The Daily Briefing Wednesday, April 27, 2022

THE DAILY BRIEFING

AROUND THE NFL

When the NFL’s lawyers are fending off the legal challenges of disgruntled coach Brian Flores, it says it isn’t in charge of hiring – but when it is justifying its role in making Jon Gruden unemployable it says it is in charge of hiring.  Legal eagle Daniel Wallach has spotted the inconsistency of those positions.

A key legal argument that the NFL recently asserted in the Jon Gruden lawsuit may undermine one of its main defenses in the Brian Flores lawsuit. Last week, the parties in the Flores case jointly filed a proposed “civil case management plan and scheduling order” with the court. That document is particularly enlightening for several reasons. First, from a clarity standpoint, the proposed case management plan provides a succinct overview of the claims and anticipated defenses. More revealingly, the case management plan also offers a “preliminary peek” into the motions and legal arguments that each side will be making over the next several months. And one of those arguments is at variance with statements previously made by the NFL in the Gruden case.

 

At the bottom of page 3 of the joint filing, the NFL asserts that it is not a proper defendant in the Flores lawsuit because it does not hire coaches, only the teams do. The NFL maintains that it “is not and has never been Plaintiffs’ employer under the relevant statutes (notwithstanding Plaintiffs’ conclusory assertions to the contrary), so as a matter of law it is not subject to liability for the actions challenged here.” Although the plaintiffs do not address that argument head on, I would expect them to later argue in response to the league’s motion to dismiss that the NFL is a “joint employer” (and therefore liable) because it exerts significant control over each team’s hiring of coaches and general managers, including by mandating compliance with the Rooney Rule.

 

Likewise, the NFL’s ability to discipline and fire coaches–a right it plainly possesses under the NFL Constitution and Bylaws–is another factor militating in favor of a finding that the league is a “joint employer.” Federal courts, including those in the Second Circuit (where the Flores case in pending) have recognized that the authority to “fire and discipline” can bear on whether an entity, even though it is not the formal employer, may be considered a “joint employer” under Title VII. See  Felder v. United States Tennis Ass’n, 27 F.4th 834, 838 (2d Cir. 2022).

 

And this is where the NFL’s legal arguments in the Gruden lawsuit could come back to haunt the league in Flores. In their motion to dismiss filed with a Nevada state court in early January, the NFL argued that it had the right–independent of the Las Vegas Raiders–to fire Gruden for sending racist, misogynistic and homophobic emails, reasoning that Section 8.13(A)(2) of the NFL Constitution and Bylaws granted them that right.

 

This prior admission implicates principles of “judicial estoppel,” a legal doctrine that prevents litigants from advancing diametrically opposite positions in different lawsuits.  I would expect the plaintiffs in the Flores case to cite the above constitutional language–as well as the NFL’s prior admission in Gruden–to counter the NFL’s expected assertion in the Flores case that it is not an “employer” for purposes of Title VII or Section 1981. Given the significant control that the NFL exerts over the hiring, firing, and disciplining of NFL coaches–a right that the NFL recently touted in another lawsuit filed by a different former head coach–the plaintiffs in the Flores case may now have enough ammunition to withstand a motion to dismiss directed to the “employer” issue.

NFC NORTH

CHICAGO

The Bears and GM Ryan Poles enter the 2022 draft needing receivers (and other spots) while lacking cash and picks.  Kevin Patra of NFL.com:

Entering the 2022 NFL Draft, the Chicago Bears desperately need to fill out their wide receiver room with difference-making talent. But with no first-round pick, new GM Ryan Poles won’t reach if all the top-shelf playmakers are off the board by pick No. 39.

 

“It has to be there and it has to be there at the right level,” Poles said Tuesday, via NBC Sports Chicago. “And I think that’s like the biggest takeaway, is, like, you can talk yourself into anything at this point. That’s why I’m not overcooking this board.

 

“I’m taking a step back after today because I think sometimes you keep staring at it and you keep sliding guys around and doing crazy stuff. But in terms of being specific, yeah you’re looking to identify (an ‘X’ receiver) but the key is making sure it’s in the right value on the board.”

 

Cap-strapped, Poles’ hands have been tied this offseason, with only minor upgrades throughout the roster.

 

The Bears entered the spring needing help alongside Darnell Mooney at receiver with Allen Robinson departing for L.A. Thus far, Chicago has added only former Chief reserve Byron Pringle and ex-Packer Equanimeous St. Brown. Snagging a big-bodied playmaker like Treylon Burks or George Pickens in the second round would be a coup for the needy Bears if either were to fall that far.

 

Poles noted that he’s not looking to trade up and spend more draft assets. Instead, if possible, he’d prefer to trade back and pick up more bites at the apple for a team with needs throughout the roster.

 

This offseason, the Bears’ goal should have been to support Justin Fields as best as possible to jumpstart his development. To this point, they have been able to do much to find the QB support.

 

 

So while fans will clamor for a receiver, Poles noted that helping Fields could mean adding an offensive lineman with one of the two second-round picks on Friday.

 

“I think anytime you just improve the team overall, you’re helping all of the players out,” Poles said. “That can look different. You could say he needs receivers, receivers, receivers, but he needs blocking too, and he also needs balance, in terms of running the ball efficiently and getting that done up front. Then you can do some play action pass stuff. You can do different things.

 

“It all touches — turnovers, maybe a returner to flip the field, to score more points. So, it’s all connected and that’s really why the mindset is really to get the best players on this team as possible, and why if I get too lopsided, ‘I gotta do this specific thing,’ I think that’s where you lead into big mistakes.”

 

Poles took over a challenging job with a half-full cupboard and little cash to spend. He’ll need to hit on his six draft picks and rely on those rookies to play critical roles this season. But when asked about the project being a “rebuild,” Poles rejected the characterization.

 

“The ‘rebuild’ thing is like super sensitive,” Poles said. “We’re constructing a very good football team — regardless of how you use whatever term that is. We just continue to add talent and young talent, older talent, whatever it takes to make the best team possible.”

Could moving veteran DE ROBERT QUINN be the key to acquiring more capital?  Nick Shook of NFL.com:

Robert Quinn set the Bears’ single-season sack record in 2021. There’s a chance it could stand as his final season in Chicago.

 

Interested teams have been gauging the possibility of acquiring Quinn via trade, NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport reported. Quinn was in Chicago on Tuesday meeting the team’s new coaching staff, per Rapoport, but such a meeting doesn’t preclude the Bears from trading the 31-year-old edge rusher.

 

If Quinn is traded, he wouldn’t be blindsided by such a move, especially after the Bears already shipped his elite running mate, Khalil Mack, to Los Angeles.

 

“The only thing I thought of was hopefully my résumé or my production from last year gives me a little weight to keep my foot in the building,” Quinn said Tuesday, via ESPN. “At the end of the day, it’s a business. Again, you see Khalil Mack getting traded. Again, it’s just a business. Don’t dwell on it, too crazy.”

 

Quinn’s numbers stand as proof he’s still an effective defender who logically carries significant value. It’s not just sacks, either. Quinn ranked 12th among all defenders in quarterback pressures in 2021 with 57 (per Next Gen Stats), registering a QB pressure percentage of 16.2, the fifth-highest mark among all defenders with a minimum of 200 pass-rushing snaps. Quinn’s sack percentage was the second-highest in the NFL, trailing only Pittsburgh’s T.J. Watt.

 

Quinn is an impact player most any team would like to have rushing the passer. That is, if the team is looking to contend immediately.

 

Chicago’s offseason roster remake seems to have shifted its target for 2022. Quinn doesn’t like to use the term “rebuild,” but that seems to fit what the Bears are undergoing at this point.

But this as we go to press:

Some NFL teams might be sniffing around to see if Robert Quinn is available via trade, but the Chicago Bears aren’t actively trying to unload the edge rusher.

 

NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport reported Wednesday morning that the Bears aren’t currently shopping Quinn, per sources informed of the situation.

NFC EAST
 

WASHINGTON

Ben Standig of The Athletic offers this brief take on Washington’s draft needs:

Washington’s defensive holes include a starting linebacker. Upgrading at offensive guard or adding another running back or tight end would be welcomed. Those options at 11 are deemed unappealing. Maybe cornerback, but Ahmad Gardner and Derek Stingley Jr. appear headed for the top 10, and Trent McDuffie of the University of Washington is undersized for the “Buffalo” nickel vacancy.

 

Therefore, unless defensive line is actually in play, the odds-on-choice is a wide receiver or safety Kyle Hamilton. Arguably four candidates exist in that wide receiver grouping, but it’s the 6-foot-4 Drake London rising as the favorite for Washington, per league sources.

NFC SOUTH
 

TAMPA BAY

The Buccaneers pick up the 5th year option for LB DEVIN WHITE.

The Buccaneers are making an expected move to keep one of their key defenders around for 2023.

 

According to multiple reports, Tampa Bay is picking up linebacker Devin White‘s fifth-year option.

 

Selected with the fifth overall pick in 2019, White has been a major defensive contributor from Day One, playing 100 percent of Tampa Bay’s defensive snaps in his first week as a rookie. He was named to his first Pro Bowl last season after starting all 17 games, recording 128 total tackles with eight for loss, 18 QB hits, 3.5 sacks, three passes defensed, and a fumble recovery.

 

In 45 career games, White has picked up 15.0 sacks, 27 tackles for loss, 39 QB hits, four forced fumbles, and six fumble recoveries.

By picking up the fifth-year option, White’s $11.706 million salary for 2023 is now guaranteed.

 

Teams have until May 2 to decide on the fifth-year options for 2019 first-round picks.

NFC WEST

ARIZONA

Will the Cardinals go for a wide receiver?  Doug Haller of The Athletic:

The Arizona Cardinals have several needs, but BetOnline lists wide receiver as the favorite for Thursday’s draft. For the No. 23 pick, it gives receiver 3/1 odds for the Cardinals, followed by defensive lineman (7/2), cornerback (4/1) and linebacker (4/1).

 

Receiver obviously makes sense. With the loss of Christian Kirk, who signed with Jacksonville, the Cardinals need another threat to pair with DeAndre Hopkins. It also would make Kyler Murray happy to have another weapon. The problem: Most of the draft’s top receivers probably won’t be around at No. 23. Three who might be:

 

Treylon Burks, Arkansas. Burks has been linked to the Cardinals since the team had him in for a pre-draft visit. If he’s available, he makes sense. At 6-2, 225 pounds, Burks is physical enough. And while he needs to perfect his route running, he has enough playmaking skills to help right away.

 

Jahan Dotson, Penn State. Dotson seems to be creeping into more prominent spots on mock draft boards, not that that means anything. He is polished. Last season Dotson was among the Big Ten’s top offensive threats with 91 catches for 1,182 yards and 12 touchdowns.

 

Christian Watson, North Dakota State. A reach at No. 23? Yes, but Watson has intriguing qualities. A late bloomer, he became a two-time FCS All-American in college. At 6-4, he has great size. He also can run.

 

SEATTLE

Playing in the top half of the first round for once has GM John Schneider excited.  Michael David Smith of ProFootballTalk.com:

The Seahawks’ decision to trade last year’s first-round pick and this year’s first-round pick for Jamal Adams looks like a big mistake, but General Manager John Schneider still likes the draft capital he does have.

 

Schneider noted that Seattle has the Broncos’ first- and second-round picks from the Russell Wilson trade, and that gives them a total of four picks out of the first 72 off the board.

 

 “You can really feel it. It’s exciting times we have. We currently have eight picks. We have four in the Top 72, so there’s real excitement about that, and enthusiasm,” Schneider said, via the News-Tribune.

 

The Seahawks are coming off a 7-10 season, their worst record since Schneider and Pete Carroll arrived in 2010. They need to turn their exciting times into good players to jump start the post-Wilson era.

AFC WEST
 

DENVER

The Broncos have brought back RB MELVIN GORDON on a one-year deal.  Charean Williams of ProFootballTalk.com:

Melvin Gordon had 203 carries for 918 yards and eight touchdowns last season. Javonte Williams had 203 carries for 903 yards and four touchdowns.

 

The duo will be together again in 2022 on the new-look Broncos.

 

The Broncos are re-signing Gordon to a one-year deal worth up to $5 million, according to multiple reports.

 

Gordon, 29, recently visited the Ravens.

 

He had 478 touches for 2,275 yards and 20 touchdowns the past two seasons with the Broncos. He spent his first five seasons with the Chargers, twice earning Pro Bowl honors.

 

Gordon played with Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson at Wisconsin in 2011. Gordon had only 20 carries in his freshman season, which was Wilson’s final college season.

AFC SOUTH
 

JACKSONVILLE

T CAM ROBINSON signs a long-term deal with the Jaguars.  Michael David Smith of ProFootballTalk.com:

Jaguars offensive tackle Cam Robinson has a deal in place to remain in Jacksonville for the long term.

 

Robinson and the Jaguars have reached an agreement in principle on a contract extension, according to Ian Rapoport of NFL Network.

 

There had been some talk that the Jaguars were planning to draft his replacement tomorrow night by spending the first overall pick in the NFL draft on either Alabama tackle Evan Neal or North Carolina State offensive tackle Ikem Ekwonu. That possibility may have motivated Robinson to agree to a deal before the draft.

 

The Jaguars placed the franchise tag on Robinson and he signed it, meaning he would have played this season for a guaranteed salary of $16.662 million. But the long-term deal will surely give Robinson a much bigger guarantee than that, while also guaranteeing the Jaguars that they’ll have Robinson protecting Trevor Lawrence for years to come.

 

THIS AND THAT

 

THE RISE OF MALIK WILLIS

Using Liberty QB MALIK WILLIS as an example, Chris Cwik of YahooSports.comdiscusses how a fall unknown, especially at QB, can rise to a top 10 pick:

Liberty quarterback Malik Willis could be a top-10 pick in the 2022 NFL draft. It didn’t look that way in December. At the end of the college football season, Willis was thought to be an end-of-the-first-round to second-round pick. Despite not supplying additional game tape, Willis dramatically vaulted up mock drafts.

 

Willis’ journey isn’t unprecedented. Lamar Jackson saw a similar rise up mock drafts, as did Mac Jones. Seemingly every year, you can find at least one big-name quarterback whose stock suddenly rises.

 

Do NFL scouts, coaches and executives really change their minds that much about players in the months between the end of the college football season and the draft?

 

They don’t.

 

There’s a difference between mock drafts and draft boards. Prospects may skyrocket up mock drafts as analysts get more information from sources. That information is based on where NFL teams value those players once they compile their final draft boards. When a quarterback previously thought to be a second-round pick by an analyst jumps into the top 10 of a mock draft, it’s not a sign NFL teams have changed their opinion, it’s a reflection of mock draft analysts reacting to new information.

 

“I don’t believe guys rise and fall,” long-time NFL scout and former director of scouting for the Chicago Bears Greg Gabriel told Yahoo Sports. “They are pretty much the way they’ve been on teams’ boards all along. It’s that the draft analysts are finding out they had it all wrong.”

 

When the college football season ends, the NFL is still in the midst of its regular season. Most NFL general managers are focused on trying to get their teams into the playoffs, not wondering which quarterback might be available in the first round.

 

“NFL GMs don’t have a great picture of who the best players in the country are in terms of quarterbacks going in to their senior year … because they haven’t looked at them at that point,” said Russ Lande, former NFL scout and current director of U.S. scouting for the Montreal Alouettes. “In December, that’s when the season is over, the media puts their draft board, based on all the results of talking to all the people together. Well, December and January are when teams start having their first real ‘draft meetings’ and building their boards.”

 

When the NFL season ends, potentially in January or early February, that’s when teams start prepping for the upcoming draft. Everyone — scouts, cross-checkers, coaches and directors — submits their grades on players, which may have changed drastically depending on whether the quarterback took a major step forward the past season. NFL draft boards don’t get finalized until two weeks before the draft, which explains why players like Willis sit outside the first round on mock drafts done in December and get selected in the top 10 on draft day.

 

Interviews, private workouts can determine NFL prospect’s value

There are some factors that can influence where a player falls on a team’s final draft board between December and April, even with little to no new game tape to study. Player interviews can help a team feel more confident about placing a certain grade on a player.

 

“How do you handle the process?” Lande said. “How mature are you throughout all those things? How do you handle different coaches, being pulled in a million directions, being interviewed, going through the ringer? Those are the things that can affect the team’s confidence in placing a grade on you.”

 

Private workouts could play an even bigger role in the process.

 

“Private workouts are a huge part of the process,” Gabriel said. “Because if a coach goes out and works out a guy and he comes back, he could either really love the guy or really hate the guy. And if he hates the guy, it doesn’t matter what kind of grade you got on him. You’re not going to take him because that player is not going to succeed on that team.”

 

Interviews and workouts occur before draft boards are finalized, so while they may influence the final grade a team places on a player, they don’t create scenarios where players dramatically rise or fall on draft boards. Mock draft analysts react to that news, which could explain why some players start to move into the first round in January and February mock drafts.

 

Given the importance of the quarterback position, what happens when all the top quarterbacks are gone and a team has a need? Will that lead to a team jumping that player up their draft board and “overdrafting” a guy?

 

Not necessarily. The draft board is the draft board. If a guy projected to go No. 30 overall gets picked No. 15, it’s because the team that selected the guy thought he was worth the No. 15 overall pick.

 

There are scenarios where a team prioritizes a quarterback over other similarly ranked players, but that’s not technically an overdraft. Only a handful of players receive first-round grades in each draft. Once you reach the bottom of the first round, teams generally have second-round grades on the available players left.

 

“If you have a second-round grade generally, or higher, there’s a good chance you’re going in the first round,” Lande said. “You talk about those picks from about 12 to about 25, if they have a good solid second-round grade grade on a kid, they know he’s not going to be there when their pick comes up in the second round.

 

“So what do they do? They may try to trade down in the first round to try to get a pick at the top of the second, but if they can’t, do you risk not having one of the quarterbacks you have a good solid second-round starting grade on and hope he’s there? Or do you just say, ‘You know what, it’s pick 17, let’s just roll the dice, let’s take him here.’”

 

That quarterback might not be a superstar, but he’ll be a solid starter in the mold of an Andy Dalton. There’s value in having a guy like that.

 

“When a team finds a guy like a Dalton,” Lande said. “They are going to generally win more games than they lose. And if you do that, those 25 coaches, their families, the 10 or 15 scouts, their families, the 10 or 15 executives and their families aren’t going to get fired and have to move to another city.”

 

By keeping their jobs, maybe those coaches and front-office members get another shot at drafting a generational talent at quarterback down the road.

 

Quarterback class in 2022 is hotly debated

Whether a certain player is a generational talent at quarterback varies by team. That could explain why some players see meteoric leaps in mock drafts in the months before the event.

 

Take Willis, for example. Some scouts view Willis as a sure-fire first-round talent. Others are not sold.

 

“I spoke to one scout this week who I have enormous respect for,” Lande said. “He thinks Malik Willis is a throwaway-type late-round guy. I spoke to two scouts this week that I respect also. Both of them said Willis is the only quarterback they consider in the first round. These are three established, long-time successful guys. So this is a year where there is so much uncertainty and debate about quarterbacks.”

 

The mock drafts that are compiled before draft boards are set rely on analysts speaking to scouts and other sources about players. The information they receive can vary greatly depending on the source. Those sources are also incentivized to misdirect and say as little as possible when it comes to their team’s plans.

 

“I know what information I gave out [as a scouting director], and I know 95 percent of it was bulls***,” Gabriel said. “It’s because … my job is at stake. The future of our franchise is at stake. Why should I give out intelligence that we have gathered on players?”

 

Gabriel knows that’s the case even now, when he’s the one seeking information.

 

“I’ve got GMs that have been friends for 25 and 30 years and they won’t tell me a f***ing thing,” Gabriel said. “And why should they? I get it. You know what, I wouldn’t tell them a thing either.”

 

This isn’t a phenomenon unique to Willis. Teams will have similar debates over quarterbacks most years. This quarterback class in particular, though, invites more questions and variability than most. Pittsburgh quarterback Kenny Pickett and Willis are strong bets to be selected in the first round of the 2022 NFL draft, but others, like Matt Corral, Sam Howell or Desmond Ridder, could all sneak into the top 32 despite barely appearing on any mock drafts.

 

When that happens, those players won’t be overdrafted. They’ll go exactly where NFL teams believe they could go.

 

It doesn’t matter what the mock drafts said in December.

We are surprised the Cwik doesn’t talk about need.  If teams “need” a QB, there is pressure to find one even in a relative vacuum.

 

2022 DRAFT

Bruce Feldman of The Athletic gets some inside thoughts from anonymous NFL folks on the QB class:

Quarterbacks

There has been a lot of talk that this is a very down year for quarterback prospects. How many guys are seen as legit first-round talents?

 

QB Coach 1: Usually you have the consensus No. 1 guy or some real top-10 picks. With this group there’s a lack of depth, and you may get some of them pushed up into the first round. But I view these guys, the top ones this year, as second-round talents.

 

QB Coach 2: Our highest-graded quarterback this year is Sam Howell. I’ve got a second-round grade on him. We’ve got a third-round grade on Kenny Pickett, and if you looked at his 2020 film, it’d be a sixth- or seventh-round grade.

 

What stands out most about Howell?

QB Coach 2: I love his arm and I think he sees the field the best of all these guys even though he’s only 6 feet. He can shape throws; throws with touch, can throw a good deep ball; can anticipate and get zip on the ball to be deadly in the RPO and quick game. He carried a bad team. He’s very accurate at all three levels. He is probably maxed-out physically, which is OK. He’s also really tough.

 

His big flaw, you don’t really feel him. He’s just kinda there. I think Kenny will be a much better leader. Guys in the locker room will love him.

 

What gives you the most hesitation about Pickett as a potential first-round pick?

QB Coach 1: I love everything about Pickett’s game, but the hand size (measuring 8 1/2 inches at the combine) is a legit concern. In the history of the league since 2000, there’s only been three quarterbacks taken in the first three rounds with hands that small: Michael Vick, Charlie Frye and Kevin O’Connell. If Pickett’s hands were 9 1/2 inches, it’s a first-round (grade). I think it’s a big difference, especially when you play in cold weather.

 

QB Coach 2: I do think it is something you have to consider. They are small … however, when I shook it, it wasn’t like, whoa, you have a baby hand. It was strong. You could feel like his thumb felt a little wonky. People say “but he played at Pitt.” Yeah, and he fumbled like 38 times at Pitt. It was a problem. I’ve talked to coaches who have guys with 9-inch hands and they say they have to keep it in mind in-game and talk about cold-weather games where their guy has fumbled twice and just dropped the ball.

 

Pickett wears gloves, which helps, but as soon as those gloves get wet — oof. You can change to leather gloves and all of that, but it’s not the same as using sticky gloves.

 

Lots of folks really talk up Malik Willis’ arm but have concerns about the system he played in college. How concerned are you about how his game translates to the NFL and what his transition will be like?

 

QB Coach 2: You have to commit if you take him and change your offense and go to something like what the Philadelphia Eagles do. He’s more like Jalen Hurts, who is powerful, strong and (like Willis) gives defense problems with his legs.

 

Malik’s arm is really strong. It’s legit strong, probably a top 8 in the NFL. Jalen Hurts, I think, throws it better right now than Malik. More accurately. Has more throws in his arm where he has some touch and can throw with pace. If you’re taking Malik, you gotta make it the college offense, and not do the drop back, read the coverage, play it out. To me, it’s a square peg, round hole, at least while they’re young and really learning.

 

Scout 1: I think Malik’s ceiling is so high because of his arm and he’s so athletic. I’ve heard he’s a smart kid. There are those errant throws, but the more plays, the better he’s gonna get.

 

QB Coach 3: Someone’s gonna fall in love with the arm, but the system he played in worries you. I think with him, you’re gonna have to structure the system, like the Eagles do with Hurts. He’s become more accurate depending on how much you give him to read. There is elite power in the arm (with Willis). The question is the other throws, guys running across the field and when you have to layer the ball and on the comebacks. You can’t be a flat-line passer in this league.

 

There’s been some skepticism about whether Desmond Ridder is accurate enough to be a good starting quarterback. How concerned are you about his accuracy?

 

QB Coach 2: It is a concern. He is really intriguing as an athlete. I love the person. He’s super mature. Really smart. It’s almost frustrating because he checks all the boxes that almost every guy in every draft is missing one of, like he has a strong enough arm; he has played in a pro style offense. He’s just not a very natural processor and not a very natural thrower. He’s pretty robotic. He looks like a really good athlete that said, “I want to play quarterback.” He trained hard at it and got good at it in college. but the things that Desmond’s not good at are more talent-based than they are skill-based.

 

(Private QB coach) Jordan Palmer has Desmond and he’s gonna say, ‘You can improve accuracy. Look at (another Palmer protege) Josh Allen.’ I think that is an oversimplification. Josh is freaky talented, and I still would not say that he’s not pinpoint accurate. That offense had a lot more gimme throws, a lot more bubbles, a lot more quick game and more RPOs, so there’s more easy throws. He also got Stefan Diggs (in 2020), who gets really open, and when teams want to double him, everybody else is one-on-one. I think it’s not a coincidence that Josh Allen was 55 percent (58.8 percent) and they get Diggs and it jumps to 65, 70 percent (69.2 percent). When people say, “Yeah, you can get better at it,” I just don’t think that you really can. It’s like speed. You can tweak it and help yourself out, but you’re either naturally accurate or you’re not.

 

QB Coach 1: I think (Ridder) could be the best quarterback of this group in a year or two. I do see inconsistencies. He’s a long-levered guy; I think it’s a mechanical thing that he’s gonna have to keep working on.

 

Scout 1: Man, I like the good, but I hate the bad. He’s a winner; I think he really needs to clean up his mechanics. His pro day was off target, so I went back and watched the film and you see a lot of, Dang, how you gonna miss that one?

 

Matt Corral is intriguing as a talent but seems to have given some evaluators more concern. What have you noticed with him?

 

QB Coach 1: His quickness is elite. But at his pro day, it was a lower and tighter release, which was a concern. You have to throw from different arm slots and change the launch point. I love the player, but he’s gotta get that fixed.

 

QB Coach 2: I watched his pro day. It was bad. He missed on a lot of throws, and I was like, what is he doing? He already has a borderline too quick of a release. It’s like someone told him you need to make it even faster. He was barely bringing the ball back. Typically, most guys turn the ball away from their head and then bring it back forward. Some guys, like Tom (Brady) and Mac Jones, barely turn it at all. Corral literally brings the ball from his carriage, up by his ear and then forward. It’s kind of impressive he can get anything on the ball. Compact is good and quick is good, but now it’s almost so shot-puttish it can lead to a good amount of batted balls. That motion can limit your throw repertoire. It can be inconsistent when you have to layer a throw, like on a comeback with an outside linebacker or a nickel buzzing out and you have to get it over that guy.

 

I think his biggest issue is the off-the-field. I might be a little overly critical just from guys we’ve had to deal with, but I wouldn’t touch him. With his personality, I have a hard time viewing him as a backup or a third-string because usually those guys are super supportive, super smart. He might be all of those things, but I didn’t get that vibe.

 

Scout 2: I like Matt; I don’t love him. His pro day was terrible. He started spraying it everywhere. I think he’ll get over-drafted. I don’t worry about the off-field stuff with him. Prior to this year, I did.

 

Scout 1: My big questions when I saw him at the combine and saw how thin his frame is and how small his joints were: Is he gonna be playing in January? Can he hold up?

– – –

Mike Florio of ProFootballTalk.com reluctantly posts a Mock Draft:

The draft starts Thursday. That means time is running short for mock drafts. Since everyone and their uncle’s mailman’s cousin has a mock draft, we’re continuing to post one, too.

 

I don’t like mock drafts. Some say they’re a vehicle for framing conversations. They’re actually a crutch. There has to be a better way to talk about the draft than to say, “Let’s pretend we know what’s going to happen and then talk about that.”

 

It gets even more bizarre when it comes to predicting trades. The potential permutations extend into numbers that the human mind can’t comprehend.

 

But here we are. Our one and only mock draft of the year. I don’t care if any of the picks are right. I don’t care if you call it the “worst mock draft ever.” (One or more of my past mock drafts will be happy to lose that crown.)

 

We used to do umpteen versions of mock drafts. That was before I developed a thorough and complete hatred of them. In recent years, we’ve shifted to a one-shot mock draft, with no concern for accuracy and no pride in authorship. Especially since I have now exported the assignment to a seasoned scout whose credentials would not be questioned if his name were to be mentioned.

 

I thought about tinkering with his selections. But then I realized I just don’t care. If any of these picks are right, the anonymous, unattached scout with no skin in the game gets the credit. For all that are wrong, I’ll gladly take the blame.

 

Here goes nothing. Literally.

 

1. Jaguars: Travon Walker, defensive end, Georgia.

They thought about taking a tackle. The current thinking is they will stick with a pass rusher.

 

2. Lions: Aidan Hutchinson, defensive end, Michigan.

He fills a need, and his Michigan connection is great for business. If he’s there, it’s a no-brainer.

 

3. Texans: Evan Neal, tackle, Alabama.

A team that has plenty of needs could go in plenty of different directions here.

 

4. Jets: Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner, cornerback, Cincinnati.

The Jets migrate from Revis Island to Sauce City.

 

5. Giants: Ikem Ekwonu, tackle, N.C. State.

The offensive line is and has been a mess. Ekwonu starts the process of cleaning things up.

 

6. Panthers: Charles Cross, tackle, Mississippi State.

They need a quarterback, but they ultimately may not like one enough to make him the sixth pick.

 

7. Giants: Drake London, receiver, USC.

I’d personally go with Jameson Williams here, but I’m deferring to the person who crafted this draft.

 

8. Falcons: Kyle Hamilton, safety, Notre Dame.

A potential generational talent becomes the anchor of a team that is hoping to once again become a perennial contender.

 

9. Seahawks: Derek Stingley, Jr., cornerback, LSU.

They could trade down, or they could grab a guy who could become one of the cornerstones of Legion of Boom 2.0.

 

10. Jets: Kavon Thibodeaux, edge rusher, Oregon.

All those people who are talking about Thibodeaux sliding out of the top 10 could be hoping he does, so that they can draft him.

 

11. Commanders: Garrett Wilson, receiver, Ohio State.

A new Buckeye receiver could replace a current Buckeye receiver to whom they may not want to give big money.

 

12. Vikings: Jermaine Johnson II, edge rusher, Florida State.

Za’Darius Smith is a short-term move; they need pieces for their 3-4 defense.

 

13. Texans: Chris Olave, receiver Ohio State.

They don’t have a franchise quarterback any longer. A great receiver could make their non-franchise player look a lot better.

 

14. Ravens: Trevor Penning, tackle, Northern Iowa.

With Orlando Brown gone and Ronnie Stanley still a question mark, the Ravens need blockers.

 

15. Eagles:  Jameson Williams, receiver, Alabama.

Don’t be surprised if he goes higher — or if the Eagles trade up to take him at a higher spot.

 

16. Saints: Kenny Pickett, QB Pitt.

They wouldn’t have pursued Deshaun Watson if they were fully sold on Jameis Winston.

 

17. Chargers: Andrew Booth, Jr., cornerback, Clemson.

They’re doing what they have to do to keep up with great offenses in the AFC West.

 

18. Eagles: Jordan Davis, defensive tackle, Georgia.

Fletcher Cox is getting closer to the end. They need someone who’s just getting started.

 

19. Saints: Tyler Smith, offensive lineman, Tulsa.

The post-Payton offense needs more talent, and not necessarily a receiver.

 

20. Steelers: Malik Willis, quarterback, Liberty.

They may trade up to get him. They quite likely don’t intend on having an extended gap between franchise quarterbacks, like they did before drafting Ben Roethisberger.

 

21. Patriots: George Karlaftis, edge rusher, Purdue.

Best available player, an assessment informed by their struggles when it comes to drafting and developing receivers.

 

22. Packers: Treylon Burks, receiver, Arkansas.

They need a new No. 1 receiver, desperately. Don’t be stunned if they trade up to get him or someone else.

 

23. Cardinals: Demarvin Leal, defensive tackle, Texas A&M.

The defense needs a boost. Leal could provide it.

 

24. Cowboys: Kenyon Green, guard, Texas A&M.

It’s time to get back to taking care of the offensive line.

 

25. Bills: Trent McDuffie, cornerback, Washington.

They need help in the secondary, especially with Tre’Davious White returning from a torn ACL.

 

26. Titans: Jahan Dotson, receiver, Penn State.

Julio Jones didn’t work out. They need a solid No. 2.

 

27. Buccaneers: Devin Lloyd, linebacker, Utah.

Another Devin becomes the successor to Lavonte David.

 

28. Packers: Bernard Raimann, tackle, Central Michigan.

With Aaron Rodgers sticking around, they need people to keep him upright.

 

29. Chiefs: Zion Johnson, guard, Boston College.

They need to draft and develop competent blockers for Patrick Mahomes.

 

30. Chiefs: Daxton Hill, safety, Michigan.

Combined with the signing of Justin Reid, taking Hill could beef up the last line of defense, considerably.

 

31. Bengals: Tyler Linderbaum, center, Iowa.

Talented but undersized, the Bengals need to be looking for guys who can protect Joe Burrow.

 

32. Lions: Matt Corral, quarterback, Mississippi.

They could trade this pick to someone who wants to get a quarterback — and the last five-year contract of the 2022 draft — or they could go ahead and take Corral here. He’s got the intangibles the Lions need as they try to turn the page on three decades of dysfunction.

And let’s drop another Mock – this from Ari Melrov of ProFootballFocus.com.  We like the feel of his thought process and picks – but he doesn’t project trades and you know there will be some.

 

This is my only mock draft — and it’s unlike most mocks out there. It’s not necessarily what I think teams should do, but rather, what people around the league and “in the know” believe will happen. This year’s draft is easily one of the most unpredictable drafts in recent memory, and there are differing opinions around the league for quite literally every first-round selection. It’s a very mysterious draft and that element makes doing a mock draft difficult this year.

 

The one quote I always tell myself before draft night is “expect the unexpected.” I think we’ll have a lot of that this year.

 

Nonetheless, let’s take a swing at this:

 

1. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: DE TRAVON WALKER, GEORGIA

Most people around the league believe Aidan Hutchinson should be the pick here at No. 1. However, people who know Trent Baalke and have worked with him in the past say that traits and measurables are very important to him. And it’s hard to find a prospect with better measurables than Walker: 6-foot-5, 272 pounds with 35 1/2-inch arms and ran a 4.51-second 40-yard dash while also posting a 35 1/2-inch vertical. Walker is a remarkable athlete who would be the classic Baalke pick. One note to file away: Jaguars head coach Doug Pederson is a big fan of NC State offensive tackle Ickey Ekwonu. He was in the conservation for No. 1 early in the process and there are some who believe he’s still in that conversation.

 

2. DETROIT LIONS: DE AIDAN HUTCHINSON, MICHIGAN

This would feel like a dream scenario for the Lions. Putting aside the fact he’s from Michigan, Hutchinson embodies everything general manager Brad Holmes and head coach Dan Campbell are looking for as they continue to add building blocks to this roster. Assuming there’s no quarterback they love this early, the Lions rush to the podium for Hutch.

 

3. HOUSTON TEXANS: OT EVAN NEAL, ALABAMA

GM Nick Caserio walked into a mess when he took the Texans job last year, but he’s slowly bringing this team back to some normalcy. Neal recorded double-digit starts at left tackle, right tackle and left guard at Alabama, and he’s proven to be durable, starting 40 out of 41 games over the last three years (his only missed game was due to COVID-19). The Texans get to keep Laremy Tunsil at left tackle and Neal slides to right tackle as they build around Davis Mills.

 

4. NEW YORK JETS: DE KAYVON THIBODEAUX, OREGON

The Jets could go in a number of different directions with this pick. General manager Joe Douglas has used high first-round picks on the offensive line in back-to-back years, and Ekwonu is someone they like. Nonetheless, the Jets appear to be leaning toward defense with this pick.

 

Thibodeaux had a really good visit with the Jets a couple of weeks ago, as he hit it off with head coach Robert Saleh. It’s important to make this clear: the concerns that you’ve been reading and hearing about Thibodeaux over the last few weeks aren’t some serious off-field accusations or something injury-related. One executive noted, “He’s just very confident and wants to be great. All the other stuff is fluff that most players have but he just expresses it openly.”

 

Finding elite pass-rushers is not easy in this league and the Jets have a chance to get a great one here. Thibodeaux, Quinnen Williams, Carl Lawson and John Franklin-Myers would be a really strong group.

 

5. NEW YORK GIANTS: OT CHARLES CROSS, MISSISSIPPI STATE

There’s a strong belief around the league that the Giants want to move down from one of their first-round picks. The hard part will be getting the proper value, and I don’t think new general manager Joe Schoen trades one of these picks for 80 cents on the dollar.

 

Ekwonu and Cross are both on the board in this scenario — and both would be great selections here. It could very well be a smokescreen, but there’s been growing buzz surrounding Cross and the Giants in recent weeks. Cross held his own against SEC competition over the last two years, and with over 75% of his snaps coming in pass protection, he consistently stayed on balance and was rarely fooled by twists and stunts.  The big question is if the Giants are comfortable with him at right tackle. They privately had him take reps at right tackle during his pro day, as that would be his position if they selected him with Andrew Thomas staying on the left side.

 

6. CAROLINA PANTHERS: OT ICKEY EKWONU, NC STATE

The Panthers have done all their homework on the quarterbacks in this class, and it wouldn’t be a surprise if they target one. Nevertheless, their first pick is at No. 6 and their next pick comes all the way down at No. 137, making this situation complicated.

 

The Panthers have several holes, and the coaching staff is entering a critical year in which it has to take a step forward. Would adding a rookie quarterback at No. 6 in a class that isn’t deemed “special” help? Or is adding a premier player such as Ekwonu  — and then trading a mid-to-late round pick for Baker Mayfield or Jimmy Garoppolo — the better option? The answers are mostly split, but some have started to lean toward the latter over the last week. Ekwonu is considered by some to be the “safest” pick in this draft.

 

7. NEW YORK GIANTS: CB AHMAD ‘SAUCE’ GARDNER, CINCINNATI

New defensive coordinator Wink Martindale has a very aggressive, blitz-heavy scheme, so adding a shutdown corner makes a lot of sense. The 6-foot-3, 190-pound Gardner plays fearlessly and possesses the length, speed and confidence that should translate well to the NFL level. Schoen confirmed last week that the team has continued to take calls on James Bradberry, and a move seems likely at this point. With him likely out the door, Gardner would be able to step right in.

 

8. ATLANTA FALCONS: QB MALIK WILLIS, LIBERTY

I mentioned this on my show last week: It’s a bit surprising there isn’t more national buzz surrounding the Falcons taking a quarterback early. The Falcons went all-in for Deshaun Watson, traded away Matt Ryan for a third-round pick and signed Marcus Mariota to a team-friendly deal that has just $6,750,000 in total guarantees, plus Mariota has a concerning injury history.

 

Willis (born in Atlanta) blew teams away during the interview process and comes off as a really genuine guy. He didn’t have a strong supporting cast at Liberty, but his ability and upside is easy to see. Mariota is one of the nicest people in the league and will take Willis under his wing as he makes the transition to the NFL. If the Falcons pass on a quarterback here, keep in mind they have two second-round picks and two third-round picks to try to move back into the first round (Matt Corral has also been linked to them).

 

9. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: CB DEREK STINGLEY JR., LSU

I originally slotted Stingley to the Vikings at No. 12, but the buzz continues to grow that he won’t make it out of the top 10. There are differing opinions on Stingley, as some believe he just got “bored” after experiencing all the success in his freshman year, while some have serious questions about his availability and if it’s fair to judge 2019 as the real Stingley now that we’re in 2022.

 

Everything checked out medically for Stingley, who is now fully recovered from his Lisfranc injury (and his pro day confirmed that). Seattle does not believe it is in a “rebuild” but rather in a “remodel.” If Stingley can recapture his pre-injury form, he becomes a steal at No. 9.

 

10. NEW YORK JETS: WR GARRETT WILSON, OHIO STATE

Wilson-to-Wilson for the next 10-plus years? With no wide receivers drafted in the first nine picks, Douglas can pick whoever he wants for second-year QB Zach Wilson. The Ohio State standout can stretch defenses vertically and has elite ball skills and body control. He’s a perfect fit for Mike LaFleur’s offense.

 

It’s worth noting that the Jets have been all over the veteran receiver market this offseason, nearly landing Tyreek Hill (he chose Miami), checking in with the Cowboys on Amari Cooper (Jets thought he’d get cut), checking in with the Falcons on Calvin Ridley (before his suspension), and consistently being linked to D.K. Metcalf, A.J. Brown and now Deebo Samuel. The Chiefs were willing to accept an offer centered around pick Nos. 35 and 38 in the Jets’ package for Hill. If they pass on a receiver at No. 10, their eyes will turn back to the trade market.

 

11. WASHINGTON COMMANDERS: WR DRAKE LONDON, USC

Kyle Hamilton is a strong option here as well, but Washington ends up opting for help on offense. London lined up outside and in the slot for USC while totaling 88 receptions for 1,084 yards and seven touchdowns in eight games last season before suffering an ankle fracture.

 

Washington has lacked consistent production opposite Terry McLaurin, and London’s size (6-4, 219 pounds) is a big element here. Carson Wentz has always had that reliable big target, whether it was Alshon Jeffery and Zach Ertz in Philly or Michael Pittman in Indy. London could instantly become that for Wentz in Washington. Head coach Ron Rivera also has a history of drafting big-bodied receivers during his time in Carolina, selecting Kelvin Benjamin (2014) and Devin Funchess (2015).

 

12. MINNESOTA VIKINGS: EDGE JERMAINE JOHNSON II, FLORIDA STATE

Pairing Stingley with his old defensive coordinator at LSU, Daronte Jones (now the Vikings defensive backs coach), and LSU legend Patrick Peterson would be the ideal situation, but he’s off the board in this mock. Therefore, the Vikings end up selecting Johnson, who needed to transfer away from Georgia’s stacked defense just to get the opportunity to prove himself. He led the ACC in sacks (11.5) and tackles for loss (17.5) this past season and was really impressive at the Senior Bowl in Mobile, Alabama. He has the length and agility to be disruptive as both a pass-rusher and run defender. Johnson has gained steam in the last few weeks.

 

13. HOUSTON TEXANS: S KYLE HAMILTON, NOTRE DAME

It would’ve felt like a stunner at the beginning of the draft process if Hamilton fell out of the top 10 — some mocks even had him going to Houston at No. 3. Nonetheless, he is on the board for Houston at No. 13 in this exercise. Some objections with his 40 time created an uproar, but Hamilton plays fast and has the kind of range and instincts teams covet. Caserio came from New England, where they liked to build their defense from back to front. Hamilton will be an instant playmaker wherever he goes. Don’t overthink it.

 

14. BALTIMORE RAVENS: DT JORDAN DAVIS, GEORGIA

Stopping the run has long been a Ravens principle and simply put, that’s what Davis does best.

 

He went viral for his unreal Combine performance in Indianapolis, showing freakish athleticism by posting an insane 4.78-second 40-yard dash (fastest ever for a player over 310 pounds), 32-inch vertical (highest ever by a player over 340 pounds) and 10-foot-3 broad jump (longest ever by a player over 300 pounds). With Calais Campbell returning on a two-year deal, he and Davis will be able to collapse the pocket and make life easier for second-year pass-rusher Odafe Oweh.

 

15. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: WR JAMESON WILLIAMS, ALABAMA

A team that is patient with Williams’ recovery from a torn ACL (suffered in the national title game) might end up landing this year’s top receiver. The Eagles have taken a wide receiver in back-to-back years, and they could very well go back in that direction again this year. Head coach Nick Sirianni loves his receivers (he is a former receivers coach), and he’ll have some fun pairing Williams with DeVonta Smith.

 

16. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: OT TREVOR PENNING, NORTHERN IOWA

The Saints made that odd trade with the Eagles a few weeks back that had many people scratching their heads. There are multiple people who strongly believe the Saints think they can compete in a weakened NFC, so adding two young impact players on rookie contracts will only help their chances.

 

It makes some sense. Keep in mind, the Saints are 4-0 in the regular season vs. the division-rival Buccaneers since Tom Brady arrived, including a shutout win in primetime last season when Dennis Allen (who is now the full-time head coach) was filling in for Sean Payton (COVID). This team won nine games last season despite not having Michael Thomas and starting four different quarterbacks. After losing Terron Armstead to Miami, the Saints grab Penning, who will bring a level of nastiness to the offensive line. Penning finished this past season with an unreal 97.3 PFF grade.

 

17. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS: CB TRENT MCDUFFIE, WASHINGTON

The Chargers gave J.C. Jackson a big contract in free agency, but they still target defensive back here. Head coach Brandon Staley loves cornerbacks, and defenses can’t have enough of them right now in the AFC West. The knock on McDuffie is his size and length (5-foot-10 and 193 pounds with 29 3/4-inch arms), but the Chargers were in a similar situation last year with Asante Samuel in the second round and still selected him.

 

McDuffie plays with physicality, has inside-outside flexibility, is aggressive as a run defender, and simply has the kind of production that warrants overlooking the size/length concerns. The Chargers have been all-in on defense this offseason and continue that here at No. 17.

 

18. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: EDGE GEORGE KARLAFTIS, PURDUE

The Eagles know they need to get younger on the defensive line, and Karlaftis projects as a starter in defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon’s scheme as a base end. He’s been compared to Ryan Kerrigan, who fittingly played last season in Philadelphia.

 

19. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: WR CHRIS OLAVE, OHIO STATE

Thomas returns from injury and gets to tag team with another Ohio State receiver. Olave is a silky smooth route-runner who ran a 4.39-second 40-yard dash. He can stretch the field, providing a nice complement to Thomas.

 

20. PITTSBURGH STEELERS: QB KENNY PICKETT, PITTSBURGH

I’ve always gotten the sense that Willis is the quarterback the Steelers covet, but they would have to trade up in front of the Falcons in this mock. I could definitely see that scenario happening on draft night, but since there are no trades in this mock, I gave them Pickett.

 

Pittsburgh didn’t hide the fact that it was in the quarterback market this offseason, adding Mitch Trubisky on an incentive-laden deal and traveling around the country to see all the top quarterback prospects in the draft. This being general manager Kevin Colbert’s last draft is also noteworthy. Former Ravens general manager Ozzie Newsome left the Ravens with Lamar Jackson in his last draft. Colbert likely wants to leave Pittsburgh with a QB of his choice.

 

21. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: LB DEVIN LLOYD, UTAH

Lloyd feels like a Patriots-type of player due to his size, length, versatility, intelligence and leadership skills — everything screams Patriots. He’s an every-down impact player and head coach Bill Belichick would be able to use him in a number of different ways. His age (24 years old in September) is a concern for some. McDuffie would also make some sense if he were still on the board here.

 

22. GREEN BAY PACKERS: WR TREYLON BURKS, ARKANSAS

For the first time in 20 years, the Packers take a wide receiver in the first round. Burks is a big (6-2, 225 pounds) and physical wideout who has incredible run-after–the-catch ability. I don’t like comparing anyone to Deebo Samuel, but Burks was used in a similar fashion — aligning outside, in the slot, in the backfield while even playing a couple snaps as a wildcat quarterback. Put him with Aaron Rodgers and let the magic happen.

 

One note: There is a belief that the Packers are still keeping a very close eye on the trade market for receiver help. Yes, they traded Davante Adams, but they ultimately were willing to pay the big money for Adams. Unfortunately, he decided he wanted out. If an option became available (and there are some disgruntled receivers out there), I wouldn’t rule the Packers out.

 

23. ARIZONA CARDINALS: G ZION JOHNSON, BOSTON COLLEGE

The Cardinals have targeted the defense in back-to-back years, but Kyler Murray has been pleading for help (and a new contract) all offseason long. Johnson is a mauling guard who can be a plug-and-play starter for Arizona. Johnson is regarded, by most, as the top interior lineman in this draft.

 

24. DALLAS COWBOYS: G KENYON GREEN, TEXAS A&M

Starting to inject some youth into the Cowboys’ offensive line feels like a must. Green startered at every single offensive line position except center last season, earning a 79.8 PFF grade. He’s interviewed really well with teams throughout the draft process, meeting with most teams in the back-end of Round 1 and top of Round 2. Dallas met with him at the combine and then brought him into its facility as well for a visit. Drafting someone with the versatility to play multiple positions is very enticing to teams.

 

25. BUFFALO BILLS: CB KAIIR ELAM, FLORIDA

Defenses can never have enough cornerbacks in the AFC, and Elam has gone a bit under the radar in this year’s class. Levi Wallace left Buffalo for the Steelers in free agency and star corner Tre’Davious White is recovering from an ACL tear he suffered in November. Elam is a big, physical corner who has blazing 4.3 speed and the ability to match up in man coverages as a rookie.

 

26. TENNESSEE TITANS: QB DESMOND RIDDER, CINCINNATI

There’s been some light buzz that the Titans could be a sneaky quarterback team in this draft. They don’t have a second-round pick (from last year’s Julio Jones trade), so their next scheduled pick is in the third round at No. 90.

 

Ryan Tannehill will turn 34 years old in July and the last memory of him is a not-so-great performance against the Bengals in the playoffs. He has no guaranteed salary left after this season. I stress that the buzz is light, but it’s not the craziest thing when you give it some thought. Head coach Mike Vrabel is also close friends with Cincinnati head coach Luke Fickell.

 

27. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS: S DAXTON HILL, MICHIGAN

The Bucs lost Jordan Whitehead to the Jets in free agency – and new head coach Todd Bowles loves his safeties. Hill can step in at corner or nickel, but he will likely be a deep safety in the NFL, as he possesses excellent speed. The offensive line could be a strong option here, too.

 

28. GREEN BAY PACKERS: OT TYLER SMITH, TULSA

Smith is another player who hasn’t gotten much buzz this draft cycle but could get selected in Round 1. He’s only a redshirt sophomore, but his upside has been raved about. He plays nasty, is dominant in the run game and will continue to blossom with proper coaching.

 

29. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS: CB KYLER GORDON, WASHINGTON

The Chiefs have 12 picks in this draft — tied for the most in the NFL. They don’t need 12 rookies on their roster, so an aggressive move up for a top receiver would make sense. Gordon has gained some traction, and there are a few who like him as much as his Washington teammate, McDuffie.

 

30. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS: WR JAHAN DOTSON, PENN STATE

If the Chiefs don’t move up from pick Nos. 29 or 30, it wouldn’t be a major shock if they pass on receivers both times and look for one later in the draft.

 

Dotson could be the exception. He is creative in how he gains separation, and his catch radius is quite ridiculous considering his size (5-foot-10 5/8, 178 pounds). Andy Reid would have a lot of fun adding him into this offense as they enter the post-Tyreek Hill era.

 

31. CINCINNATI BENGALS: DL LOGAN HALL, HOUSTON

Hall is another late riser who could sneak into the first round. He played primarily inside in college but has the ideal frame to be an edge defender. He possesses the ability to play snaps early against the run with room to grow as a pass rusher. There’s a lot to like with Hall, it just all needs to come together with proper coaching. Continuing to add on the offensive line would make sense as well.

 

32. DETROIT LIONS: S LEWIS CINE, GEORGIA

The Lions could take a quarterback here to secure the fifth-year option, trade this pick to a different team wanting to do the same (similar to Teddy Bridgewater in 2014 and Lamar Jackson in 2018), or they could just keep the selection and add another building block to the roster.

 

Cine brings toughness, and energy (Campbell/Holmes type of guy) and stands out as the best fit for a team that wants a playmaker on the back end of the defense.