BEST OFFSEASON MOVES
Mike Clay of ESPN.com has 25 offseason moves that he thinks were smart.
Here are the 25 biggest veteran position upgrades from the 2021 offseason. Whether it was via free agency or a trade, these teams improved their chances of 2021 success by making these significant acquisitions. Rookie impact is unpredictable, so first-year players were omitted, though I did recently examine 2021 projections for first-year players. Also, remember that some veterans like Richard Sherman, Todd Gurley II and Melvin Ingram III are still unsigned and could represent an improvement at key positions for some teams.
These 2021 team and player projections are my own, compiled through a thorough process that is both quantitative (league, team, coaching and player trends) and qualitative (projected depth chart placement and role). For all offensive linemen, I provided ESPN’s pass block win rate (PBWR) and run block win rate (RBWR), as well as Pro Football Focus’ player grades from last season. OK, let’s start with the No. 1 player upgrade of the offseason.
1. Arizona Cardinals, DT: J.J. Watt replaces Zach Allen
Allen’s 2020 stat line: 35 tackles, 2.0 sacks
Watt’s 2021 projection: 52 tackles, 6.7 sacks
The top spot goes to one of the best defensive players the league has ever seen. Watt might be past his prime at 32 years old, but he showed in 2020 that he remains one of the league’s most impactful defenders.
Watt played a team-high 92% of Houston’s defensive snaps and produced 5.0 sacks, 52 tackles and a pair of forced fumbles. His 19.7% pass rush win rate ranked 15th in the NFL and was fourth if we exclude pure edge rushers. Watt’s skill set is unique, as he has the ability to play at a high level on the edge or in the interior. He mostly did the former last season but figures to play inside a lot more this season with Chandler Jones, Markus Golden and Devon Kennard (not to mention versatile LBs Zaven Collins and Isaiah Simmons) rushing from the edge.
Allen is only 23 years old and will maintain a role, but he won’t be counted on to play nearly 80% of the snaps moving forward.
2. Los Angeles Rams, QB: Matthew Stafford replaces Jared Goff
Goff’s 2020 stat line: 370 of 552, 3,952 yards, 20 TDs, 13 INTs
Stafford’s 2021 projection: 399 of 610, 4,575 yards, 25 TDs, 12 INTs
Coach Sean McVay did his best to maximize Goff’s skill set during their time together, but the Rams finally made the decision to upgrade during the offseason. Stafford, meanwhile, had a lot on his shoulders while dealing with underwhelming supporting casts and a head coach merry-go-round during 12 seasons in Detroit.
The 33-year-old is now matched with an elite mind in McVay in Los Angeles and will have a sufficient line and solid group of targets led by Robert Woods, Cooper Kupp and Cam Akers. The Lions might have struggled last season, but Stafford showed he was still an effective passer, ranking 16th in Total QBR, 13th in PFF grade and 13th in average net yards per attempt. It’s possible we’ve yet to see the best McVay offense, and perhaps Stafford will unlock its ceiling.
3. Cleveland Browns, S: John Johnson III replaces Andrew Sendejo
Sendejo’s 2020 stat line: 0 INTs, 66 tackles
Johnson’s 2021 projection: 2.3 INTs, 106 tackles
Spoiler alert: The Browns’ defense will make several appearances here after a massive offseason overhaul that included the departure of eight of their top 10 players in 2020 snaps. But the biggest signing was that of former Rams star safety Johnson. The 25-year-old played a team-high 1,116 of a possible 1,118 snaps for Los Angeles’ elite defense last season and has quietly emerged as one of the league’s best at the position. He was PFF’s third-highest-graded safety in 2020.
Johnson, who has reached 105 tackles in each of past two full seasons, could also be joined by Grant Delpit in the starting lineup. The 2020 second-round pick is expected back after missing all of his rookie season with a torn Achilles. Add Ronnie Harrison to the fold, and Cleveland suddenly has a ton of ability and upside at the safety position.
4. Los Angeles Chargers, C: Corey Linsley replaces Dan Feeney
Feeney’s 2020 stat line: 88% PBWR, 63% RBWR, 48 PFF grade
Linsley’s 2020 stat line: 96% PBWR, 77% RBWR, 90 PFF grade
Offensive line has been a problem for the Chargers for quite a while, but the franchise made big improvements during the offseason by signing one of the league’s best centers in Linsley and drafting tackle Rashawn Slater in the first round. Linsley is the focus here, of course, as he’s a known commodity.
The former Packers star ranked sixth in pass block win rate and first in run block win rate among centers last season. He also graded out as the best center in the NFL at PFF. Feeney, meanwhile, had the worst PFF grade among non-rookie centers, and the 2017 third-round pick is now with the Jets.
5. New England Patriots, TE: Jonnu Smith and Hunter Henry replace Ryan Izzo, Devin Asiasi and Dalton Keene
Patriots’ total tight end 2020 stat line: 34 targets, 18 receptions, 254 yards, 1 TD
Smith’s 2021 projection: 78 targets, 52 receptions, 548 yards, 4 TDs
Henry’s 2021 projection: 73 targets, 49 receptions, 540 yards, 3 TDs
You read that 2020 stat line correctly: New England tight ends combined for 18 receptions. That ties the 2016 Jets for the second fewest in a single season over the past decade. Coach Bill Belichick & Co. obviously weren’t pleased with the personnel at the position, as they spent big on Smith and Henry during the early stages of free agency. The Patriots had two-plus tight ends on the field for a league-low 3% of their offensive snaps last season, but they’ll surely be among the league leaders in the category moving forward.
Henry has struggled with durability but is a capable blocker and receiver who caught 196 passes for 2,322 yards and 21 TDs in 55 games with the Chargers. Smith, meanwhile, is a post-catch playmaker who set career-high marks in targets (65), receptions (41) and receiving yards (448) while totaling nine touchdowns in Tennessee last season. The Patriots landed the two best tight ends on the market, and while that might drive fantasy managers crazy, it is great news for New England’s offensive prospects.
6. Kansas City Chiefs, OL: Orlando Brown Jr. and Joe Thuney replace Eric Fisher and Nick Allegretti
Fisher’s 2020 stat line: 88% PBWR, 70% RBWR, 80 PFF grade
Allegretti’s 2020 stat line: 93% PBWR, 62% RBWR, 66 PFF grade
Brown’s 2020 stat line: 89% PBWR, 75% RBWR, 76 PFF grade
Thuney’s 2020 stat line: 93% PBWR, 72% RBWR, 74 PFF grade
Fisher was a very good left tackle in Kansas City, but the team decided to upgrade for the long term by trading for one of the game’s top young tackles in Brown. Since he was drafted in 2018, Brown’s 90.9% pass block win rate ranks 11th, and his 77.0% run block win rate ranks eighth among 63 qualified tackles.
Thuney was one of the top free agents on the market and is a major upgrade over 2020 Week 1 starter Kelechi Osemele and his eventual replacement Allegretti. The former Patriot ranked above average in PBWR, RBWR and PFF grade while playing on the franchise tag in 2020.
Though Brown and Thuney are the two most notable upgrades, the Chiefs could enter 2021 with five new starters on the line, with center Austin Blythe, tackle Mike Remmers and guards Laurent Duvernay-Tardif or Kyle Long all good bets to start. After the display we saw against Tampa Bay in the Super Bowl, this overhaul is music to Patrick Mahomes’ ears.
7. New York Giants, WR: Kenny Golladay replaces Golden Tate
Tate’s 2020 stat line: 52 targets, 35 receptions, 388 yards, 2 TDs
Golladay’s 2021 projection: 120 targets, 70 receptions, 1,072 yards, 7 TDs
I realize these two don’t play the same position — Golladay is a big, vertical perimeter weapon, whereas Tate primarily works the short area from the slot — but Tate is out and Golladay is in when the Giants roll with three-WR sets. New York has quickly put together one of the league’s deepest wide receiver corps, having also added first-round pick Kadarius Toney and speedy John Ross to a group that includes Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton.
Golladay was limited to four full games due to injury last season but was his usual dominant self when active. In those four games, he racked up 338 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 28 targets. The 27-year-old’s last full season was his best pro campaign, as he posted a strong 65-1,190-11 receiving line in 2019. With a talented and deep supporting cast, third-year QB Daniel Jones has the tools he needs for a breakout season.
8. Las Vegas Raiders, Edge: Yannick Ngakoue replaces Arden Key
Key’s 2020 stat line: 15 tackles, 0 sacks
Ngakoue’s 2021 projection: 34 tackles, 9.3 sacks
Ngakoue had a busy 2020 season, being traded from Jacksonville to Minnesota and later to Baltimore. The 26-year-old still managed to rack up 8.0 sacks and four forced fumbles. That’s par for the course for a player who joins Aaron Donald, Derrick Thomas, DeMarcus Ware and Reggie White as the only players in NFL history with at least 8.0 sacks in each of their first five NFL seasons. The 2016 third-round pick has also proved durable, racking up at least 400 pass-rush attempts in each of his five seasons.
Ngakoue is a huge addition for a Raiders defense that ranked 29th in sacks last season and hasn’t ranked better than 24th in the category since 2015. Las Vegas now has plenty of potential in the sack department, with Ngakoue joining youngsters Maxx Crosby, Clelin Ferrell and Malcolm Koonce on the edge.
9. Minnesota Vikings, DT: Dalvin Tomlinson replaces Shamar Stephen
Stephen’s 2020 stat line: 34 tackles, 0.5 sacks
Tomlinson’s 2021 projection: 52 tackles, 3.1 sacks
Minnesota’s 2020 defensive performance was one of the worst we’ve ever seen from a Mike Zimmer unit. The Vikings ranked 27th in yards allowed after finishing in the upper half of the league in the previous six seasons. They finished 28th in points allowed after five straight top-seven finishes and also ranked near the bottom of the league in forced fumbles, sacks and tackles for loss.
That all being said, it was no surprise that the team made aggressive moves to upgrade personnel during the offseason. The biggest acquisition was Tomlinson, a 2017 second-round pick by the Giants who has emerged as one of the league’s top interior defensive linemen. Last season, the 27-year-old racked up 49 tackles (9.5 for loss), 3.5 sacks and four passes defended. He’ll join Michael Pierce, who opted out of the 2020 season, to give Zimmer a revamped and much-improved duo at defensive tackle.
With these two in place up the middle, Danielle Hunter, Eric Kendricks and Anthony Barr all back healthy, and an improved secondary, the Vikings’ defense should be much better in 2021.
10. Washington Football Team, CB: William Jackson III replaces Ronald Darby
Darby’s 2020 stat line: 55 tackles, 0 INTs
Jackson’s 2021 projection: 55 tackles, 2.5 INTs
Let me start here by pointing out that Darby is a solid corner. But Jackson is one of the league’s best cover corners, which makes his signing one of the best of the offseason. A 75th percentile or better cornerback per PFF grades in three of his four NFL seasons, Jackson has made an impact despite being tasked with occasional shadow duties against top wide receivers. His 2020 assignments included the likes of A.J. Brown, T.Y. Hilton, Terry McLaurin, DeVante Parker, Darius Slayton and DeSean Jackson.
Jackson was targeted on 69 of his 434 coverage snaps and limited his opposition to a weak 33-524-2 receiving line. Jackson and the underrated Kendall Fuller form one of the league’s best cornerback duos, which helps fill out what is a very good Washington defense.
11. Denver Broncos, CB: Kyle Fuller and Ronald Darby replace Michael Ojemudia and A.J. Bouye
Ojemudia and Bouye’s combined 2020 stat line: 85 tackles, 0 INTs
Fuller and Darby’s combined 2021 projection: 90 tackles, 3.0 INTs
Darby was replaced in Washington, but he’s part of a big cornerback room upgrade in Denver. Darby and Kyle Fuller were both signed during free agency — and Denver wasn’t done there, drafting Pat Surtain II in the first round of April’s draft. Combined with returning Bryce Callahan and 2020 third-round pick Ojemudia, Denver now has one of the league’s best and deepest cornerback groups. And if we include safeties Justin Simmons and Kareem Jackson, the Broncos have arguably the league’s best overall secondary.
Fuller was terrific during his time in Chicago, which included a 2020 season where he allowed a 47-600-3 receiving line on 80 targets while handling 512 coverage snaps (fifth most among corners). Darby was also busy in 2020, ranking sixth in coverage snaps (505) while allowing a 61-814-2 receiving line on 108 targets.
Fuller, Darby and Surtain figure to battle it out for snaps on the perimeter, with Callahan in the slot and Ojemudia learning from the bench. Denver’s defense has finished 27th and 29th in forced turnovers during the past two seasons, but the offseason injection of talent figures to lead to a better showing in 2021.
12. Miami Dolphins, WR: William Fuller V replaces Preston Williams
Williams’ 2020 stat line: 35 targets, 18 receptions, 288 yards, 4 TDs
Fuller’s 2021 projection: 109 targets, 72 receptions, 974 yards, 5 TDs
Miami entered the offseason eyeing help for second-year QB Tua Tagovailoa, and it certainly achieved that goal. The Dolphins added two speed weapons, one via free agency (Fuller) and another with the sixth overall pick of the draft (Jaylen Waddle). The two join DeVante Parker to form one of the league’s best wide receiver trios.
Fuller, a 2016 first-round pick, was in the midst of breakout 2020 season — a 53-879-8 receiving line with a league-best 11.4 yards per target — before being suspended for the final five games. (That suspension concludes in Week 1 this season.) Fuller’s durability has been an ongoing issue, as he missed 22 games during his first four NFL seasons, but he held up prior to the suspension last season and is still in his prime at 27 years old. Williams, a 2019 undrafted free agent find, is now buried on Miami’s depth chart after he struggled with injuries himself during his first two pro campaigns.
13. New York Giants, CB: Adoree’ Jackson replaces Isaac Yiadom
Yiadom’s 2020 stat line: 45 tackles, 0 INTs
Jackson’s 2021 projection: 77 tackles, 1.4 INTs
Jackson appeared in only three full games last season due to injury, but need I remind you that he was a very good cover corner during his first three seasons in the league? The 2017 first-round pick has allowed 7.1 yards per target and a 61% catch rate — both strong numbers — since entering the league.
Jackson, who is still only 25 years old, takes some pressure of James Bradberry in what is certainly one of the league’s best CB duos. Bradberry has been one of the most utilized shadow corners in the league over the past half decade, while Jackson has occasionally traveled with top wide receivers, including the likes of Marquise Brown, Tyreek Hill, DJ Chark Jr., Josh Gordon, T.Y. Hilton, DeAndre Hopkins, Antonio Brown and Brandin Cooks. Perimeter wide receivers facing the Giants are sure to have their hands full in 2020.
14. Washington Football Team, WR: Curtis Samuel replaces Cam Sims
Sims’ 2020 stat line: 48 targets, 32 receptions, 477 yards, 1 TD
Samuel’s 2021 projection: 107 targets, 74 receptions, 875 yards, 5 TDs; 21 carries, 119 yards, 1 TD
Washington won the NFC East in 2020 despite some serious depth issues at wide receiver behind Terry McLaurin. They took steps toward rectifying the issue during the offseason by signing Samuel and Adam Humphries and drafting third-rounder Dyami Brown.
Samuel is obviously the biggest prize, as the dynamic offensive weapon reunites with former coaches Ron Rivera and Scott Turner. He actually had his best NFL season without Rivera and Turner in 2020, catching 77 passes for 851 yards and three touchdowns, and rushing 41 times for 200 and two more scores. But he obviously has a path to a full-time role in Washington with McLaurin and Logan Thomas serving as his primary competition for targets in an offense now led by Ryan Fitzpatrick. With one of the league’s best defenses, a solid offensive line and an improved group of offensive skill players, Washington is primed for another playoff run.
15. Miami Dolphins, LB: Benardrick McKinney replaces Elandon Roberts
Roberts’ 2020 stat line: 61 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 0 INTs
McKinney’s 2021 projection: 127 tackles, 1.4 sacks, 0.8 INTs
Miami continued its defensive overhaul during the 2021 offseason by upgrading to McKinney at middle linebacker. McKinney had been a solid defender for Houston during his first six seasons in the pros. He racked up 95-plus tackles in four consecutive seasons spanning 2016 to 2019 before missing all but four games last season due to injury. He also has 11.5 career sacks.
McKinney is ticketed for an every-down role, and his acquisition could free up Jerome Baker to rush the passer more often. (He did so on 18% of his snaps last season, a high mark for an off-ball linebacker.) Adding a veteran McKinney helps solidify a young Miami front seven that will be relying heavily on recent early-round picks Christian Wilkins, Raekwon Davis and Jaelan Phillips.
16. New England Patriots, DL: Kyle Van Noy, Matt Judon, Henry Anderson and Davon Godchaux replace John Simon, Shilique Calhoun, Adam Butler and Byron Cowart
Simon, Calhoun, Butler and Cowart’s combined 2020 stat line: 132 tackles, 7.0 sacks
Van Noy, Judon, Anderson and Godchaux’s combined 2021 projection: 186 tackles, 15.6 sacks
The Pats were as busy as any team during the offseason, and part of the process was a massive overhaul up front on defense. Anderson and Godchaux will join the likes of Lawrence Guy and rookie Christian Barmore inside, with Van Noy and Judon set to lead the charge at edge rusher. The team also added DT Montravius Adams and DE Ronnie Perkins.
The overhaul was necessary for a Patriots defense that dropped off in a big way in 2020 after a dominant 2019 campaign. New England fell from 11th to last in forced fumbles, seventh to 26th in sacks, first to 15th in yardage allowed, 22nd to 31st in pass rush win rate and 24th to 30th in tackles for loss. The offseason injection of talent, coupled with a terrific secondary and the return of Dont’a Hightower at linebacker, makes it very likely that the Patriots’ defense will bounce back in 2021.
17. Baltimore Ravens, G: Kevin Zeitler replaces Ben Powers
Powers’ 2020 stat line: 95% PBWR, 73% RBWR, 59 PFF grade
Zeitler’s 2020 stat line: 90% PBWR, 70% RBWR, 66 PFF grade
Baltimore’s offensive line took a hit when the team traded star tackle Orlando Brown Jr. to the Chiefs during the offseason, but that was offset to some extent by the signing of Zeitler. It’s possible Zeitler is no longer at his peak after a solid but unspectacular 2020 in New York, but he’s still only 31 years old and has been one of the league’s best guards since his days with the Browns.
Zeitler was a top-10-graded guard at PFF as recently as 2019 (he ranked eighth), and his solid 70% run block win rate last season is surely a plus in Baltimore’s run-heavy scheme. Zeitler has also been extremely reliable, playing at least 773 snaps every season since he was drafted in 2012.
18. Philadelphia Eagles, S: Anthony Harris replaces Jalen Mills
Mills’ 2020 stat line: 74 tackles, 1 INT
Harris’ 2021 projection: 103 tackles, 2.0 INTs
Mills was a solid find by the Eagles as a seventh-round pick back in 2016, but the versatile defensive back was not the answer as Malcolm Jenkins’ de facto replacement at safety last season. Mills is now in New England and will be replaced in Philadelphia by a more traditional safety in Harris.
The 29-year-old broke out with a league-high six INTs in 2019 before he was slapped with the franchise tag by Minnesota. He wasn’t quite as dominant last season, as he failed to record a single interception, but he did increase his tackle total from 60 in 2019 to a career-high 104. Nonetheless, Harris provides an upgrade and solid starter with upside opposite Rodney McLeod in an Eagles secondary that badly needed an injection of talent. The Eagles have ranked 22nd or worse in interceptions each of the past three seasons, with a total of 29 during the span.
19. Washington Football Team, QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick replaces Alex Smith
Smith’s 2020 stat line: 168 of 252, 1,582 yards, 6 TDs, 8 INTs; 3 rushing yards
Fitzpatrick’s 2021 projection: 363 of 543, 4,069 yards, 22 TDs, 15 INTs; 254 rushing yards
This is the third appearance on this list by a Washington team that got much better during the offseason. Smith was the well-deserved Comeback Player of the Year last season, but he has since retired, leading Washington to replace him with the veteran Fitzpatrick. Fitz has been in and out of starting lineups throughout his career, but after Washington failed to select a rookie QB in April’s draft, the 38-year-old is cemented as the starter for a legitimate playoff contender.
Fitzpatrick has played better than you probably realize in recent seasons, ranking fifth in Total QBR in 2020 and eighth in 2019. Fitzpatrick will be working behind a solid line and has a decent group of targets led by Terry McLaurin, Logan Thomas, Curtis Samuel and Antonio Gibson. The veteran’s history of inconsistency is a concern, but his play the past two seasons suggests he can lead Washington to another playoff appearance.
20. Cleveland Browns, Edge: Jadeveon Clowney replaces Olivier Vernon
Vernon’s 2020 stat line: 36 tackles, 9.0 sacks
Clowney’s 2021 projection: 42 tackles, 6.4 sacks
Clowney was a major impact addition for the Browns, but he’s not ranked higher here simply because the man he replaced — Vernon — was pretty good as well. Clowney is a polarizing player, as he’s flashed his elite ability at times but has also missed action while failing to rack up sacks in recent years.
Of course, there is reason for optimism for the Browns. Despite failing to record a sack last season, Clowney’s 18.4% pass rush win rate ranked 17th among 81 edge rushers with 200-plus pass-rush attempts last season, after he ranked top five in the category in both 2018 and 2019. As for his perceived injury red flag, yes, Clowney missed nine games last season, but he had missed a total of five games during the previous four seasons (2016-19).
Clowney is only 28 years old and a strong candidate for a rebound campaign opposite Myles Garrett. Note that Cleveland also added Takkarist McKinley at edge rusher. His 24.0% pass rush win rate since he was drafted in 2017 is fifth best among edge rushers.
21. New York Jets, Edge: Carl Lawson replaces Tarell Basham
Basham’s 2020 stat line: 33 tackles, 3.5 sacks
Lawson’s 2021 projection: 41 tackles, 7.5 sacks
We’ve been banging the table for the Jets to add an impact edge rusher for years now, and they finally did so during free agency. Lawson was a home run pick by the Bengals in the fourth round of the 2017 draft, as he exploded for 8.5 sacks as a rookie. He then missed most of 2018 with a torn ACL before rebounding with 10.5 sacks, 71 pass rush wins and 54 hurries (fourth most in the NFL) during the 2019-20 seasons. And Lawson is coming off arguably his best all-around season, as he ranked 16th among edge rushers in pass rush win rate (18.8%) and second in hurries (32) while playing 68% of the defensive snaps.
This is a big acquisition for a Jets team that has ranked no better than 16th in sacks in each of the past five seasons. Lawson is easily New York’s top edge rusher and will be on the field as much as reasonably possible in Robert Saleh’s defense.
22. Minnesota Vikings, CB: Patrick Peterson and Mackensie Alexander replace Jeff Gladney and Mike Hughes
Gladney and Hughes’ combined 2020 stat line: 94 tackles, 0 INTs
Peterson and Alexander’s combined 2021 projection: 106 tackles, 2.8 INTs
Mike Zimmer made it a mission to improve his defense this offseason following a rough 2020 showing. One of the big overhauls came in the secondary, as it’s possible that only Harrison Smith and Cameron Dantzler will return as starters. New to the fold are three-time first-team All-Pro and eight-time Pro Bowler Peterson and old friend Alexander.
Peterson was not his usual dominant self in Arizona’s man-heavy defense in 2020, but he had a lot on his shoulders. His 555 coverage snaps were third most among corners. A bounce-back is very possible in a Zimmer scheme that has leaned more on zone in recent seasons. Peterson has been around for 10 seasons, but he’s only entering his age-31 campaign.
Alexander is back with the team after a successful 2020 season in Cincinnati and will handle slot duties. The team also added Xavier Woods as Anthony Harris’ replacement at safety. This is a good group with the potential to be very good.
23. Las Vegas Raiders, CB: Casey Hayward Jr. and Rasul Douglas replace Nevin Lawson and Lamarcus Joyner
Lawson and Joyner’s combined 2020 stat line: 145 tackles, 2 INTs
Hayward and Douglas’ combined 2021 projection: 84 tackles, 2.5 INTs
The Raiders are another team that made multiple impact additions on defense. Las Vegas has invested a ton of draft capital into the secondary in recent seasons, including corners Trayvon Mullen (2019 second round), Damon Arnette (2020 first round), Nate Hobbs (2021 fifth round), Isaiah Johnson (2019 fourth round) and Amik Robertson (2020 fourth round), as well as safeties Johnathan Abram (2019 first round), Trevon Moehrig (2021 second round) and Tyree Gillespie (2021 fourth round). It hasn’t worked out thus far, leading the team to sign veterans Hayward and Douglas as starting-caliber options at corner.
Hayward was one of the league’s top shadow corners as recently as 2019, but he’s now 31 years old, and his play took a step back in 2020. Perhaps he’ll rebound with his former defensive coordinator Gus Bradley now calling the Las Vegas defense. Douglas enjoyed a bounce-back campaign as a starter in Carolina’s zone-heavy scheme last season and will battle Mullen and Arnette for playing time.
Las Vegas’ secondary has a lot of pedigree and raw talent, but time will tell if the team’s coaching staff can translate it to an effective defense. At the very minimum, the situation is much improved for a Raiders defense that has failed to clear 10 INTs in three of its past four seasons, and after a 2020 season in which the Raiders allowed 8.9 yards per target to opposing wide receivers (seventh worst).
24. Cleveland Browns, CB: Troy Hill replaces Terrance Mitchell
Mitchell’s 2020 stat line: 65 tackles, 0 INTs
Hill’s 2021 projection: 66 tackles, 1.4 INTs
Mitchell paced all cornerbacks in coverage snaps (563) and played a team-high 98% of the defensive snaps for a Cleveland defense that struggled last season. It was an admirable showing by the journeyman, but stepping into his place in 2021 will be Hill, who played 95% of the snaps for the Rams’ elite defense in 2020 while handling both slot and perimeter duties.
Hill’s 500 coverage snaps were eighth most in the NFL, his 77 tackles ranked sixth among corners, and he graded out as the league’s 27th-best corner (among 121 qualified) at PFF. Granted he was a situational player until 2020, but Hill has now posted an above-average PFF grade in four of his six NFL seasons, including top-end showings in both 2019 and 2020. And Hill is one of 12 corners with two or more INTs in each of the past three seasons.
Cleveland’s CB room has a ton of upside, with Denzel Ward, Greedy Williams, Greg Newsome II and Hill.
25. Arizona Cardinals, C: Rodney Hudson replaces Mason Cole
Cole’s 2020 stat line: 94% PBWR, 73% RBWR, 55 PFF grade
Hudson’s 2020 stat line: 94% PBWR, 66% RBWR, 74 PFF grade
Hudson’s release by the Raiders was one of the most surprising developments of the offseason, but one of the league’s best centers didn’t have to travel far to find a new home. Hudson’s 2020 efficiency stats don’t jump off the page, but he was still above-average in pass block win rate and was PFF’s eighth-highest-graded center. In fact, he has now posted a good or great PFF grade in eight consecutive seasons as a full-time player.
Hudson has also proved to be very durable, playing at least 800 snaps all eight of those seasons, including over 1,000 six times. The 31-year-old slots in as Arizona’s new pivot and undoubtedly improves an offensive line that needed work.
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