UPDATED TOP TENS AT EACH POSITION
How things have changed during 2021 with ESPN’s top 10 ratings for each position. Jeremy Fowler reveals some shocking omissions – like even in September how could you not have Joe Burrow, Jonathan Taylor, Justin Jefferson and, maybe as it turns out, Cooper Kupp in the top 10s.
Over the summer, we produced an 11-day project ranking the top 10 NFL players at each position, compiling votes from 50-plus executives, scouts, coaches and players. The project is extensive, culling league-personnel-driven scouting reports on nearly 200 players. The goal: Find out exactly how the league feels about your favorite stars.
Revisiting those results nearly six months later, after 16 weeks of NFL football, is telling. Some bold projections look smart. For instance, Tennessee Titans defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons was the No. 6 interior defensive lineman. He wasn’t a marquee name among casual fans but played at a Pro Bowl-level this season.
But the omissions are glaring, revealing more about leaguewide groupthink than some would like to admit. Some veterans get pigeonholed, some young players are undervalued because of a lack of tenure in the league, and too many deserving players are left as honorable mentions. And of course, sometimes it’s as simple as a player having one special, unexpected year that will catapult the rest of his career. That happened last year with Buffalo Bills wide receiver Stefon Diggs, and it’s happening again this year at almost every position.
So we went back to execs, scouts and coaches all over the NFL to determine the biggest risers for each of the 2021 top 10 lists — players who were either ranked too low or not ranked at all, including two potential record-breakers at the skill positions.
QUARTERBACK
Preseason Quarterback Rankings
1 Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs 6 Matthew Stafford, Rams
2 Aaron Rodgers, Packers 7 Dak Prescott, Cowboys
3 Tom Brady, Buccaneers 8 Lamar Jackson, Ravens
4 Russell Wilson, Seahawks 9 Justin Herbert, Chargers
5 Josh Allen, Bills 10 Kyler Murray, Cardinals
Who’s rising now
Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals
Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers
At the time of voting, Herbert garnered more buzz than Burrow but also had a larger body of work. Herbert burst onto the scene with 4,336 yards, 31 touchdowns and 10 interceptions through 15 games last season, earning him the No. 9 QB ranking on our list, but Burrow tore his ACL in Week 11, which probably hurt him in the voting. Burrow finished in the honorable mention category, somewhere in that Nos. 11-15 range. Evaluators were majorly impressed with Burrow’s command of the offense as a rookie, but the sample size wasn’t big enough to get him into the top 10. Now Herbert and Burrow are both healthy and have plenty of weapons on the outside, and these two should trade blows for years to come as top-10 passers.
“[Burrow is] a big reason the Bengals are turning it around,” an NFC evaluator said. “They are talented, but Burrow knows how defenses are trying to play him at any moment. He’s a killer.”
Burrow has Cincinnati poised for the playoffs after setting a franchise record with 525 passing yards on Sunday against Baltimore, showcasing clinical work with a variety of throws both from the pocket and on the move. For the season, Burrow has a stout 4,165 passing yards with 30 touchdown passes and 14 interceptions.
Herbert, meanwhile, has only built on his stellar rookie year, ranking third in Total QBR at 65.3 behind Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady and posting 4,394 yards, 33 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Save a few curious games (hello, Houston), Herbert puts on a show whenever he is under center. The Chargers are sort of used to it now. When asked about Herbert’s recent 65-yard deep-ball TD after rolling to his right while a New York Giants defender clamped down, someone with the Chargers laughed and said, “You’ll be less and less surprised as he goes.”
Running back
Preseason Running Back Rankings
1 Derrick Henry, Titans 6 Saquon Barkley, Giants
2 Alvin Kamara, Saints 7 Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys
3 Dalvin Cook, Vikings 8 Aaron Jones, Packers
4 Nick Chubb, Browns 9 Joe Mixon, Bengals
5 Christian McCaffrey, Panthers 10 Josh Jacobs, Raiders
Who’s rising now
Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts
Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This one hurts. We knew Taylor was poised to explode but stayed true to the voting, which left Taylor tied for 10th with Josh Jacobs. Jacobs won the tiebreaker, leaving Taylor out of the top 10. Jacobs is a fine back, but Taylor’s upside was massive coming into the year. Several scouts warned he would be a top-five back by the end of his sophomore year.
“Yeah, and now he’s No. 1,” said an NFC exec with a laugh. “Saying he’s top-five sort of undersells him right now. No running back makes you more uneasy than him right now. Every time he touches it can be a touchdown.”
Taylor’s 1,626 yards and 17 touchdowns stand alone, but his dominance also coincides with an injury-ravaged year for top running backs. Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara, Nick Chubb and Dalvin Cook are among elite backs missing time this season. Taylor is lined up for long-term success, too. He turns 23 in January, is durable and is running behind an elite offensive line. The Colts rave about his team-first attitude — he is always happy for backup tailbacks when they make big plays.
Fournette, meanwhile, is a revelation in Tampa Bay, with Tom Brady flooding him with targets before his hamstring injury. Who had Fournette ranking second on the Bucs in catches (69) through the first 15 weeks? Not many. And Fournette’s 812 rushing yards and eight touchdowns largely kept Ronald Jones II on the sideline before Fournette’s injury. The Tampa Bay back wasn’t even ranked on our list over the summer.
“He was better as a pass-catcher than [the Bucs] could have hoped,” an NFC exec said. “They knew he could handle more but maybe not this much. They have given him more, and he has gotten better and better.”
Wide receiver
Preseason Wide Receiver Rankings
1 Davante Adams, Packers 6 Keenan Allen, Chargers
2 DeAndre Hopkins, Cardinals 7 Mike Evans, Buccaneers
3 Stefon Diggs, Bills 8 Michael Thomas, Saints
4 Tyreek Hill, Chiefs 9 DK Metcalf, Seahawks
5 Julio Jones, Titans 10 A.J. Brown, Titans
Who’s rising now
Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams
Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings
Admit the mistake, learn from it and move on. Evaluators admittedly pigeonholed Kupp — an honorable mention on our preseason list — as a really good slot receiver without much thought of him being top-10 caliber. An NFL head coach always warned me that Kupp was way underrated, saying that everything the Rams receiver does is “teach tape.” And when I made an August visit to Rams camp, I saw Matthew Stafford throw to Kupp on virtually every practice down and thought this guy is going to catch at least 100 passes. Kupp also told me he was lobbying coach Sean McVay for more opportunities on the outside.
His career high at that point was 94 catches. He has since shattered all expectations with an all-time season, making his honorable mention status seem silly, a byproduct of increased responsibilities and chemistry with his new quarterback. With 132 catches for 1,734 yards, Kupp sits 17 shy of Michael Thomas’ career receptions record (149) and 230 yards from Calvin Johnson’s all-time receiving clip (1,964). He has two more games to surpass each, and even in a 17-game season, breaking one or both records would be obscene.
“He does everything well. He’s bigger/stronger than given credit for, quickness off the charts, savvy, instincts.” an NFC scout said.
And then there is Jefferson, who missed the top 10 here for the same reason Taylor did at running back; sometimes voters are hesitant to put players coming off a rookie season on the top shelf, wanting to see more. More than 1,400 yards later, there’s little doubt Jefferson will land somewhere in the top five-to-seven this summer on our next edition of these lists.
Tight end
Preseason Tight End Rankings
1 George Kittle, 49ers 6 Dallas Goedert, Eagles
2 Travis Kelce, Chiefs 7 Hunter Henry, Patriots
3 Darren Waller, Raiders 8 Evan Engram, Giants
4 Mark Andrews, Ravens 9 Jonnu Smith, Patriots
5 T.J. Hockenson, Lions 10 Zach Ertz, Cardinals
Who’s rising now
Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons
Mike Gesicki, Miami Dolphins
Rookies are ineligible to crack the top 10 in our system, so he isn’t really a miss there, but Pitts is well-positioned for 2022 after a solid, largely expected rookie year. Considered the best tight end prospect in decades, Pitts is third among tight ends in receiving yardage (949) and ranks sixth in catches (64). He is one of four tight ends to record 60-plus catches as a rookie, joining Evan Engram, Jeremy Shockey and Keith Jackson.
“I still think they should have tried to get their future quarterback with the fourth pick … but there was no question this guy would be good,” an NFC exec said.
Gesicki, a 2022 free agent and an honorable mention on the preseason tight end list, is tracking for career highs in receptions and yardage despite starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa missing four games earlier in the year.
“Not a complete tight end, but he scares you as a vertical threat,” a veteran AFC scout said. “You always have to account for him.”
The Dallas Cowboys’ Dalton Schultz, who wasn’t even an honorable mention a year ago, is on the rise, too, after becoming one of Dak Prescott’s top options.
Offensive tackle
Preseason Offensive Tackle Rankings
1 Trent Williams, 49ers 6 Mekhi Becton, Jets
2 David Bakhtiari, Packers 7 Taylor Lewan, Titans
3 Laremy Tunsil, Texans 8 Tristan Wirfs, Buccaneers
4 Terron Armstead, Saints 9 Tyron Smith, Cowboys
5 Ronnie Stanley, Ravens 10 Ryan Ramczyk, Saints
Who’s rising now
Tristan Wirfs, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Kolton Miller, Las Vegas Raiders
Wirfs parlayed a fine rookie season into the No. 8 offensive tackle ranking, which now actually appears too low. The Buccaneers believe they have a legitimate All-Pro in Wirfs, who has allowed two sacks in 1,048 snaps. That’s according to Pro Football Focus, which also gives Wirfs an impressive 83.4 overall rating. The lineman showed good overall mobility and toughness from the beginning, but he’s reaching premier status in Year 2.
“Wirfs is very talented and playing for [coach Bruce] Arians and with [quarterback Tom] Brady has obviously accelerated his learning curve at the position and toward the game,” an NFC scout said. “He has responded very well to how demanding that task is for a young offensive lineman, and having that insight gives him perspective and strategic advantages most young linemen don’t get in the acclimation period of the developing process.”
Miller doesn’t get mentioned often among the top tackles, and wasn’t on our preseason list, but he has been a stabilizing force for Las Vegas, which signed him to a three-year, $54 million extension in the offseason. Miller sports an 80.8 Pro Football Focus rating and has only three sacks allowed.
“Gotten better every year,” an AFC exec said. “He’s talented. Good feet.”
Another player on the rise is the Philadelphia Eagles’ Lane Johnson, a top-10 tackle in 2020 who fell out of contention last year but is playing at a high level once again.
Interior offensive line
Preseason Interior Offensive Lineman Rankings
1 Quenton Nelson, Colts 6 Joe Thuney, Chiefs
2 Zack Martin, Cowboys 7 Elgton Jenkins, Packers
3 Brandon Scherff, Washington 8 Rodger Saffold III, Titans
4 Frank Ragnow, Lions 9 Rodney Hudson, Cardinals
5 Joel Bitonio, Browns 10 Erik McCoy, Saints
Who’s rising now
Wyatt Teller, Cleveland Browns
Ryan Jensen, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Wyatt received several top-10 votes before the season but ultimately didn’t make the cut. His play in 2021 got recognized by the Pro Bowl — and for good reason. He is a key cog for a Browns line that has helped the run game to 5.1 yards per rushing attempt, tied for first in the NFL with the Eagles and Colts. Teller and guard Joel Bitonio are the Browns’ only linemen to start all 15 games this year. Bitonio ranked No. 5 last year, so Teller had far more ground to cover in the rankings.
“One of the most physically imposing players in that [AFC North] division,” an AFC scout said.
Jensen also made his first Pro Bowl after a productive second year with Tom Brady. The Bucs rank second in scoring offense (29.5 points per game) and total offense (401.7 yards per game). Jensen is a sneaky-big part of that production, and he might have cracked the top-10 list here if interior linemen were re-ranked today.
Edge rusher
Preseason Edge Rusher Rankings
1 Myles Garrett, Browns 6 Von Miller, Broncos
2 T.J. Watt, Steelers 7 Chase Young, Washington
3 Joey Bosa, Chargers 8 Nick Bosa, 49ers
4 Khalil Mack, Bears 9 Cameron Jordan, Saints
5 Chandler Jones, Cardinals 10 Danielle Hunter, Vikings
Who’s rising now
Brian Burns, Carolina Panthers
Nick Bosa, San Francisco 49ers
This position aligns with the wide receiver pool: It is simply too loaded for just one top-10 list. Bosa, for instance, is a 2021 riser after he fell to eighth due to a torn ACL in 2020. He’s clearly a top-five pass-rusher after an explosive third year, featuring 45 quarterback pressures (tied for first with Myles Garrett).
Carolina’s Burns earned a Pro Bowl nod for his second consecutive season with at least nine sacks. The Panthers, in need of roster cornerstones during a 5-10 season, will certainly pick up the fifth-year option on their 2019 first-rounder.
“Length, burst, explosion,” an NFL personnel evaluator said of Burns, an honorable mention on the preseason ranking. “Still has untapped upside.”
A couple of other guys who should rise: the Raiders’ Maxx Crosby and the Cincinnati Bengals’ Trey Hendrickson. They didn’t get any votes in the top-10 series last year despite good production. Now both are Pro Bowl-bound thanks to a combined 75 quarterback pressures, with Hendrickson posting back-to-back seasons of at least 13 sacks.
“I like both of those guys because they play so damn hard,” a veteran NFC defensive coach said. “Relentless.”
Interior defensive line
Preseason Interior Defensive Lineman Rankings
1 Aaron Donald, Rams 6 Jeffery Simmons, Titans
2 Chris Jones, Chiefs 7 Leonard Williams, Giants
3 DeForest Buckner, Colts 8 Stephon Tuitt, Steelers
4 Cameron Heyward, Steelers 9 Vita Vea, Buccaneers
5 Fletcher Cox, Eagles 10 Grady Jarrett, Falcons
Who’s rising now
Kenny Clark, Green Bay Packers
Jonathan Allen, Washington Football Team
Clark fell out of the top 10 in 2021 but not due to quality of play. Nearly 20 players garnered votes, with several young players — like Vita Vea and Jeffery Simmons — entering the top 10. But Clark’s disruption has helped quell concerns after the Green Bay defense lost Pro Bowlers Za’Darius Smith and Jaire Alexander. His 46 tackles and four sacks don’t tell the whole story.
“He’s constantly disruptive,” an AFC exec said. “He was great for them in the playoffs last year, and he’ll probably be that again.”
Allen, meanwhile, is making a compelling case for the top 10 after 8.5 sacks and a stellar 87.3 Pro Football Focus rating.
“Complete player,” an AFC scout said about Allen, another honorable mention of the offseason ranking. “Leader, plays the run and can rush the passer, great technique. Doesn’t have dominant traits but is really good without much of a weakness.”
Off-ball linebacker
Preseason Linebacker Rankings
1 Devin White, Buccaneers 6 Roquan Smith, Bears
2 Fred Warner, 49ers 7 Eric Kendricks, Vikings
3 Bobby Wagner, Seahawks 8 Tremaine Edmunds, Bills
4 Darius Leonard, Colts 9 Demario Davis, Saints
5 Lavonte David, Buccaneers 10 Myles Jack, Jaguars
Who’s rising now
Darius Leonard, Indianapolis Colts
Demario Davis, New Orleans Saints
Leonard wasn’t exactly slighted, coming in at No. 4 this summer. But he’s making a case to crack the top three based on his splash-play ability. No offensive playmaker is safe in the vicinity of Leonard, who has three sacks, seven pass deflections and six forced fumbles. That’s out of this world production from the off-ball linebacker spot.
“I bet some knock him because he’s not always technically sound. But defenses care about points allowed and takeaways, and he’s elite in that area,” an AFC exec said.
Davis (No. 9 on the original list) is doing his usual thing this season, racking up sacks and forced fumbles while pacing for 100-plus tackles. He’s doing this at 32.
“He certainly hasn’t declined,” an NFC exec said. “I’d put him on my All-Pro team.”
Cornerback
Preseason Cornerback Rankings
1 Jalen Ramsey, Rams 6 Jaire Alexander, Packers
2 Marlon Humphrey, Ravens 7 Marshon Lattimore, Saints
3 Xavien Howard, Dolphins 8 Denzel Ward, Browns
4 Stephon Gilmore, Panthers 9 Darius Slay, Eagles
5 Tre’Davious White, Bills 10 J.C. Jackson, Patriots
Who’s rising now
Trevon Diggs, Dallas Cowboys
Kenny Moore II, Indianapolis Colts
Like Taylor and Kupp, Diggs’ rise from supporting player to superstar has changed the viewing experience on Sundays. He’s a must-watch cornerback due to his ability to flip a game on its head. With 11 interceptions and 21 pass deflections, Diggs has recorded a targeted EPA (expected points added) of minus-28.0 when he’s the nearest defender, per NFL Next Gen Stats. So his coverage is essentially worth four extra touchdowns to his team. Left off this summer’s list altogether, Diggs has two more games to get one more interception and break Everson Walls’ franchise record for picks in a season, set in 1981.
Diggs will gamble, which explains quarterbacks completing 44 of 82 passes against him for 736 yards and four touchdowns when he’s in coverage, per NFL Next Gen Stats. “He’ll take chances and get beat occasionally, but his instincts are pretty special,” an AFC scout said. “And that receiver background helps him make plays on the ball.”
As far as slot corners go, Moore is premier. Quarterbacks keep throwing at him without much success. On 99 targets as the nearest defender, Moore has allowed 61 receptions for 604 yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions, good enough for a minus-9.3 targeted EPA (NFL Next Gen Stats). Moore — who also was not on the original ranking — does a little bit of everything, from playing the run to covering in space. One NFC exec called him “one of the NFL’s most underrated players.”
Safety
Preseason Safety Rankings
1 Minkah Fitzpatrick, Steelers 6 Tyrann Mathieu, Chiefs
2 Justin Simmons, Broncos 7 Kevin Byard, Titans
3 Budda Baker, Cardinals 8 John Johnson III, Browns
4 Jamal Adams, Seahawks 9 Derwin James Jr., Chargers
5 Harrison Smith, Vikings 10 Jessie Bates III, Bengals
Who’s rising now
Derwin James Jr., Los Angeles Chargers
Quandre Diggs, Seattle Seahawks
The Chargers believe James’ high-level ability elevates them from an average team to a contender. That has largely been the case in 2021, with the once-injury-prone James playing 13 games so far with solid results: two sacks, two interceptions, two forced fumbles and a 76.8 Pro Football Focus rating. Perhaps it’s no coincidence that with James missing much of the past two weeks with a hamstring issue, the Chargers’ leaky defense couldn’t hold the Chiefs or Texans in back-to-back losses. James came in at No. 9 before the season, largely because he missed 27 games the previous two years.
“He’s always up there [with the elite] when he’s on the field,” an AFC exec said. “He’s been in and out some lately, but when he’s right, he’s a top guy for sure.”
The other nominee here is Diggs, who has been one of the few bright spots in Seattle’s lost season despite not making the preseason top-10 ranking. He made his second Pro Bowl since Seattle acquired him via trade with Detroit in 2019. And he’s a player whom coaches love to have on their roster. Diggs can play with depth, has good instincts (five interceptions) and is aggressive against the run.
“No knock on Jamal Adams, but when I think of Seattle’s secondary, I think of Diggs,” an NFC veteran coach said.
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