moore last season and now they get Patrick Mahomes a big downfield target in Johnston.
– – –
#5 is Kevin Hanson of SI.com:
Earlier this month, FMIA’s Peter King shared a quote from a longtime agent that said, “The mocks this year are going to be laughable.”
As Yogi Berra said, it’s “tough to make predictions, especially about the future.”
It’s NFL draft day morning, so here is my final mock. Three schools—the usual suspects (Ohio State, Georgia and Alabama)—are tied for the most prospects (three each) in the first round below. There’s a legitimate chance that the first two selections of this year’s draft will have been collegiate teammates.
If so, that would be the first time it has happened since 2000 when Penn State’s Courtney Brown and LaVar Arrington were the first and second picks, respectively.
Since then, there has been only one draft (2006) where the school (LSU) with the prospect selected No. 1 (JaMarcus Russell) also had another prospect selected in the top 10 (LaRon Landry).
Soon these top prospects will have new NFL homes.
1 – Carolina Panthers (via CHI): Bryce Young, QB, Alabama
When the Panthers traded up, it was clear this pick would be used to select a quarterback, and it has since become increasingly likely that Young is their target. The former Heisman Trophy winner lacks ideal size, and Frank Reich has typically coached bigger quarterbacks, but the Panthers’ coach has also said that “ultimately it really comes down to [them] being a playmaker.” Young is always composed, processes quickly and has the ability to extend and make plays outside of structure.
2 – Houston Texans: Tyree Wilson, edge, Texas Tech
If Young is off the board, as expected, the Texans could pass on a quarterback here. If so, there will likely be considerable debate between selecting Alabama’s Will Anderson Jr. and Wilson. Wilson’s combination of size, length and power offers enormous upside, and the former Red Raider is coming off his most productive season, although a foot injury cut it short.
3 – Arizona Cardinals: Will Anderson Jr., edge, Alabama
This pick should be available to the highest bidder, and the odds of finding a willing trade partner should increase if the second pick is not a quarterback. The Colts, Raiders and Titans would all be logical trade partners. Anderson’s combination of power, length, burst and relentless motor has allowed him to consistently stuff the stat sheet as college football’s most productive pass rusher over the past three years. The high-floor defender has outstanding character and would be an ideal first selection for an organization resetting under the leadership of a new coach and general manager.
4 – Indianapolis Colts: Will Levis, QB, Kentucky
This is what I expect the Colts will do, as opposed to what I think the Colts should do (draft Ohio State’s C.J. Stroud). That said, it’s clear the carousel of rotating veteran quarterbacks in Indy needs to end, as the Colts will enter 2023 with a new starting quarterback for the sixth consecutive season. Even if Gardner Minshew enters this season as a bridge quarterback, Levis has the prototypical size, arm strength and mobility to provide Shane Steichen and the Colts with a long-term fix.
5 – Seattle Seahawks (via DEN): Jalen Carter, IDL, Georgia
Seattle’s selection of Malik McDowell in 2017 (No. 35) could give John Schneider, Pete Carroll & Co. pause with Carter, but they have a history of taking chances on prospects with character red flags. Once viewed as the potential top pick when the Bears still held the top selection, Carter was the most talented prospect on a team that yielded five first-round picks in last year’s draft and has now won back-to-back national championships. He’s a versatile and disruptive defender due to his combination of overwhelming power, lateral agility and first-step explosiveness.
6 – Detroit Lions (via LAR): Devon Witherspoon, CB, Illinois
Witherspoon isn’t the biggest cornerback, but his style and mentality matches perfectly with what Dan Campbell, Aaron Glenn and the Lions want in a corner. He was a three-year starter for the Illini and is a confident, smart and physical cornerback with outstanding ball skills. Witherspoon finished last season with three interceptions and 14 pass breakups.
7 – Las Vegas Raiders: C.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State
It wouldn’t surprise me if the Raiders traded up to No. 3 for Stroud. The Raiders signed Jimmy Garoppolo to a three-year contract in free agency, but he isn’t necessarily an upgrade over what they had with Derek Carr. Stroud certainly benefited from playing alongside an all-star supporting cast, but he throws with outstanding accuracy, touch and anticipation from the pocket. The athleticism and off-script improvisational skills he showcased in his final college game against Georgia offered a glimpse of what he can do when plays break down.
8 – Atlanta Falcons: Peter Skoronski, OT, Northwestern
This is the point in the draft where RB Bijan Robinson would become a possibility. The Falcons also have a perennial need to boost their pass rush if they go in a different direction. Skoronski’s lack of arm length (32¼”) could shift him inside regardless of his landing spot, but Northwestern’s three-year starter at left tackle would immediately fill Atlanta’s void at left guard. The former Wildcat is technically sound with smooth and balanced footwork, and is one of the safest prospects in this draft class with potential five-position versatility.
9 – Chicago Bears (via CAR): Paris Johnson Jr., OT, Ohio State
The Bears traded the 32nd pick midseason for Chase Claypool, but they still enter the draft with four top-64 picks and find themselves in position to potentially trade back again and acquire even more draft capital if any of the top four quarterbacks slip this far. Assuming they get much more out of Claypool in 2023, the trio of him, DJ Moore and Darnell Mooney will give Justin Fields a solid receiving corps. Johnson is ideally suited to play left tackle, given his combination of size, length and athleticism, but he started at both right guard (’21) and left tackle (’22) for Ohio State and he could step in on the right side if the Bears want to keep Braxton Jones, a fifth-rounder who played well as a rookie, on the left side.
10 – Philadelphia Eagles (via NO): Christian Gonzalez, CB, Oregon
It briefly looked as though the Eagles would need to replace both Darius Slay and James Bradberry, but both cornerbacks are now under contract through the 2025 season. That said, Slay is 32 years old, and Bradberry will turn 30 in August. While you can never have too many talented cornerbacks, adding my top-ranked cornerback would allow Howie Roseman to get in front of what could become a future need. Gonzalez is a fluid athlete with good size and outstanding speed who had four interceptions this past season.
11 – Tennessee Titans: Anthony Richardson, QB, Florida
As noted earlier, the Titans are among the teams that may attempt to trade up for a quarterback. Despite his inexperience as a one-year starter, Richardson has more upside than any quarterback in this draft class due to his unreal combination of size (6’4″ and 244 pounds), speed (4.43 40-yard dash) and arm strength. With Ryan Tannehill under contract for one more season, the Titans can be patient and wait a year before handing the keys of the franchise to Richardson.
12 – Houston Texans (via CLE): Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State
Smith-Njigba lacks elite top-end speed, but he posted combine-best performances in both the three-cone (6.57 seconds) and 20-yard shuttle (3.93). He’s a polished route runner with outstanding ball skills and body control. A nagging hamstring injury forced him to miss nearly all of 2022, but he set the Big Ten receiving record with 1,606 yards in ’21.
13 – Green Bay Packers (via NYJ): Lukas Van Ness, edge, Iowa
Tight end is arguably the team’s biggest need, but with three top-45 picks after the Aaron Rodgers trade with the Jets, Green Bay could use one of its Round 2 picks to target one. The Packers could also use reinforcements to bolster their pass rush. Rashan Gary tore his ACL in November and is entering the final year of his rookie deal, while Preston Smith will turn 31 in November.
Van Ness was primarily utilized as an edge defender this past season after mostly aligning inside in 2021. “Hercules” can win with his blend of power, length and relentless effort, but the 272-pound ascending prospect ran a 4.58 40-yard dash at the NFL scouting combine as well. Van Ness has a total of 19.5 TFLs and 13.5 sacks over the past two seasons.
14 – New England Patriots: Broderick Jones, OT, Georgia
The Patriots indirectly benefit here from the trade between the Jets and Packers, as the Jets would have likely taken an offensive tackle before them (with the 13th pick). Offensive tackles Trent Brown, Riley Reiff and Yodny Cajuste will be free agents after the 2023 season, while Calvin Anderson and Conor McDermott are slated to become free agents after the ’24 season. Jones has the length, athleticism and potential to provide long-term stability at left tackle as he continues to grow into his frame and refine his technique.
15 – New York Jets (via GB): Nolan Smith, edge, Georgia
Smith’s athletic profile compares favorably to that of Haason Reddick and although he’s an undersized edge, he’s an outstanding run defender. While he’s not a finished product as a pass rusher, there is plenty of upside given his explosive athleticism. Smith’s elite leadership qualities should endear him quickly to his coaches and teammates.
16 – Washington Commanders: Darnell Wright, OT, Tennessee
The Commanders signed Andrew Wylie to a three-year free-agent contract, but both Wylie and Wright have some positional flexibility. Wright is coming off his best season, which he has followed up with impressive performances at the Senior Bowl and combine. The former five-star recruit is a massive right tackle prospect, who has made a total of 42 starts—27 at right tackle, 13 at left tackle and two at right guard.
17 – Pittsburgh Steelers: Joey Porter Jr., CB, Penn State
Penn State cornerback Joey Porter Jr. hypes the fans vs Auburn
Given his ties to the organization through his father’s days as a Steelers player and coach, the potential for another Joey Porter to play for the Steelers is one of the draft’s most interesting story lines, even if it’s “not as relevant as you might think.” For a team that lost Cam Sutton in free agency, however, this pick would be relevant from a football sense. Porter is a physical corner with excellent size, length (34″ arms) and speed. Although he had only one career interception at Penn State, he is disruptive at the catch point and finished 2022 with a career-high 11 passes defended.
18 – Detroit Lions: Bijan Robinson, RB, Texas
Speaking of interesting story lines, Robinson’s landing spot will be fascinating to watch. As a top-five prospect who plays a devalued position, there is an incredibly wide range of landing spots for the former Longhorn. The team signed David Montgomery, but the oft-injured D’Andre Swift is entering the final year of his contract. Robinson has outstanding size, speed, vision and contact balance, and his 183 missed tackles forced over the past two seasons, per PFF, are 56 more than the next closest back. In addition, Robinson is a dynamic receiver out of the backfield.
19 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Hendon Hooker, QB, Tennessee
Baker Mayfield has signed a one-year, $4 million contract and is on his fourth team in 10 months. The Bucs used a second-round pick on Kyle Trask in 2021, but he has thrown nine career pass attempts. In other words, the odds of Mayfield or Trask being the long-term replacement for Tom Brady are fairly low. While Hooker tore his ACL last November, is already 25 years old and will go through a significant adjustment from Tennessee’s offense, he is an accurate passer with good size and mobility. Hooker also had an official top-30 visit with the Buccaneers.
20 – Seattle Seahawks: Will McDonald IV, edge, Iowa State
John Schneider has made 33 draft-day trades in his 13 years as GM, and I considered projecting a trade back here. I could see Schneider potentially target McDonald even if he was to trade back a few spots. The bendy edge rusher has nearly 35″ arms and an explosive first step. Although McDonald is a bit undersized, he was highly productive as he left Ames with a school-record 34 sacks.
21 – Los Angeles Chargers: Jordan Addison, WR, USC
Both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams will have salary-cap numbers north of $30 million in 2024, the final years of their contracts. Addison would be a good complement to what the Chargers already have at wide receiver. Addison plays faster than he timed at the combine (4.49 40-yard dash) and is a polished route runner with run-after-catch ability.
22 – Baltimore Ravens: Myles Murphy, edge, Clemson
Receivers Zay Flowers and Quentin Johnston are both in the mix here, but in this mock the Ravens can capitalize on a player slipping further than he should. Murphy is an elite athlete with some inside-outside versatility and is an excellent run defender. A hamstring injury delayed his ability to work out, but the 268-pound edge defender ran a 4.51 40-yard dash with a 1.59 10-yard split at a workout in early April.
23 – Minnesota Vikings: Deonte Banks, CB, Maryland
The Vikings signed Byron Murphy to a two-year deal, but their top three corners in terms of snaps played last season are no longer on the roster. Banks tested extremely well at the combine—4.35 40-yard dash, 42″ vertical and 11’4″ broad jump. He’s a willing and reliable tackler, and he had his most productive season in 2022 with nine passes defended.
24 -Jacksonville Jaguars: Brian Branch, DB, Alabama
One of the areas where the Jags need to improve is their coverage in the slot, and Branch would provide an immediate upgrade. Branch’s versatility, intelligence and instincts make him one of the safest prospects in this draft class. Branch is an incredibly reliable tackler, and he posted the second-lowest missed tackle rate (3.3%) among defenders with 50-plus tackles last season, per PFF.
25 – New York Giants: Emmanuel Forbes, CB, Mississippi State
The Giants tied for the league low with six interceptions in 2022, and they need an upgrade opposite Adoree’ Jackson. Forbes is a slender cornerback but has good length, speed, instincts and ball skills. He finished his collegiate career with 14 interceptions, six of which he returned for touchdowns. New York can target some of its other top needs (center and wide receiver) on Day 2.
26 – Dallas Cowboys: Michael Mayer, TE, Notre Dame
The Cowboys could go in a few different directions here, but Mayer would be a great fit at the end of the first round. Dalton Schultz is now in Houston, and Jake Ferguson currently tops their tight end depth chart. Mayer has plenty of experience playing in-line and is the most complete tight end in this draft class with an all-around skill set. He’s a savvy route runner with strong hands and led Notre Dame in receiving in each of his three seasons.
27 – Buffalo Bills: Quentin Johnston, WR, TCU
TCU’s Quentin Johnston catches a touchdown vs. Kansas
Johnston would provide Josh Allen and the Bills with another weapon in their vertical passing attack, and Gabe Davis is scheduled to become a free agent after the 2023 season. Although Johnston has had some issues with drops, he is a big-bodied receiver with outstanding speed who averaged 19 yards per catch through his three seasons at TCU.
28 – Cincinnati Bengals: Dalton Kincaid, TE, Utah
The Bengals signed Irv Smith Jr. to a one-year contract to fill the void created by Hayden Hurst’s departure, but they currently have no tight ends under contract beyond the 2023 season. Kincaid is a natural receiving threat and arguably the most talented pass catcher in the draft, regardless of position. The former Ute is a savvy route runner with run-after-catch ability and outstanding ball skills. He finished ’22 with 70 catches for 890 yards and eight touchdowns.
29 – New Orleans Saints (via SF): Bryan Bresee, IDL, Clemson
This pick could be used to address the free-agent losses of David Onyemata and Shy Tuttle. Injuries and personal tragedy the past two seasons have made it difficult for Bresee to build upon his impressive true freshman season, but he has the power and quickness to become a disruptive force in the middle of the Saints’ defense.
30 – Philadelphia Eagles: Calijah Kancey, IDL, Pittsburgh
The Eagles brought back 32-year-old Fletcher Cox for another season, but they lost Javon Hargrave in free agency. We know that Roseman loves to build through the trenches, so, if they don’t trade back, I’d expect the Eagles to add to their defensive (or offensive) line(s) with one of their two first-round picks. Although Kancey is undersized and lacks length (30 5/8″ arms), his quick hands and feet allow him to win inside as a pass rusher. Kancey has recorded at least seven sacks and 13 TFLs in back-to-back seasons.
31 – Kansas City Chiefs: Zay Flowers, WR, Boston College
Perhaps the Chiefs will need to move up for Flowers, but the former BC Eagle would get to continue to play catch with Patrick Mahomes in this scenario. JuJu Smith-Schuster (78/933/3) led Kansas City’s wide receivers in 2022, but he has signed with the Patriots in free agency. Flowers is a quick and smooth athlete who is elusive after the catch with an extra gear. He was highly productive at Boston College, finishing last season with 78 catches for 1,077 yards and 12 touchdowns. |
