2021 DRAFT
Here is a Mock Draft from the NFL writers of The Athletic:
The NFL Draft just more than two months away, on April 29-May 1. Free agency will shift the needs of many teams before then. But we’re kick-starting the run-up to the annual NFL Selection Meeting with a new mock draft from our writers at The Athletic who cover the league’s 32 teams.
1. Jacksonville Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson
If it wasn’t obvious the Jaguars intended to take Lawrence before, it certainly was last week when new Jacksonville coach Urban Meyer spent the entirety of Lawrence’s pro day workout within hair-flip distance of the quarterback who has been projected to be the No. 1 pick in this draft since he played for Cartersville (Ga.) High.
This is a franchise that has been in search of a franchise QB since Mark Brunell’s departure 17 years ago. Blaine Gabbert (2010) and Blake Bortles (2014) couldn’t measure up. The free-agent signing of Super Bowl LII hero Nick Foles was a flop. No QB is a sure thing, but Lawrence is the closest thing to it. — Andy Staples
2. New York Jets: Zach Wilson, QB, BYU
Things were so, so much easier for the Jets when it looked like they would go winless and land Lawrence. Now? Oh boy. General manager Joe Douglas must decide if Wilson or Ohio State’s Justin Fields’ upside is greater than that of incumbent Sam Darnold. The Jets genuinely like Darnold. They believe his play will improve with better coaching and a stronger supporting cast. But Darnold was the worst-rated passer in the NFL last year. Better doesn’t necessarily mean good. Through three years he hasn’t shown ability to make those around him better. His mechanics are a mess. His technique is bad. He’s turnover-prone and reads a defense like I’d read Mandarin.
It’s time to move on.
Wilson isn’t Lawrence — no one in this class is — but there’s an awful lot to like about him. He’s deadly accurate. He’s elusive in the pocket. He’s mobile. He has a cannon for a right arm. He’s tailor-made for coordinator Mike LaFleur’s offense. There are some rumblings of personality red flags — that’s a concern. But Wilson will have opportunities over the next few months to convince Douglas they’re overblown. If he can, he’s the pick. — Connor Hughes
3. Miami Dolphins: DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama
(Pick acquired from Houston)
Roll Fins? As the Dolphins aim to surround quarterback Tua Tagovailoa with more playmakers, this reunites him with his former Alabama teammate and the reigning Heisman Trophy winner. Smith left a lasting impression on Miami’s front office during his final collegiate game, when he caught 12 passes for 215 yards and three touchdowns in the national championship game at … Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. — Josh Tolentino
4. Atlanta Falcons: Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State
Drafting Fields would mark a new era in Atlanta. Mired in a bad salary-cap situation, the Falcons do not have the means to part with Matt Ryan just yet. But Fields would allow Atlanta to build a bridge to a post-Ryan future. The problem is that Fields would likely sit a year which is not something you want to do with a someone picked fourth overall. Perhaps playing behind Ryan for a season would give Fields time to grow into his successor. — Tori McElhaney
5. Cincinnati Bengals: Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU
Drafting Chase not only addresses the only real hole we saw in Joe Burrow’s game as a rookie — the deep ball — it also reunites the Bengals quarterback with his favorite target from 2019 when he turned in the greatest single-season performance in college football history. It’s true the offensive line currently is the more glaring need, but the Bengals have the available cash to address that in free agency, freeing them to give Burrow another elite weapon, and established connection, in Chase. — Jay Morrison
6. Philadelphia Eagles: Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon
The Eagles would have likely pounced on one of the top three quarterbacks or top two wide receivers. In fact, they’d probably be a trade-down candidate at this point. But if this is what the board looks like at No. 6 and they’re making the pick, the Eagles would have a hard time passing up a potential blue-chip left tackle even though they have two options (Jordan Mailata and 2019 first-round pick Andre Dillard) at the position. The Eagles are a roster in transition, and the organizational priority is building along the lines. Sewell is the second-ranked player on the Big Board of The Athletic’s draft expert Dane Brugler. Mailata and Dillard might be promising, but that’s not the reason to pass on Sewell. Trey Lance (yes, another North Dakota State quarterback) and Kyle Pitts (a Philadelphia native) were also under consideration. — Zach Berman
7. Detroit Lions: Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama
A trade might be the most productive move here as the Lions are just starting this rebuild and don’t have to be in a rush to take a quarterback if they’re not 100 percent sure about him. It’ll be on the table, though. Overall, the Lions offense needs more speed. Waddle is as dangerous as it gets with the ball in his hands. He can be a threat over the top, underneath, maybe even a factor in the run game if new head coach Dan Campbell and offensive coordinator Anthony Lynn want to get creative. — Nick Baumgardner
8. Carolina Panthers: Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State
Predicting the Panthers’ pick here depends on whether you think they’ll win the Deshaun Watson sweepstakes. Put another way: Just how far is owner David Tepper willing to go to get a franchise quarterback? For the purposes of this exercise, we’ll assume Watson goes elsewhere and the Panthers take a bit of a gamble on a developmental quarterback, albeit one with a diverse skill set and a high ceiling. Lance shined in a year-plus against FCS competition in an offense that also produced Carson Wentz, which is not the selling point it once was. Lance will have a season to get adjusted to the NFL and learn coordinator Joe Brady’s offense behind Teddy Bridgewater, and then head coach Matt Rhule and company hope their evaluations were on point. — Joseph Person
9. Denver Broncos: Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech
New general manager George Paton may be in the mix for a quarterback depending on whether he can pull off a Watson deal — oddsmakers seem to like the Broncos’ chances — but that’s not really an option in this scenario with the top four signal callers already off the board. Paton will gladly settle for a strong, physical, 6-foot-2, 207-pound defensive back who fits an immediate need. Alabama’s Patrick Surtain II may be more ready to step in right now, and he’d certainly be an option here, but Denver’s timeline would allow Farley to develop on the job while playing, at least next season, for a smart defensive head coach in Vic Fangio. Penn State linebacker Micah Parsons could be a consideration here, too. — Nick Kosmider
10. Dallas Cowboys: Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama
The Cowboys have many defensive needs, but cornerback is arguably the biggest. Starting corners Chidobe Awuzie and Jourdan Lewis are headed to free agency, and Dallas badly needs to upgrade the position. Surtain or Farley makes a lot of sense. Pairing either with Trevon Diggs, last year’s second-round pick, would have to excite new defensive coordinator Dan Quinn. There are some concerns about Surtain’s overall speed, but his resume is just too impressive to pass on at this spot. It’s interesting to think the Cowboys might almost have their choice of the top defensive player in this draft class at pick 10. — Jon Machota
11. New York Giants: Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida
There would be some angst in the Giants draft room if the top three wide receivers were off the board by No. 11. Northwestern offensive lineman Rashawn Slater is intriguing because the Giants offensive line is far from a finished product and Parsons would be attractive as a potential game-changing defensive player. But owner John Mara and general manager Dave Gettleman have made no secret of their intention to add offensive playmakers. Pitts fits that profile. The 6-foot-6, 246-pound tight end/wide receiver is the matchup nightmare Evan Engram was supposed to be. An offense with Pitts, a healthy Saquon Barkley and a potential top free-agent wide receiver would be far more formidable than the unit that finished 31st in scoring last season. — Dan Duggan
12. San Francisco 49ers: Rashawn Slater, G/OT, Northwestern
With Nick Bosa coming off an ACL tear and Dee Ford’s future murky because of a back issue, the 49ers are badly in need of a defensive end. But taking one here might be a reach. Slater is the best player on the board at this point. The 49ers could insert him immediately at right guard, a problem area in recent seasons, with an eye on him moving to tackle in the future. A plausible alternate scenario: Another team looking for a tackle trades up to get Slater, the 49ers trade back, draft a defensive end and add several more picks in the process. — Matt Barrows
13. L.A. Chargers: Alijah Vera-Tucker, OL, USC
The Chargers desperately need more offensive line talent to protect quarterback Justin Herbert and improve what was one of the worst rushing attacks in football last year. Vera-Tucker would slide in immediately as the starter at left guard. He also played left tackle last year for the Trojans after starting at guard as a redshirt sophomore, and that versatility is a bonus. The Chargers need to bolster all five positions up front, especially considering three of their starters — Sam Tevi, Forrest Lamp and Dan Feeney — are set to hit free agency. — Daniel Popper
14. Minnesota Vikings: Kwity Paye, Edge, Michigan
Coach Mike Zimmer said after a disappointing season that the Vikings had to improve their pass rush. Paye provides a big help in that department. His three-cone drill was off the charts, which the Vikings love, a demonstration of the athleticism that made Paye the “freakiest” athlete in college football, according to The Athletic’s Bruce Feldman. Alabama defensive tackle Christian Barmore was awfully tempting here considering how bad the Vikings’ interior defensive line was, and they surely would consider trading down with no defensive linemen off the board yet. But if we have to take someone at No. 14, we’re going with Paye to improve the pass rush. — Chad Graff
15. New England Patriots: Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State
This was a tougher decision than anticipated, as Parsons might be the best defensive prospect in the draft. Coach Bill Belichick would love the idea of injecting Parsons’ athleticism into the middle of his defense, and he has never been shy about spending quality picks at linebacker. The Patriots figure to add a few front-seven bodies through free agency and the draft, and Parsons should be a piece worth building around for the next decade. Add him into a young core with Josh Uche, Kyle Dugger, Anfernee Jennings and Chase Winovich, and the future will look bright. As for the tough part of the decision, Miami pass rusher Gregory Rousseau and Virginia Tech tackle Christian Darrisaw were very tempting. — Jeff Howe
16. Arizona Cardinals: Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina
The Cardinals could go with an edge rusher here, but corner is the bigger need. Both of last season’s starters — Patrick Peterson and Dre Kirkpatrick — can be free agents, and there’s little depth behind them. GM Steve Keim can be unpredictable with his draft selections, but this time he may have no choice. At 6-1, 205 pounds, Horn has great length and athletic ability. He also has solid ball skills and is physical enough to help stop the run. — Doug Haller
17. Las Vegas Raiders: Gregory Rousseau, Edge, Miami
The Raiders were taking either Paye or Rousseau, forget this best-player-available nonsense. They need a pass rusher badly, and Rousseau is 6-foot-7, 265 pounds with speed, power, good hands and bend. He had 15.5 sacks and 19.5 tackles for loss in 2019 while learning a new position — he was a safety and receiver in high school and then put on 30 pounds — and his high motor shows on the tape. Rousseau opted out of the 2020 season due to concerns surrounding the COVID-19 virus. He can line up immediately on passing downs opposite Maxx Crosby, with Clelin Ferrell moving inside. — Vic Tafur
18. Miami Dolphins: Najee Harris, RB, Alabama
Roll Fins, indeed! Besides adding an explosive playmaker at wideout, improving the rushing attack should be near the top of Miami’s list of priorities. Over the past two seasons, the Dolphins have ranked 32nd and 25th in yards per carry. Enter Harris, whom The Athletic’s Dane Brugler describes as quick and graceful, while displaying “athletic cuts, natural instincts, reliability as a pass-catcher and toughness to wear down defenses.” The additions of Smith and Harris will provide Tagovailoa with immediate familiarity and additional comfort as he prepares to enter his second season with the Dolphins after going 6-3 as the starter. Notre Dame’s Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah and Georgia’s Azeez Ojulari, both linebackers, were also considered. — Josh Tolentino
19. Washington Football Team: Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame
There’s a quarterback on the board in Alabama’s Mac Jones, and that’s Washington’s top need, but adding a veteran to the current mix is the more likely outcome. There’s a solid case here for a receiver (Florida’s Kadarius Toney) or left tackle (Darrisaw), and no doubt an offense that ranked 25th in scoring last season needs more oomph. However, the linebacking unit is the clear weak link defensively and a group coach Ron Rivera called out at times during the season. Owusu-Koramoah finished with 11 tackles for loss and three forced fumbles last season. The 6-foot-1, 215-pounder brings needed speed and versatility to a defense lacking that element behind a loaded line. — Ben Standig
20. Chicago Bears: Mac Jones, QB, Alabama
Unless GM Ryan Pace lands Watson or Derek Carr from the Raiders, he has to consider using a first-round pick on a quarterback after not taking any since trading up for Mitch Trubisky in 2017. Four years ago, Pace said it was Trubisky’s accuracy that jumped out. Well, how about a 77.4 percent completion rate from Jones last season to go along with 41 touchdowns and four picks? Not to mention the fact that Jones has one-and-a-half seasons of tape as a starter and a national title, while Trubisky had one year and a loss in the Sun Bowl. The Athletic’s Dane Brugler refers to Jones as a high-floor, low-ceiling NFL starter. Based on the history of Bears quarterbacks, the franchise should be content with that. — Kevin Fishbain
21. Indianapolis Colts: Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech
This isn’t necessarily as simple as taking the top offensive tackle on the board. At the same time … the Colts take the top offensive tackle on the board. Keeping their first-round choice in the Carson Wentz trade allows the Colts to shore up their left tackle spot after the retirement of Anthony Castonzo, and that’s great news for Wentz after his league-high 50 sacks in Philadelphia last season. Darrisaw can play in space, but he brings a physicality that will serve him well in Indy’s power-run game. — Stephen Holder
22. Tennessee Titans: Azeez Ojulari, Edge, Georgia
Even if the Titans spend another chunk of money on the pass rush during free agency as expected, they’ve got to invest a high pick in someone who can complement — and ideally, exceed — 2018 second-round pick Harold Landry on the outside for the next few years. If Ojulari is still there at No. 22, he’d be an easy choice. That is, as long as Titans brass can forgive whoever from Georgia told them all they wanted to hear about Isaiah Wilson, last year’s disappointing first-round pick. Ojulari is a bit light at 240 pounds, but that also means versatility. He did some dropping in Georgia’s 3-4 scheme and took a big step forward as a pass rusher in 2020 with 8.5 sacks. Ojulari could fit in nicely as the third guy to support Landry and the free-agent signing TBD. — Joe Rexrode
23. New York Jets: Jayson Oweh, Edge, Penn State
(Pick acquired from Seattle)
The Jets can’t make the same mistake they did with Darnold. They need to surround Wilson with talent. Good news: They’ll have nearly $90 million in salary-cap space and another three selections in the second and third rounds (which could increase if they trade Darnold) to do that. So while a receiver or offensive lineman might work here, Oweh fills a big need on defense. The Jets haven’t had an edge-rushing threat since trading John Abraham … in 2006. Oweh will join a defensive line that features Quinnen Williams, Foley Fatukasi, John Franklin-Myers and Jabari Zuniga. — Connor Hughes
24. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jalen Mayfield, OT, Michigan
The Steelers have neglected the offensive line for nearly a decade, and it has finally caught up with them with the worst running game in the league last year. A near-total rebuild is in order up front. It has already started with the retirement of Maurkice Pouncey and the likely departure of Alejandro Villanueva as well as new offensive line coaches being hired. The remake will continue with Mayfield — which would mark the Steelers’ first selection of a tackle in the first round since the colossal bust of Jamain Stephens in 1996. Mayfield will have an opportunity to play immediately at left tackle because he fits the criteria for what the Steelers look for in a first-rounder — Power 5 school (Michigan), underclassman (redshirt sophomore), young (won’t turn 21 until the end of May) and experienced (started 15 of 18 games). The Steelers haven’t taken a non-Power 5 player in the first round since Ben Roethlisberger in 2004. — Mark Kaboly
25. Jacksonville Jaguars: Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama
(Pick acquired from L.A. Rams)
The Jaguars will be thrilled if this is how the actual draft turns out. They need interior defensive line help, and even though they have abundant cap space, free-agent options on the inside of the line are limited and expensive. Barmore might be the only first-round-quality interior lineman in this draft, so they would happily scoop him up with this pick they received from the Rams in the Jalen Ramsey trade. If Barmore plays the way he played at the end of the 2020 season, he could provide valuable push up the middle, which would only make Josh Allen and K’Lavon Chaisson more effective rushers on the outside. — Andy Staples
26. Cleveland Browns: Greg Newsome, CB, Northwestern
The Browns need help at every level of the defense. That means they have options, even at No. 26, and at this all-too-early stage, it’s hard to imagine Newsome not being near the top of their list. Even if Greedy Williams comes back from the nerve issue in his shoulder that forced him to miss all of last season, the Browns are still in need of cornerback help. Newsome, who’s just 21, is rangy and has the tools to eventually become a top-tier player alongside Denzel Ward, who’s in line for a big extension as the Browns go through a defensive remake in the coming months. — Zac Jackson
27. Baltimore Ravens: Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State
The Ravens are engaged in trade talks involving right tackle Orlando Brown Jr., who has informed the team that he’d like to be dealt to a team that will play him at left tackle. If the Ravens can get a first-rounder in return for Brown or perhaps two Day 2 picks, he’s likely gone and they’ll need to find a replacement. Jenkins is big, nasty and a strong run blocker, so he’d fit right in to a Ravens offensive line that figures to get some reinforcements this offseason. If the Ravens opt to hold onto Brown, I’d look harder at Minnesota wide receiver Rashod Bateman, Alabama guard/center Landon Dickerson or TCU safety Trevon Moehrig. However, a Brown trade would leave a gaping hole at right tackle. — Jeff Zrebiec
28. New Orleans Saints: Zaven Collins, LB, Tulsa
The Saints witnessed first-hand how well the Buccaneers fared with two stellar linebackers in Devin White and Lavonte David. New Orleans currently only employs one — Demario Davis. The Athletic’s Dane Brugler described the 6-3, 259-pound Collins as possessing the size of a defensive end with the athleticism of a safety offering every-down ability. New Orleans drafted Zack Baun in the third round last year with the hopes he’d become a middle linebacker. There’s no indication Baun can handle the transition yet after being more of an edge rusher at Wisconsin. The Saints could easily take the best player available regardless of position. At No. 28, this might be the best of both worlds. — Larry Holder
29. Green Bay Packers: Tyson Campbell, CB, Georgia
With starting outside cornerback Kevin King likely to sign elsewhere in free agency, the Packers need someone to pair with second-team All-Pro Jaire Alexander. The NFC Championship Game served as a harsh reminder that no matter how much Alexander locks down one side of the field, a competent offense can exploit the other. Campbell stands 6-foot-2 and 185 pounds, which if he starts from Day 1, would give Green Bay a nice contrast in body types between him and Alexander. Says The Athletic’s Dane Brugler of Campbell, “All the talent is there for him to grow into an NFL starter.” Campbell wouldn’t have to start right away if the Packers sign a veteran like Richard Sherman or Xavier Rhodes in free agency, but targeting a future starting outside cornerback is paramount in this year’s draft, nonetheless. — Matt Schneidman
30. Buffalo Bills: Liam Eichenberg, OT, Notre Dame
The Bills need offensive line help. Starting guard Jon Feliciano and right tackle Daryl Williams are both scheduled to become free agents. Given their tight cap situation, the Bills may have a hard time retaining both. Either way, Buffalo needs to get younger up front. In the four drafts since Sean McDermott took over as head coach in 2017, the Bills have drafted three offensive linemen and just two on the first two days of the draft. Cody Ford’s future appears to be at guard, so the Bills should invest in a young tackle to handle the right side opposite Dion Dawkins. Eichenberg was reliable throughout his career at Notre Dame, showing the type of power and nastiness in the running game the Bills love. This looks like it could be a sweet spot for offensive linemen in the draft order, but don’t be surprised if the Bills entertain trading back to get more picks on the second day of the draft. — Matthew Fairburn
31. Kansas City Chiefs: Jaelan Phillips, Edge, Miami (Fla.)
Based on the performance of their makeshift offensive line in the Super Bowl, the Chiefs are likely to prioritize protecting Patrick Mahomes by strengthening that group, especially with injuries to Eric Fisher and Mitchell Schwartz. But with the run on tackles late in the first round, the Chiefs can try to solve their pass-rushing issues by selecting Phillips. Even with star pass rushers in Chris Jones and Frank Clark, the Chiefs’ defensive line didn’t generate consistent pressure on quarterbacks when coordinator Steve Spagnuolo wasn’t blitzing. Adding Phillips, a quick, athletic defender with violent hands, gives the Chiefs a formidable trio to complement their strong secondary. — Nate Taylor
32. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Joseph Ossai, Edge, Texas
With little depth behind Shaq Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul, an outside pass rusher makes good sense for the Bucs, who would love for Phillips to fall to them. If free agency creates a more immediate hole to fill, they could turn to Iowa defensive lineman Daviyon Nixon here, but Ossai adds a much-needed dose of youth to Tampa Bay’s pass rush. — Greg Auman
Three teams — the Seattle Seahawks, L.A. Rams and Houston Texans — do not have first-round picks. So our writers projected picks for when they first come on the board.
56. Seattle Seahawks: Deonte Brown, G, Alabama
Seattle’s current goal is to put as many “grown men” in front of Russell Wilson as possible. All it takes is one look at the 6-foot-3, 364-pound Brown to see he fits that description. The team needs upgrades up front because Wilson is all over the airwaves saying his protection stinks, which means running it back with Mike Iupati or Jordan Simmons won’t cut it. Last year the team hit on an interior lineman from the national champs with its selection of LSU’s Damien Lewis, who turned out to be one of the league’s best rookie linemen. Taking another big, physical stud from another SEC powerhouse could pay dividends as well. — Michael-Shawn Dugar
57. L.A. Rams: Dillon Radunz, OT, North Dakota State
This pick was made under the current assumption that the Rams will bring back outside linebacker Leonard Floyd in free agency or sign other edge-rusher depth in free agency to continue their streak of non-drafted investment there. Radunz gives the Rams a lot of options along the offensive line. They may decide to part ways with right tackle Rob Havenstein, and Radunz could be a replacement. He would then project to swing over to the left tackle spot once veteran franchise tackle Andrew Whitworth hangs it up. The Athletic’s Dane Brugler also said that Radunz could play either tackle or guard in the NFL, and that he “loves to get physical in the run game” — and that’s Rams coach Sean McVay’s music. It’s not the sexiest first pick of the draft for the Rams, but Radunz could be an answer to many long-term questions. — Jourdan Rodrigue
67. Houston Texans: Ambry Thomas, CB, Michigan
Even if the Texans eventually trade quarterback Deshaun Watson and have multiple picks before this one, there’s no bad time for this team to add a cornerback. Houston’s defense was painfully thin at corner last season and stands to lose most of its contributors there. Vernon Hargreaves, Phillip Gaines and Gareon Conley are all set to hit free agency. Bradley Roby is the only returning corner with much experience, and because he received a six-game PED suspension, the Texans could even void the guarantees in his contract and move on from him, too. Thomas, who opted out of the 2020 season, made just 13 starts on defense, so he is far from a finished project. But he has the speed to compete in the NFL, and the Texans aren’t in a position to contend next season anyway. At pick No. 67, Houston can’t ask for much better than a prospect ticketed by The Athletic’s Dane Brugler as the 10th-best cornerback in the draft. — Aaron Reiss
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